đDeFi enthusiasts, get your popcorn ready! Despite Trump's conviction, Polymarket bettors are betting on his return to the White House.đïž The odds? A solid 54%.đ
Meanwhile, Kalshi traders are betting against a rate cut this year.đ«đ°
Now, let's talk numbers. On Polymarket, Trump's conviction barely moved prices, knocking just a penny off the "yes" contract's value.đȘ
On the flip side, PredictIt, a more mainstream betting site, saw the Trump contract gain 1 cent post-verdict.đČ
As for Trump's prison sentence, Polymarket bettors are fairly confident he won't be seeing the inside of a cell.đ
In other news, Kalshi and Polymarket traders are not pricing in a rate cut, creating a stark contrast with the CME FedWatch poll.đ
Economists are split on whether the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates in 2024.đ€
What's your take? Are you team Polymarket or team PredictIt? And what about the rate cut? Let's get the conversation started in the comments!đ #DeFi #Web3