After breaking $4K, $ETH is seeing a much-needed pullback. Here's what comes next for Altcoins:
đ Key Highlights:
Whatâs coming next
How to plan your moves
đ Letâs dive in!
đ„ $ETH Hits $4K
This month, $ETH hit $4K for the first time since March amid rising inflows and whale accumulation.
Even with the recent correction, 7 Key Charts suggest good times ahead for Alts. Letâs break them down:
1ïžâŁ AltSeason Index
â What it Means: If 75% of the Top 50 coins outperform BTC over the last 90 days, it's officially AltSeason.
đ Current Status: The index went above 75 this month, signaling the start of AltSeason!
đ Historical Trend: Last cycle, this index stayed in AltSeason territory for nearly 3 months.
2ïžâŁ BTC Dominance
⥠Peak Alert: BTC dominance historically peaks 1,050 days after its last cycle bottomâthis happened in 2021 and again now.
đœ Recent Signal: BTC dominance dropped even during the recent BTC dump, indicating AltSeason has started.
3ïžâŁ ETH/BTC Ratio
đ Trend Reversal: Since the November bottom, ETH/BTC has surged 30% in just 3 weeks.
đ Cycle Insight: ETH/BTC tends to bottom after BTC makes a new ATH. This happened in 2016, 2020, and now again.
đ Q1 2025 Prediction: ETH/BTC likely won't drop below 0.03, and Alts are expected to dominate in early 2025.
4ïžâŁ ETH/USDT Golden Cross
đ What Happened: ETH/USDT formed its first golden cross since Q4 2023.
đ Past Impact: The last golden cross saw $ETH pump from $1,400 to $4,000 in 4 months.
5ïžâŁ Altcoin Market Cap (Total 2)
đ Key Metric: Altcoin MCap is down only 13% from its 2021 high and could hit a new ATH soon.
đ RSI Signal: RSI supertrend has flashed green, mirroring the 2021 AltSeason.
6ïžâŁ Altcoin MCap Excluding ETH (Total 3)
đ Breakout Alert: Total 3 broke out of a multi-year cup & handle pattern with strong volume.
đŻ Q1 Target: Altcoin MCap could reach $2.2T-$2.5T by early 2025.
7ïžâŁ Others MCap
đ Current Status: Others MCap is 30% below its last cycle high due to BTC hitting new highs and liquidity moving to large caps.
đ Q1 Prediction: Following a rounding bottom pattern, the target is $1.4T-$1.8T in Q1 2025.
đïž AltSeason Timeline
â Started: AltSeason has begun and retail is here.
đ Peak Prediction: Likely to peak around April 2025, similar to the 2021 cycle.
đĄ Reminder: Watch for overhyped narrativesâ"Sell in May and go away" might hold true again.
đŒ When to Exit the Market?
đ Signs of a Top:
1ïžâŁ Bitcoin On-chain Indicators
BTC dumps lead to Alt massacres.
Example: BTC dropped from $65K to $30K, and Alts fell 70%-90%.
2ïžâŁ Flippening Talks:
ETH flipping BTC, or $SOL flipping ETH, is often the final phase of the parabola.
3ïžâŁ Fundamental & Price Detachment:
Rug pulls and scam tokens pump parabolically.
Whales and long-term holders start aggressively selling.
4ïžâŁ Overly Bullish Sentiment:
Permabears turn bullish.
Celebrities launch tokens during hype.
People bash profit-takers.
đ Final Strategy:
1ïžâŁ Diversify Your Portfolio: Spread investments across DeFi, Layer 2, and GameFi.
2ïžâŁ Set Profit Targets: Avoid being caught in the hypeâexit smartly.
3ïžâŁ Watch BTC Trends: BTC rallies can pull liquidity away from Alts.
4ïžâŁ Stay Informed: Monitor on-chain metrics, whale activity, and social sentiment.
đ My Final Thoughts:
AltSeason is here, and opportunities are abundant. Accumulate, take profits, and donât be the one left holding the bag.
đŹ What are your thoughts? Which Altcoins are you betting on this cycle?