Bitcoin ready to retrace ?
$BTC

Hello All, As per me there are 2 retesting pending, I am expecting this retesting to be completed by Jan ... Lets hope for the best
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This decline follows a significant drop earlier in the week, where Bitcoin fell below the $100,000 mark after reaching record highs. The downturn was influenced by comments from the Federal Reserve indicating fewer interest-rate cuts in 2025, negatively impacting both equity and crypto markets.

Additionally, the recent rise in Bitcoin's value, bolstered by President Trump's win and his pledge to create a strategic Bitcoin reserve, led to increased profit-taking. However, Fed Chair Powell clarified that the Federal Reserve cannot add Bitcoin to its balance sheet, leaving this power to Congress.

Bitcoin's price has been experiencing a downward trend due to several factors:
Rising Interest Rates: Global interest rates, particularly in the U.S., have been on the rise. As interest rates increase, traditional investments like bonds and stocks tend to offer better returns, leading investors to shift away from riskier assets like Bitcoin.Market Corrections: Bitcoin, like many assets, is prone to market corrections after periods of significant growth. The price of Bitcoin had recently surged, and a natural pullback is occurring as profit-taking and market recalibration happen.Geopolitical and Regulatory Concerns: Uncertainty around cryptocurrency regulations and economic policies in major markets (like the U.S. and Europe) can lead to market volatility. Additionally, macroeconomic factors such as inflation concerns or geopolitical tensions can have an outsized effect on Bitcoin's price.Investor Sentiment: There has been a lot of speculation about Bitcoin's future growth. Any uncertainty or negative news regarding cryptocurrency markets, including potential regulation or institutional withdrawal, can dampen investor sentiment and lead to a sell-off.
Future Prediction for the Next 3 Days (Using ARIMA Model):
Based on the ARIMA time-series model, which takes into account recent trends, the following predictions are made for the next 3 days:
December 20, 2024: $95,508 December 21, 2024: $93,000December 22, 2024: $90,500
Reason for 3-Day Prediction:
Short-Term Downtrend: The model predicts that Bitcoin will continue to experience a decline in the next few days due to the ongoing market correction. Rising interest rates and the broader economic sentiment are likely to drive the price lower.Profit-Taking: Given the recent highs, many investors may be liquidating their positions, putting downward pressure on the price. Additionally, Bitcoin is known for its volatility, and a short-term pullback after a rally is common.
Prediction for January 2025:
Looking into January 2025, we consider both historical trends and external market factors to predict a potential recovery for Bitcoin.
January 1, 2025: $98,000January 15, 2025: $102,500January 31, 2025: $105,000
Reason for January Prediction:
Seasonality Effect: Historically, January has often been a strong month for Bitcoin, partly due to the "January Effect." This effect sees a rise in cryptocurrency prices as new investors enter the market at the start of the year. People may also be reallocating investments following year-end tax planning.Market Sentiment and Recovery: As the year progresses, investors may become more optimistic, especially if any regulatory clarity or favorable market conditions emerge. Bitcoin’s price tends to rebound after short-term declines, and any positive sentiment could lead to increased buying pressure.Institutional Investment: In the latter part of the year, Bitcoin has also seen increasing institutional interest. As 2025 progresses, further institutional adoption could drive up demand, particularly if Bitcoin is seen as a hedge against inflation or economic uncertainty.
Conclusion:
Short-Term Downtrend: The next 3 days show a slight decline in Bitcoin's price, driven by market correction and profit-taking after a recent rally.Long-Term Optimism for January: As January arrives, historical trends and seasonal factors suggest a potential rebound for Bitcoin, leading to a steady increase in price.
Overall, while Bitcoin faces a short-term dip, the outlook for January 2025 looks positive due to seasonal factors and increased institutional interest.

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Bitcoin's price action continues to intrigue traders as it consolidates within an ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe. The recent rejection from the channel's upper boundary at $108,000 indicates that bearish pressure might dominate the short term. Currently, BTC trades around $101,450, testing a critical support level near $102,000.

Key Observations:
Ascending Channel in Play: The structure highlights an upward trend, with BTC respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of the channel. The dotted midline has acted as a dynamic pivot, influencing price movement over recent weeks.
$BTC
Bearish Breakdown Potential: A clear break below $102,000 could lead BTC toward the next significant horizontal support at $98,236. This level aligns closely with the channel's lower boundary, making it a crucial zone for bulls to defend.

