MACD Weekly Golden Cross: A Historical Blueprint 🧵
Just analyzed every major BTC weekly MACD golden cross since 2019. The patterns are fascinating:
2019 Bull Start:
• Entry: $3,568
• Peak: $14,000
• Duration: 16 weeks
• Gain: 4x
2020 Mid-Bull Shakeout:
• Entry: $10,500
• Duration: 4 weeks
• Result: 312 crash
• Key: Liquidity dried up
2020 Major Bull Run:
• Entry: $7,606
• Peak: $65,000
• Duration: 52 weeks
• Gain: 9x (Monster run)
2021 Second Peak:
• Entry: $44,000
• Peak: $69,000
• Duration: 13 weeks
• Gain: 1.57x
2023 First Run:
• Entry: $16,500
• Peak: $31,000
• Duration: 15 weeks
• Gain: 1.88x
2023 Second Run:
• Entry: $27,000
• Peak: $73,777
• Duration: 22 weeks
• Gain: 2.73x
Current Signal:
• Entry: $62,000
• Week: 3 of golden cross
• Historical avg duration: 20 weeks
• Risk zone: Week 4 approaching
Key Insight: Week 4 has historically been a critical inflection point. Caution advised.
Remember: Every 4x+ gain started from a major bottom. Position size accordingly.
Are you watching these levels? 🤔