When Could Bitcoin Peak In This Bull Market?
According to analyst Rekt Capital
Historically, Bitcoin has peaked in its Bull Market 518-546 days after the Halving (Chart 1)
This is how typical Bitcoin Halving Cycles have progressed
So if history repeats...
Next Bull Market peak may occur 518-546 days after the Halving
That's mid-September or mid-October 2025
However, Bitcoin is showing clear signs of acceleration in its current cycle given how it reached new All Time Highs by approximately ~260 days ahead of schedule compared to historical norms
That being said, Bitcoin has been experiencing a Pre-Halving Retrace for the past month or so
As a result, Bitcoin has been slowing down and decelerating the cycle by 30 days thus far and counting
So while Bitcoin may have been accelerating by ~260 days last month...
Today this acceleration is now more close to ~230 days due to the current Pre-Halving Retrace
Nonetheless, this acceleration in the cycle may cut the typical Halving Cycle length in half
So if we measure Bull Market peaks from the moment an old All Time High is breached...
Then this perspective suggests Bitcoin would perform a Bull Market Top 266-315 days later from the moment it breaks its old All Time High
Bitcoin broke to new All Time Highs in this cycle last month in March
If the Accelerated Perspective turns out to be true, then the next Bull Market peak may thus occur in 266-315 days
That's December 2024 or February 2025
In sum, both perspectives are worth considering throughout the cycle, especially if acceleration in this cycle persists
However, the longer Bitcoin retraces or consolidates during certain periods, the more the cycle slows down, pushing the inevitable Bitcoin Bull Market Peak further into the future
