As the political world reacts to President Biden's recent announcement that he will be stepping down as the Democratic Party's nominee in the upcoming election, betting markets like Polymarket are reacting in tandem.
Unfortunately for some traders, Biden's announcement means any positions betting on him to win the upcoming race are now essentially worthless.
One such trader, AnonBidenBull, saw the value of three of his positions on Polymarket decline by a total of $2 million following Biden's announcement. AnonBidenBull had bet considerable sums that Joe Biden would win the 2024 nomination, win the Presidential election, and win the popular vote. But following Biden's announcements, the value of their positions crashed by 99%.
Start your day with the most influential events and analysis
happening across the digital asset ecosystem.
However, other traders found themselves on the right side of the news. One such trader had bet nearly $12,500 that Kamala Harris would be the 2024 Democratic nominee. While her ascension isn't yet certain, since Polymarket currently has VP Harris's odds at 79%, the value of that trader's position increased by over 6,000% to nearly $BTC Crypto traders have flocked to Polymarket in recent weeks, especially as speculation over Biden dropping out of the race began to swell. The site recently tapped election statistician Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight, as an advisor.
Disclaimer: The Block is an independent media outlet that delivers news, research, and data. As of November 2023, Foresight Ventures is a majority investor of The Block. Foresight Ventures invests in other companies in the crypto space. Crypto exchange Bitget is an anchor LP for Foresight Ventures. The Block continues to operate independently to deliver objective, impactful, and timely information about the crypto industry. Here are our current financial disclosures.
© 2023 The Block. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.