This is not the first time we make a case for October being the start of an aggressive rally for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and lately we have presented you the evidence on the long-term 1W time-frame.

This time we want to focus on the 1D chart, where a more detailed analysis can be made on the fractals that lead to this rally. It was the very same pattern that helped us catch last year the amazing October 2023 - March 2024 rally, as you can see on our September 28 2023 post (see chart below):

As you can see both fractals (2023 and 2024) traded initially within a Triangle pattern that bottomed on an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). The bottom took place at the same time of the 1D Death Cross formation. Throughout the whole process, they were supported by the 1W MA50 (red trend-line).

Right now on the October 2024 fractal we are at the point where BTC just broke above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Triangle. On the 2023 fractal that led to a brutal rise that only took a 'break' after reaching the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, right after forming a 1D Golden Cross.

As a result, it is possible to see $88000 (Fib 2.0 ext) in December, before the market 'cools' again. Much of course will depend upon how the markets will digest the November U.S. elections but as we've shown you in analytical charts here, the result of event tends to make little difference.

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