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Morgan Cristal NcY9
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$AEVO Si rompe la resistencia en 0.41, la siguiente parada es 0.6. El gráfico se ve muy bien, esperemos que no haya una caída repentina. Cálculo que al final del ciclo alcista aevo podría llegar a 1.5 al menos. Así que siga comprando en caídas y mantenga. Sea paciente caso contrario perderá siempre . Haga DCA en sus entradas, nunca use todo su capital. Mire la imagen, quedé atrapado en 0.82 hace meses. con las compras siguientes ya he recuperado el dinero. DYOR
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The Dax (Europe), Nikkei (Asia) and S&P500 (USA) have fallen significantly, while $BTC rebounded by 59K and reached 65k USD. That divergence could mean a sudden drop if stock markets don't recover.
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On February 22, 2024, the S&P500 reached 5011 points, at that time $BTC cost 51800 usd. Yesterday, April 19, the S&P500, after several consecutive days of decline, closed at 5011, the same price as on February 22. However, $BTC now costs 62000 usd, so we have a bearish divergence of 11000 usd. According to analysts, the S&P500 has support at 5000 points, so there could be a rebound and return to the bull market, but if the support at 5000 points is broken, then it could fall to approximately 4200. The correlation of SyP500 and $BTC is very high. If the 5000 point support is broken today, it is very likely that the BTC 59k support will also be broken and there will be a sudden drop in the entire market. On the other hand, if support is defended there could be a bullish reversal. From fundamental analysis, we see that the US is torn between inflation and recession. Additionally, the problem of Israel and Iraq aggravates the situation. An additional important point is psychological in nature, in which a drop is expected prior to the halving. Because of this, I believe there is a 70% chance that support will be broken in the next few days and a bear market will be confirmed. #DYOR
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Les muestro algo interesante. Si mira el grafico mensual de #BTC podrá ver que despues de cada corrida alcista, con velas verdes muy grandes, le siguen 3 velas rojas tambien muy grandes antes de tener nuevamente una vela verde significativa. Si el patrón se repite, indicaría que abril, mayo y junio serían bajistas, y probablemente inicie una nueva corrida alcista en julio. Por supuesto, todo esto es solo mi interpretación. Sin embargo, tambien es posible ver que se ha tenido 7 meses continuos al alza, por lo que la corrección tambíen será fuerte. Esto por supuesto se refuerza si vemos los mercados de valores principales. Si se fija en el SyP500 vemos un periodo de 6 meses de mercado alcista, sin embargo a partir de abril se nota una ruptura de tendencia. Esto por supuesto se va a confirmar durante las siguiente semanas. Es preocupante ver que por cada 1% de caida de #BTC las altcoin caen 3% - 4%, y no suben mucho cuando BTC se recupera. Si esto se mantiene durante la siguiente semana, podrian caer entre un 30 a 40% adicional. El peor escenario serian 3 meses a la baja, en ese tiempo las alt volverian a sus mínimos. Tenga cuidado en sus inversiones, no arriesgue todo su capital, mucho menos en Futuros.
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I read comments from people claiming that the Iran-Israel war doesn't affect $BTC. However, let's analyze this a bit further. The United States has stated its unconditional support for Israel, which leads us to wonder how they will do so. The answer seems to be by financing Israel's war through printing more dollars, which will inevitably lead to inflation and possibly a recession. Therefore, it's clear that the war does indeed significantly affect BTC. All economies in the world are interconnected, and cryptocurrencies are not exempt from this reality. Also we know that the US has already been experiencing the beginnings of a crisis in recent weeks. In that regard, it's possible that with the opening of the stock markets on Monday, the market could experience a sharp decline, and of course, BTC could fall as well. I would say there's a 70% chance of a decline occurring on Monday.
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