The question of a reduced fine or settlement was raised in a recent conversation with John Deaton, James Murphy (MetaLawMan), and Jeremy Hogan on Crypto Law where they shared insight about possible outcomes.

Trump had promised in his campaign that removing Gensler from office would be one of the things he would do upon taking office. This could lead to many pending crypto cases being dismissed or settled.

John Deaton asked if would be possible in a situation like this to get a stay on the case considering the huge amount of money that has been spent already. 

Jeremy Hogan responded by saying that he doesn’t see a situation where the appellate court stays the case, noting that the bigger question would be if Ripple would pay the $125 million at all in a situation where Trump orders the dismissal of all the crypto cases.

He also noted that it would be awkward if the SEC agreed to settle for a lesser fine, as it would cripple the judgment of the court.

“I think may be the bigger question is does ripple pay that $125 million because if Trump comes in and say get rid of these cases,” … “it’s gonna be awkward when you have a judgement from a trial level court judge saying $125 million and then the SEC comes in and accept less than that, it will just be an awkward thing to do,” he said

Ripple Has the Leverage to Pay Less than Agreed Amount

John Deaton moved on to ask MetaLawMan if he thought the SEC could settle for half the agreed amount. MetaLawMan noted that Ripple has the leverage to do so citing its cross-appeal that challenges the specifics of an “investment contract.”

He compared Ripples XRP institutional sales to that of Howey selling oranges to wholesalers at a cheaper rate, and the wholesalers reselling it to retailers at a higher amount.

He noted that even though there might be millions of dollars involved in the transaction, it is just a sale commodity since the wholesalers did not really invest in the Howey business to get profit. Moreover, he added that Ripple could use this comparison to talk down the $125 million fine amount.

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