Focus on long-term cryptocurrency investment: Carefully plan the bull market in 2024-2025, single belt, follow skirt (stone skirt, please do not disturb if you are not serious)!
1. Analyze the mainstream currency market;
2. Short-term, medium-term and long-term, bull and bear layout;
3. Guide how to bottom-fish, build positions, increase positions, reduce positions to lock in profits, etc.;
4. Market trend analysis, advance ambush and risk warning;
5. Guide the knowledge and application of technical indicators in the currency circle;
Important reminder: All suggestions are for reference only, the currency market is risky, and investment should be cautious!

Wealth password: yhlfx88

#BTC #ETH

When will BTC and the alt market explode?

Let’s start with the post-halving analysis of BTC, which many believe is a normal phase of consolidation that may require patience - BTC has risen 3x since September, but what might the market look like in the coming months?

We are currently in a 15-week consolidation period, down 13% from the highs.

After rising nearly 2x from recent lows in January, this decline is to be expected.

While this phase can feel disappointing and boring, it is a natural part of the process.

Volatility is low for several reasons:

Summer is a period of stagnation

Uncertainty about ETH ETFs

No clear narrative

However, it is often during these challenging times that it is most rewarding to remain bullish for the following reasons:

From a technical perspective, the current cycle is very similar to the bull runs of 2017 and 2021.

Now we are in the accumulation phase:

In 2016, it lasted ≈4 months

In 2020, it lasted ≈5 months

Once the accumulation phase is broken, a parabolic move usually occurs.

#BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

On the evening of June 24:

People are born poor, but they must not die poor!

The daily line of the big cake broke through a series of dense support lines with great momentum. A bearish engulfing pattern was formed, and no effective rebound has appeared so far. In this case, I will pay attention to the persistence of the short trend in the short term, and the rebound is short.

Short-term operation suggestions:

Big cake: 61500-61300 short, target 60000-59500, defense 61700;

Second cake: 3350-3330 short, target 3250-3200, defense 3370.

(The weather is changing rapidly, for reference only!)

#BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

June 24th VIP Pie Wave 2: Short around 62400, direct exit at 61000, get 1400 iodine, 200 times 20 BTC, pocket 28000 oil

Money has four legs, people have two legs. It is easy for money to find people, but difficult for people to find money.

#BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

Major events in the cryptocurrency circle on June 24:

1. BTC fell below 63,000 for the first time in a long time, and the altcoins basically stopped following. It is unclear whether it is lagging behind or brewing a big one;

2. The ETH/BTC exchange rate broke through 0.055. It has not been above this level for a long time, but it finally stood above this level;

3. Due to the stimulation of ETF, the entire Ethereum is still the strongest sector;

Fidelity submitted its Ethereum spot ETF S-1 revised registration statement;

4. Pantera Capital is raising funds for the second TON token investment fund;

5. The SEC closed the book on the Ethereum 2.0 investigation, but legal issues remain;

6. Ronin announced that it will launch the L2 network Ronin zkEVM based on Polygon CDK;

7. Matr1xOfficialFIRE launched the "Infinite Game" plan, which will burn 500 million FIRE tokens;

It seems that there is not much circulation itself;

8. BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes increased his holdings PENDLE, currently the overall floating profit is 100%;

9. Arkham added a new Purpose Investment address, holding more than $150 million in ETH;

10. He Yi: Binance's listing strategy does not affect the flow of funds, and some VCs are indeed the core reason for the inflated prices;

11. BitgetWallet's platform coin BWB seemed to have an event yesterday, with a big positive line rising by more than 50%;

#BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

本周，投资者重点关注：

6.24 周一：美联储官员讲话

6.25 周二：美国6月谘商会消费者信心指数

6.26 周三：美国营建许可总数、新屋销售年化总数

6.27 周四：美国GDP、初请失业金人数

6.28 周五：美联储银行业压力测试结果；美国PCE

这周和下周的数据能不能让阴跌的数据有多反弹呢 ​​​？

#BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

Three stages of bull market:

The first stage: bottom accumulation and shock upward

Main action: At this stage, main funds gradually intervene in the market, slowly raising the price, and at the same time creating shocks to cover the opening of positions. Through this operation, the main funds can accumulate a large amount of chips at a lower price, while the overall market is still in a wait-and-see state.

