Wawasan Myrtie Duh OEWV(@MyrDoe)

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Bearish

$USUAL saya membelinya. 
jangan ikuti saya.

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Myrtie Duh OEWV

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$SOL Based on the SOL/USDT chart shared, I'll analyze key technical factors and probability scenarios: Positive indicators: 1. SOL is in a clear uptrend, with short-term MAs (MA9, MA20) above long-term MAs 2. Currently trading at 256.14 USDT, up 0.19% with stable trading volume 3. RSI(6) at 51.63, indicating room for further upside 4. On-Balance Volume (OBV) showing steady increase, demonstrating positive money flow Points of caution: 1. Price has risen significantly from 200 USDT to 256 USDT in a short period 2. A short-term correction to test MA lines may be due Probability scenarios: 1. Bullish scenario (60% probability): - Continue upward trend to test resistance at 264-265 USDT (24h high) - Key drivers: Strong OBV trend and healthy RSI - Target: 265-270 USDT range 2. Consolidation scenario (30% probability): - Pullback to test MA20 support around 250.95 USDT - Accumulation phase before next leg up - Support levels: MA20 at 250.95, MA50 at 239.43 3. Bearish scenario (10% probability): - Break below MA50 could trigger deeper correction - Critical support at 239.43 USDT Trading recommendations: - Wait for pullback to MA20 (250.95) for better entry points - Set stoploss below MA50 (239.43) for capital protection - Practice risk management; avoid all-in positions at current levels - Consider scaling in during dips to MA20 Note: These probabilities are based on technical analysis and market conditions visible in the chart, but market movements can be unpredictable and affected by external factors.

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$TROY

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$TROY 1. Signs indicating this is a dump: a) Capital flows: - 5-day large capital inflow consistently negative (-557.57M) - Current capital outflow (-146.23M) - Large orders heavily selling (199.03M vs 91.56M) b) Technical indicators: - RSI dropping sharply from 82 to 65 - DIF and DEA remain negative - Volume gradually decreasing 2. Signs suggesting this might just be a correction: a) Technical aspects: - Price decrease not too severe (-2.99%) - Short-term uptrend not yet broken - MACD still slightly positive 3. Assessment: a) 70% likelihood of continued dumping because: - Sell orders dominating across all sizes - Large capital still withdrawing - Decreasing volume with falling price - Bearish candlestick patterns b) Potential price targets: - Target 1: 0.00500 (70% probability) - Target 2: 0.00480 (50% probability) - Target 3: 0.00460 (30% probability) 4. Recommendations: a) If currently holding: - Cut losses immediately, don't wait - Don't average down - Don't hold overnight b) If looking to short: - Short at current price levels - Stop loss: 0.00550 - Targets as mentioned above - Split orders into smaller portions 5. Important notes: - Market is highly sensitive - Might see slight bounce before further dumping - Set stop losses in advance - Avoid high leverage Conclusion: High probability of continued dumping in next 24 hours. Priority should be capital preservation, and consider shorting with strict risk management.

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$DOGE Let me analyze the DOGE/USDT charts and market data to assess the potential for a downward movement: Current Market Conditions: 1. Price is at ~0.459 USDT with +13.4% recent gain 2. Technical Indicators show: - RSI has dropped from overbought levels (70+) to around 33, indicating significant momentum loss - MACD showing bearish crossover and negative momentum - Multiple moving averages (MA20, MA50) starting to curve downward - Volume declining after recent spike Bearish Signals: 1. The money flow data shows significant selling pressure: - Large orders: 126.92M DOGE sell vs 84.04M DOGE buy - Net outflow of -107.86M DOGE - Five-day large order flow is -187.75M DOGE 2. Price Action: - Formation of potential double top pattern - Price falling below short-term moving averages - Declining volume during price increase 3. Market Structure: - Strong resistance around 0.48 level - Loss of upward momentum after recent rally - Bearish divergence on RSI Given these factors, there is a significant possibility of continued downward movement. Key support levels to watch would be: - 0.44 (MA20 level) - 0.41 (previous consolidation area) - 0.39 (major support) However, please note that cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and any analysis should be considered alongside risk management strategies. $DOGE

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$TROY Dựa vào biểu đồ mới nhất, tôi phân tích khả năng fake pump như sau: 1. Dấu hiệu của Fake Pump (khoảng 80% khả năng): a) Về giá và khối lượng: - Volume tăng đột biến ở các cây nến cuối - Xuất hiện nến đỏ dài với volume lớn (dấu hiệu xả) - Giá tăng quá nhanh trong thời gian ngắn b) Chỉ báo kỹ thuật: - RSI vẫn ở mức cực cao (82.25) - STOCH RSI đạt đỉnh (95.44) - MA9 đã cắt lên trên MA20 quá xa, tạo khoảng hở lớn 2. Chiến lược Short: a) Điểm vào lệnh: - Vùng 0.00540-0.00550 là vùng short an toàn - Stop loss: 0.00570-0.00580 - Targets: * T1: 0.00500 * T2: 0.00480 * T3: 0.00460 b) Điều kiện vào lệnh: - Đợi nến đỏ xác nhận với volume lớn - Xuất hiện phân kỳ âm trên RSI - Volume bắt đầu suy giảm 3. Lưu ý quan trọng: a) Rủi ro cần đề phòng: - Có thể là nhịp tích lũy trước khi pump tiếp - Dễ bị dắt qua dắt lại ở vùng giá hiện tại - Khối lượng vẫn đang tăng nên chưa nên short ngay b) Quản trị rủi ro: - Chỉ sử dụng 30-40% vốn - Chia nhỏ lệnh (2-3 lệnh) - Đòn bẩy tối đa 2x - Sẵn sàng cắt lỗ nếu phá vùng 0.00580 4. Kịch bản theo dõi: a) Kịch bản tiếp tục pump: - Nếu giữ được trên 0.00550 với volume ổn định - RSI có thể về test 70 rồi tăng tiếp - Không nên short nếu thấy tín hiệu này b) Kịch bản dump: - Volume tăng đột biến kèm nến đỏ - RSI tạo đỉnh sau và thấp hơn - MACD bắt đầu phân kỳ âm Tổng kết: - Rất nhiều dấu hiệu của fake pump - Tuy nhiên cần đợi xác nhận rõ ràng mới short - Quản trị rủi ro là ưu tiên hàng đầu - Để sẵn điểm vào và stop loss trước khi hành động

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