$TIA 80% of circulation supply unlock happened. Obviously everyone expect huge dump, but these price actions don't happen fast. Remember $ARB unlock for 87% - it hodled relatively strong for several weeks before made it's first monster dump.
Other thing to remember - now market is much more bullish, than it was in March. So #TIA might benefit from that and don't lose as much as it could in bearish market. Therefore my drawing for drop down to ~3.3 represent soft landing scenario.