Market reaction: Market sentiment was generally depressed, with investors becoming cautious after experiencing early declines. Most investors are wary of market uncertainty and are hesitant to enter the market. However, some investors with a keen sense of smell began to notice the signs of the market's bottom and gradually scooped up funds at low prices.

The second stage: Breaking through the previous high and establishing the trend

Main action: At this stage, the main funds increase their efforts to push the price to break through the previous high, thereby establishing an upward trend on a technical level. At this time, trading volume increased significantly and market confidence gradually recovered. Market reaction: Traders on the right began to pay attention and enter the market. They relied on trend trading principles to decisively buy before the price broke through. However, most investors are still in a wait-and-see mode, and some even choose to go short against the trend because of fear of early declines. In the market, the trend is clear, with positive inflows of funds and sentiment pushing prices further upwards.

The third stage: comprehensive rise, market frenzy

Main action: At this stage, main funds have significantly increased prices, and market sentiment has reached its peak. A lot of good news comes out frequently, attracting more investors to enter the market. The main force gradually began to ship goods and lock in profits.

Market reaction: Market sentiment is extremely optimistic, and almost all investors are actively entering the market, chasing high returns. At this time, the market trading volume increased abnormally, and mainstream and copycat stocks generally rose. However, as the main funds gradually withdrew and the market top gradually formed, many ordinary investors failed to exit in time due to greed and blind optimism, and were eventually trapped in a high position.

#BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

VIP pie on June 24: 63337 short, 62300 direct sales out, 1037 iodine harvested, 10370 oil pocketed!

It is difficult to keep the old times in life, only the temples are white.

Fame, wealth and fortune are like flowing water, and the priceless treasure is health.

#BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

VIP Auntie at midnight on June 24: Short around 3476, exited at 3370, harvested 106 iodine, 200 times 100 ETH, pocketed more than 10,000 oil!

Price is what you pay, value is what you get!

#BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

June 24th, noon:

Whoever can survive in this market longer can live the most freely and earn the most freely.

In the four-hour chart of Big Pie, with the morning's decline, the current price range has come below the lower track. The current market is fluctuating and resting, and will not give too much rebound strength. The market will continue to fluctuate. Continue to wait for the 🈳 head to accumulate momentum, and continue to 🈳 at the subsequent rebound high. You can catch the rebound in a moderate short-term.

Operation suggestions:

Big Pie: 63600-63300 short, watch 62500-62000, and guard 63800

Second Pie: 3460-3430 short, watch 3350-3300, and guard 3480

(The weather is changing rapidly, for reference only!)

#BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

比特币现货 ETF 为许多新买家在其投资组合中配置比特币提供了渠道，但以太坊 ETF 的影响远没有那么明确。

除非以太坊开创一条令人信服的途径来改善经济状况，否则其价格不会因现货 ETF 获批迎来可观的上行空间。

Kang 预计以太坊现货 ETF 的资金流量会低于市场的普遍预期，前几周尤甚：因为 ETF 的批准令人意外，发行方没有太多时间说服大额持有者将其 ETH 转换为 ETF；另一方面，持有者转换 ETH 的吸引力较小，因为他们需要放弃质押或利用 ETH 作为 DeFi 抵押品的收益（注：质押率仅为 25%）。

他进一步补充称，在某种价格下，以太坊仍会被认为是很有价值的。当比特币在未来上涨时，它会在某种程度上被拉高。

在 ETF 推出之前，预计 ETH 的交易价格将在 3000 美元至 3800 美元之间；ETF 推出后，预期是 2400 美元至 3000 美元。

然而，如果 BTC 在 2025 年第四季度末/第一季度达到 10 万美元，那么这可能会带领 ETH 走向历史新高，但 ETH/BTC 会进一步走低，未来一年将在 0.035 至 0.06 之间。

#BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

战胜 90% 以上的非理性心理波动，你才能成为10%的胜利者！

大部分投资人的心路历程是这样的：

当处于盈利状态时，大家往往想的是获利止盈，见好就收，担心失去已经获得的利润。

当处于亏损时，往往非常不甘心，因此更愿意冒更大的风险去搏一搏，希望可以挽回亏损。

我们面对损失的心理感受强于获得收益时，也就是赔钱的痛苦远远大于赚钱的快乐。

而这几种普遍的大众投资心理，往往是让我们投资失败的根本原因——我们无法正确面对投资的得与失。

交易时，大多数人的正常表现是错则拖、赢必走。此行为与对则持、错即改的交易核心理念恰恰相违背。我们需要对投资的得与失有正确的理念认知，当战胜自己的人性弱点后，我们才有更大的几率去战胜这个市场。

赚认知范围内的钱，做好计划，耐心持有，坚定执行，你将战胜 90% 以上的非理性心理波动。

所以问下自己三个问题：

现在你处于亏损还是盈利？内心感受是怎样的？能否为自己制定更好的策略？

#BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

Morning of June 24:

No situation can drive us to make investment decisions beyond our capabilities.

From the perspective of the daily level of Big Pie, the price of the currency shows a continuous negative decline trend. Although a small positive line appears in the middle, the recovery strength is very weak. In this case, the K-line head trend is very obvious, and all indicators point to a downward trend. Combined with the four-hour level, a real negative column in the early morning strongly dropped to the lower track and continued to extend downward. The downward trend is obvious in the short term. My personal morning view is mainly empty!

Operation suggestions:

Big Pie: 63700-63200 empty, target 62000-61500, defense 63900;

Second Pie: 3470-3420 empty, target 3350-3300, defense 3490.

(Hangqing is changing rapidly, for reference only!)

#BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

1. It is right to follow the trend, and it is wrong to go against the trend (once the trend is formed, it will not change in a short time);

2. It is right to have a light position, and it is wrong to have a heavy position. The position affects the mentality, and the mentality affects the judgment;

3. It is right to be content, and it is wrong to be greedy. Greed is the enemy, and contentment is the key;

4. It is right to stop loss and protect profits, and it is wrong to let it go. Protecting the capital is the first priority, and making money is the second;

5. It is right to operate objectively, and it is wrong to analyze subjectively. Operate objectively and abide by the rules;

6. It is right to wait and be patient, and it is wrong to be impetuous and impulsive. Advanced hunters are patient;

7. It is right to invest with idle money, and it is wrong to invest with debt. The mentality determines your success or failure. You cannot make stressful investments;

8. It is right to be calm, and it is wrong to worry about gains and losses. The essence of trading is the confrontation between human nature and mentality.

#BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

给币圈新手的成长建议：

当你踏入这个充满诱惑与激情的币圈世界时，我想给你一些真挚的建议，希望能为你的冒险之旅增添一抹亮色。

1. 熟练掌握交易软件，为胜利铺路
在币圈，交易软件就如同你的战场。你必须熟悉它的每一寸土地，每一个工具。看盘、查询币种，这些都是你的基本功。不要急于投入资金，先仔细观察，用心复盘。这样，当你真正开始交易时，你才会更加从容不迫，胜券在握。

2. 自我定位，选择最适合你的战斗模式
你是激进派还是稳健派？你是单身贵族还是已婚有娃的奋斗者？你的资金是辛辛苦苦的工资，还是家庭储蓄，或是借助杠杆而来的资金？这些都决定了你在币圈中的战斗模式。找到最适合你的方式，才能在这个战场上走得更远。

3. 分仓操作，步步为营
不要一开始就倾尽所有，要学会分仓操作。先拿一部分资金来试试水，积累经验。如果失败了，不要气馁，总结教训，调整策略。记住，失败并不可怕，可怕的是失去从头再来的勇气。

#BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

If you want to achieve stable profits, you must do the following three things:

1. To control the position:

People who are always full of positions will never achieve stable profits. The famous mathematician Fisher has proved this with a formula. Only use 20% of the position each time, invest with a probability of profit or loss of 50%, stop loss at 5%, and stop loss at 10%. Stable profits can be achieved when taking profit.

