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Crypto코코
21 Nov 2024
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📊 $BTC Fear and Greed Index Analysis: Positive Signals Emerging The Fear and Greed Index has been an effective tool for identifying short-term tops and bottoms in Bitcoin’s price movements. Typically, the index transitions between fear and greed, reflecting the market's psychology and its impact on price. However, a closer look at the current market reveals two unique observations. 1️⃣ Observation 1: Persistent Greed at the $20,000 Level When #Bitcoin was around $20,000, persistent greed signals were observed.Typically, a greed phase is followed by a correction, but trading volume increased significantly during this period.This suggests that a large number of buyers accumulated $BTC in this range. 2️⃣ Observation 2: Fear Signal Appears Lower Than Usual The current fear signal is lower than the previous fear signal, which is unusual.This could indicate a false bearish signal meant to shake out weak hands.If a greed signal appears quickly, it could signal the beginning of a strong #upward movement. 🔍 Conclusion: Stay Positive Given these observations, it seems reasonable to adopt a more optimistic outlook on Bitcoin’s price. Keep an eye on the Fear and Greed Index for the next greed signal, as it may confirm the start of a new rally.
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📊 Bitcoin Chart Analysis $BTC From a mid-term perspective, there are three possible scenarios, as shown in the first image: 1️⃣ WXY Complex Correction Completed at $91,300 After completing the correction at $91,300, $BTC could enter a strong upward trend. 2️⃣ WXY Complex Correction Ending at $89,000 The correction could end around $89,000, followed by an initial impulse wave. After a brief correction, another upward movement may occur. 3️⃣ Correction to the Low $80,000 Range If $109,500 becomes the high, there is a possibility of dropping to the low $80,000 range, as shown by the green line. This scenario also aligns with the WXY complex correction pattern. Now, let's move on to the short-term perspective, summarized in two scenarios: 1️⃣ #Bullish Scenario After completing an ABCDE impulse wave, the WXY correction phase has also ended. If Bitcoin holds above $94,800, a significant upward trend could begin. 2️⃣ #Bearish Scenario The critical level remains at $94,800. If the rebound consists of an ABC upward wave, followed by a potential ABCDE downward impulse, Bitcoin could break below the previous low of $91,200 and drop to the low $80,000 range. This makes $94,800 an essential level to watch when trading. That concludes today’s short-term analysis of Bitcoin. If you’d like to see more updates, don’t forget to follow! 😊
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2️⃣ Which Cryptocurrencies Have Been "Chosen"? The Trump administration follows an "America First" policy. In the world of cryptocurrencies, the most essential asset is not Bitcoin, but stablecoins. 📊 Why Stablecoins Matter to the U.S. Stablecoins can flow into the U.S. and purchase U.S. bonds, strengthening the economy. The U.S. is using $BTC as a tool to attract stablecoin adoption while simultaneously increasing Bitcoin’s price. However, to bring in more stablecoins, the crypto market itself needs a major transformation. The key to this transformation is RWA (Real World Assets). 📈 The Role of #RWA in Crypto ( $ONDO , $LINK ) The goal is to bring real-world assets into the crypto ecosystem. If assets like bonds, securities, stocks, cryptocurrencies, and even future commodities can be purchased with stablecoins (USD), people worldwide may begin preferring stablecoins over their national currencies. 📈 The Second Key: #DeFi ( $ETH , $LINK , $AAVE , $UNI , $ENA ) Trump's World Liberty Financial has primarily acquired DeFi-related tokens. This highlights the financialization of the crypto ecosystem. While most DeFi projects focus on staking and earning interest, the real transformation is the merging of RWA and DeFi. With major institutions like BlackRock applying for RWA DeFi funds, the integration between traditional finance and DeFi is accelerating. Because of this, cryptocurrencies related to RWA and DeFi can be considered the ones institutionally chosen by the U.S. financial system. 👉 Follow for more insights on the crypto market! 🚀
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1️⃣ Institutionally Selected Altcoins To understand institutionally selected altcoins, we need to look at various events that have taken place since 2022. Key Events from 2022 to 2025: *️⃣ From 2022 to 2023, $BTC was accumulated for approximately nine months, with a price range between $25,000 and $15,000. *️⃣ In January 2024, #Bitcoin ETF approval caused price volatility. *️⃣ Between January and March 2024, Bitcoin experienced a five-month accumulation period, followed by another price surge. *️⃣ In March 2024, the Bitcoin halving occurred, but prices remained sideways. *️⃣ In March 2024, #BlackRock applied for an #RWA (Real World Asset) fund. *️⃣ In August 2024, Trump proposed a Bitcoin-related policy for his election campaign. *️⃣ In January 2025, after Trump's inauguration, instead of issuing an executive order specifically for Bitcoin, a broader executive order on cryptocurrencies was introduced. These were the major events from 2022 onward, excluding meme coins and other minor developments. Please continue reading the second text.
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$BTC Bitcoin 📊 Chart Analysis: Two Scenarios from $15,000 to Present Today, I will explain two possible scenarios for $BTC starting from its $15,000 low. The first scenario suggests a larger correction, while the second presents a bullish continuation. 1️⃣ Scenario 1: Possibility of a Larger Correction 📉 Based on the impulse wave marked as 1-2-3-4-5, it seems that a complete impulse wave has been formed. In this case, it is difficult to predict the exact depth of the correction, but a drop toward $78,000 could be possible. 2️⃣ Scenario 2: #Bullish Continuation 📈 In this scenario, the 3-3 wave is still in progress. The correction is mostly over, and the next wave could push Bitcoin to over $120,000. Common Conclusion Both scenarios suggest that the correction may not be fully over yet. Bitcoin is still experiencing market fluctuations, and the Fear & Greed Index remains in the fear zone. While additional volatility could occur, a potential upward move is still on the horizon.
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