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#ビットコインは新たな三角形に陥っている -> 最新の調査: https://10xresearch.co/latest/
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Video: Bitcoin: No Longer 'Long Only' Please find our latest video, which has an incredible number of charts in quick succession. If you have any feedback or suggestions, please let us know at info@10xresearch.com. The link to the written report: https://update.10xresearch.com/p/bitcoin-no-longer-long-only https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVv3b0hhfS0
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Bitcoin: No Longer 'Long Only' ??? 👇1-13) Year-to-date, Bitcoin ETF inflows stand at just +$225 million—and they could turn negative at any moment as the ongoing uncertainty surrounding Trump’s trade war continues to ripple through financial markets. Bitcoin ETFs are on track for their third consecutive month of outflows. As we highlighted in early February, much of the initial ETF inflows were driven not by outright demand but by arbitrage-focused hedge funds. 👇2-13) Recent flow data has primarily confirmed this view. However, a new class of buyers has also emerged—one that has had a meaningful impact on the market. The key question now is whether this buyer is returning—and if so, does that justify a broadly bullish outlook? 👇3-13) Full report: https://update.10xresearch.com/p/bitcoin-no-longer-long-only Want to see how we are trading this market? Follow us! Subscribe to our premium analysis and alerts at the link below: https://10xresearch.com ----
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A (Short-Term) Constructive Turn in Bitcoin? 👇1-12) Trump has continued to scale back his tariff threats, with each retreat reinforcing the perception that China’s assertive response caught him off guard. He’s lending credibility to critics who argue that the trade standoff may be more theatrical than strategic. 👇2-12) Despite the political noise, consumer confidence remains subdued, and recession risks persist—especially if inflation resurges and credit spreads widen. This suggests the market could be entering a prolonged corrective phase, during which the Federal Reserve will likely stay on hold. 👇3-12) However, stronger-than-expected retail spending data—reflecting pre-tariff announcement behavior—due next week could temporarily boost sentiment. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s technical outlook has improved, with several indicators turning more constructive. 👇4-12) Full report: https://update.10xresearch.com/p/a-short-term-constructive-turn-in-bitcoin Want to see how we are trading this market? Follow us! Subscribe to our premium analysis and alerts at the link below: https://10xresearch.com ---
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What Widening U.S. Credit Spreads Mean for Bitcoin: Risk or Opportunity? See also our YouTube video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n4bFuT0GmdU 👇1-15) The marginal buyer of Bitcoin may increasingly be U.S. investors concerned about a sharply weakening dollar as global capital continues to exit U.S. financial markets. This dynamic is the flip side of running (and attempting to reverse) a persistent trade deficit—its consequences now becoming evident not just in the declining value of the dollar and rising bond yields but also through stress in the credit markets and continued pressure on U.S. equities. 👇2-15) As we highlighted in yesterday’s report, it remains premature to adopt a bullish stance. With capital flowing out of the U.S., the euro appears to be emerging as a relatively safer haven in the current environment. The 90-day tariff truce was a clear attempt to stabilize spiking U.S. Treasury yields—but with yields now threatening to retest their recent highs, the move seems to have backfired, highlighting the market’s skepticism and the limits of such short-term interventions. 👇3-15) As measured by the ICE BofA BBB US Corporate Index Option-Adjusted Spread, credit spreads continue to widen, indicating that recessionary concerns may be seeping deeper into the economy. Historically, this has posed a headwind for Bitcoin. Short-term risks remain elevated, while the longer-term implications can be bullish—especially as Bitcoin has tended to benefit from the monetary easing that typically follows Fed rate cuts. But expecting a bullish impulse is too early. 👇4-15) If we look at the last two instances when the year-over-year change in credit spreads began to widen, as it is now, Bitcoin tended to struggle both in terms of time (with recoveries taking 4–6 months) and price (with further downside before a bottom was reached). This pattern suggests that while a longer-term opportunity may emerge. 👇4-15) Full report: https://update.10xresearch.com/p/what-widening-u-s-credit-spreads-mean-for-bitcoin-risk-or-opportunity -=====-
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