2. Learn to choose the time:

Another meaning of timing is to learn to identify trends. If the trend is not good, you should take a light or short position. It is best to trade on the right side.

3. You must have your own trading system:

The trading system includes timing, sector selection, currency selection, selling timing and other conditions. The trading system is improving and evolving through continuous iterations.

Only with these three points can there be the possibility of stable profits.

#BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

在牛市中，每次暴力拉升之前， 主力必定会不择手段地打压价格，迫使小散及现货割肉下车。

等到暴力拉升后，小散们才恍然大悟，原来这就是主力的陷阱!

当行情进入最后的疯狂阶段，绝大部分人会按捺不住，追进去想吃最后一口肉，企图扩大本金以增加收入。

结局往往是被死死套在山顶。

主力现在就是要让小散们产生错觉，觉得行情即将崩溃，大跌迫在眉睫，再不卖出，价格会更低，账户也将无限缩水。

但这一切都只是表象!主力的真正目的是让你看到账户缩水后忍不住去高抛低吸。

当小散们手中筹码减少时，主力才能更轻松地拉盘控盘，套住更多的人!

这场游戏，是主力与小散之间的一场惊心动魄的博弈！

#BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

为何越跌我越感觉牛市不远了 ?

很多人说BTC跌破120日线，就要清仓了，牛市结束了，那你多听听我说吧！

比特币ETF才通过没有多久，机构才喝上一点点水，大饼刚刚减半才2个月而已，现在的价格还没破前高，降息还没来，水都没进来 都是存量资金加ETF的资金，山寨都没有爆发过。有人竟然说要牛市结束了。

如果真的结束了。那么我只能说，那么这根本就不算牛市，只是牛市路上的一个小波浪而已。现在清仓的人 卖掉的人，我只能说是这辈子都是没什么出息的，他们的人生不会有未来。

任何一个好的项目放在他们面前 他们都不会珍惜，他们的人生一定是不断错过。现在这个情况就是干。别想东想西的。拿住 躺下装死就好了。买了的人 每天玩，玩半年 打游戏也好 出去旅游也好反正不要看行情，不要跟币圈人多交流这种方法仅限于拿不住的人，这对他们才是最好的。

#BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

真正的回调底部， 必定是在所有人都惊恐逃离的时候。

尽管许多人的情绪从快乐抄底转变为略有恐慌，但多数人仍在分批建仓抄底，甚至满仓梭哈!

此时的下跌仅仅表明大回调已经来临， 但对于大多数人来说，这一概念仍然难以捉摸。

在牛市中，每次暴力拉升之前， 主力必定会不择手段地打压价格，迫使小散割肉下车。

等到暴力拉升后，小散们才恍然大悟，原来这就是主力的陷阱!

当行情进入最后的疯狂阶段，绝大部分人会按捺不住，追进去想吃最后一口肉，企图扩大本金以增加收入。

结局往往是被死死套在山顶。

主力现在就是要让小散们产生错觉，觉得行情即将崩溃，大跌迫在眉睫，再不卖出，价格会更低，账户也将无限缩水。

但这一切都只是表象!主力的真正目的是让你看到账户缩水后忍不住去高抛低吸。

当小散们手中筹码减少时，主力才能更轻松地拉盘控盘，套住更多的人!

这场游戏，是主力与小散之间的一场惊心动魄的博弈。

#BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

当前币圈定位建议：

无论你听到什么信息，建议自行判断当前市场处于牛市还是熊市的哪个阶段：

牛市初期：开始慢慢布局。

牛市中期：逐步离场。

牛市末期：联系兑换USDT，进行无偿质押挖矿等套利操作。

熊市初期：做好大跌准备，空仓观望或在利空时小仓位做空。

熊市中期：研究潜力项目，参与交互、刷积分，博取未来收益。

熊市末期：提现资金，享受生活，等待行情回暖后再抄底。

#BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