According to BlockBeats, with only two days remaining until the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate cut announcement on September 17, the U.S. interest rate market is divided on whether the cut will be 25 basis points or 50 basis points. Bloomberg data indicates that this is the most significant uncertainty among interest rate swap traders regarding any scheduled Fed meeting decision since the emergency rate cut in March 2020 during the pandemic, and before that, since 2007.
Former New York Fed President and Bloomberg Opinion columnist William Dudley reiterated his support for a 50 basis point cut on Monday. This shift by the Fed comes amid increasing political tensions in the United States, with less than two months remaining until the presidential election. Three Democratic senators have urged the Fed to aggressively lower the benchmark rate, including a 75 basis point cut this week, to shield the U.S. economy from potential harm.
Joe Tuckey, Head of FX Analysis at Argentex, a London-based currency risk management and payment solutions provider, stated that a more substantial rate cut by the Fed this week could likely push the dollar to new lows, while a smaller 25 basis point cut might significantly reduce currency volatility.