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Ikuti
US - PPI (September)
mom = 0% (previously +0.2%)
y/y = +1.8% (previously +1.7%)
core PPI = +2.8% yoy ( previously +2.4%)
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1. Resistance Zone: You’re noting the range around $73,500-$75,000 as a strong resistance level. This is a crucial point where Bitcoin’s price has faced challenges, and breaking above it could lead to significant market reactions, including potential panic from sellers. 2. Liquidity Interest: The liquidity above this resistance hasn’t vanished, meaning there is still market interest in this area. The price might test this zone again, reinforcing its relevance. 3. Support Level: The $69,500 level is a local high from a previous wave and acts as an important support level. If Bitcoin breaks below this point and consolidates, selling pressure may increase, potentially leading to further declines. 4. False Breakout and Consolidation: You’re noting that if there’s a false breakout, where the price briefly dips below $69,500 but doesn’t consolidate there, it might prevent further sell-offs
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The US dollar index continues to reach new heights. Several factors have contributed to the growth of the US currency, particularly the prospects of a gradual reduction in interest rates by the Federal Reserve and the strength of the US economy. Of particular historical interest is the ongoing election. Markets appear to be factoring in a potential Trump victory, with what is being called the “Trump trade.” But what does this mean? Forex traders are betting on Donald Trump’s win in the November election and are positioning their portfolios based on his economic policies, which are seen as favorable to the US dollar. As the November 5 election date approaches, dollar volatility is expected to increase significantly. Since the end of last month, the US dollar has risen by approximately 4%, largely due to the strong September employment report. This has contributed to a more stable outlook for lower interest rates. So, what might change under a possible Trump presidency? Analysts have highlighted Trump’s plans to impose tariffs on imports, a move that could lead to higher inflation and consequently higher interest rates.
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Bitcoin failed to test resistance and consolidate within the bullish zone or buy zone. The market is not yet showing strong bullish signals. Recently, there has been negative news related to hacks, scams, and manipulations, which will have a temporary but adverse impact on the market. The price reversed exactly in the zone I highlighted. At the moment, the price has moved up by almost $4K, or 6%. 🔥
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US - CPI (September) m/m = +0.2% (expected +0.1%) y/y = +2.4% (expected +2.3%) Core CPI = +3.3% y/y (expected +3.2%) ---------------- US - Initial Jobless Claims = 258k (expected 231k)
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Bitcoin has surged to a two-month high of $66,000, stirring excitement among crypto enthusiasts, just as $8.1 billion worth of option contracts are set to expire today. This event has not only heightened investor anxiety but also triggered a market jolt. Of the $8.1 billion in expiring bitcoin options, $4.9 billion comprises call options, which allow traders to purchase bitcoin at a predetermined price. The remaining $3.2 billion consists of put options, giving holders the right to sell the asset at a set price. Interestingly, at current market prices, about 28% of call options and 9% of put options are “in the money.” Approximately 55% of call options have an exercise price of $70,000 or higher, suggesting that about $2.7 billion could become worthless if bitcoin’s price remains below this level. Meanwhile, 69% of put options are priced at $56,000 or below, meaning $2.2 billion is unlikely to be exercised. Based on current prices, bulls are positioned to gain approximately $1 billion upon the expiration of the option contracts.
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