Good morning, everyone☀️
As we enter a new week, we are stepping into a critical period for financial markets. The calm atmosphere that has persisted over the past few weeks may give way to a more dynamic one this week. In particular, the #FED interest rate decision to be announced on Wednesday, along with the economic projections that will be published after the meeting, could have a significant impact on global markets. This meeting will provide crucial insights not only into future interest rate policies but also into the direction of the U.S. economy.
One of the key developments in recent days is the sharp increase in the likelihood of a 50 basis points (bps) interest rate cut. Just a week ago, this probability was around 30%, but now it has risen to 59%. This change in expectations clearly reflects the sentiment of the markets. If the FED moves in this direction, it could signal the beginning of a monetary easing process, leading to increased liquidity and a shift towards riskier assets.
In this environment, it's highly likely that large capital, which has been parked in safer, high-yield assets, will start flowing into stocks and cryptocurrencies. We've already started seeing the initial signs of this shift last week when the downward trend was broken, and the price achieved a new, strong high. Especially in the crypto market, the $58k level stands out as a key support, and as long as it holds, the short-term outlook remains positive. $BTC
Additionally, as the week progresses, it will be crucial to keep a close eye on the markets. Throughout the day, I’ll be sharing various technical data, such as spot CVD , whale activity, and the liquidation map, to monitor the market's pulse. Whale buy and sell movements, in particular, can provide us with critical insights into the market’s direction. Moreover, by tracking the liquidation map, we can identify where large positions are concentrated and prepare for potential sudden price movements.
Wishing everyone a profitable and productive week!