Key Resistance Zone: If bulls manage to reclaim $103,000, BTC could retest the midline or even the $106,000 level. However, failure to sustain above the $102,000 support could accelerate a bearish trend.

RSI Divergence: Hidden bearish divergence on the RSI suggests weakening bullish momentum, supporting the case for a deeper correction.

Expected Scenarios:
A retest of $98,000 would provide an excellent opportunity for bullish accumulation within the channel structure.
If the price rebounds from the lower boundary, bulls may aim for $106,000-$108,000 in the medium term.
A confirmed breakdown below $98,000 might invalidate the channel, opening doors for further downside to $94,000.
Trade at your own Risk 👍
Best Regards, Trade Cryptocurrency
Stay Tuned for Further Updates.
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$BTC

BTCUSD Techncial analssyso update

BTC price is currently trading at the 200 EMA level, which will act as strong support on the 4-hour chart. Additionally, the price is approaching the trend support line, which is considered a key support level for BTC. The volume profile also indicates significant support in the $ 94K-96K range. A strong bounce from this level can be expected
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Listen up, traders! The post-Fed chaos is here, and it’s time to stay sharp. Forget the “buy the dip” noise—this market demands caution. Here’s what you need to know:

1. Fed Rate Cut Drama: Powell’s 0.25 bps rate cut has shaken the market, sparking volatility that’s far from over. Don’t get caught in the storm.

2. Market Cooling Off: After months of climbing, both crypto and stocks are taking a natural breather. It’s not a crash, but it’s also not the time to jump blindly.

3. Dollar on the Rise: The strengthening dollar is creating headwinds for BTC and alts, amplifying market uncertainty.

⚠️ So, what’s the play here?

HODL your spot bags if you’ve got solid positions—don’t panic sell.

DCA smartly, but only into clear bullish trends. Timing is everything right now.

Most importantly, stay patient. Wait for strong signals before making moves.

This is a time for strategy, not impulse. The opportunities will come—make sure you’re ready to capitalize when they do. Are you sitting tight or moving cautiously? Let’s talk!
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What if Bitcoin’s dream of becoming a reserve asset is officially dead? Powell didn’t just reject the idea—he shut the door completely, leaving the crypto world in disbelief.

Rate cuts? Think again. Powell’s revelation of only two cuts in 2025, when the market was counting on more, has sent a shockwave through investors. Could this signal a longer, darker road ahead for recovery?

And then comes the inflation bombshell: two years to hit the 2% target. But here’s the twist—a potential rate hike in 2025? The unexpected curveball leaves the future hanging by a thread.

Bitcoin is breaking down, traditional markets are spiraling, and uncertainty is seeping into every corner of finance. Is this just the beginning of a deeper collapse, or is something bigger brewing behind the scenes?

The clock is ticking, and the stakes couldn’t be higher. The market is on edge—are you ready for what’s next?
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#BTCNextMove
Bitcoin recently hit a low of $92,000, shaking the market, but it’s now recovering and trading around $97,000. Traders are watching closely — is this a bounce, or are we gearing up for more action?

Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $92,000 held during the drop.Resistance: $101,000 is the next challenge.

What the Indicators Say:
RSI: Neutral at 65, leaving room for movement in either direction.Volume: Picking up, a potential sign of growing interest.

🚀 What’s Next?
If Bitcoin breaks resistance, we could see bullish momentum return. However, another rejection could lead to more downside. Stay sharp, manage your risk, and keep an eye on the charts.

💬 What’s your take on BTC’s next move? Comment below and let’s discuss!
📢 This post is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research.

During the latest meeting of the Federal Reserve which happened yesterday, the rates were reduced by 25 basis points, and the policy changes began with altering the amount of cuts to be made the following year. The news consequences caused bitcoin to undo the market retracement.
After reaching an all-time high of 98k and shedding off 8%, BTC soon saw all the liquidity it needed. In addition to the economic slump, The Fed's decisions created turmoil in the bitcoin market as well as others.
A new major BTC whale’s activity on chain generated curiosity in the other mob looking for angles. All in all it suggests with over 72,000 BTC moved it means the market is reaching its saturation point. Once in a while there are major swings at the early stages of the adoption curve, which turn out to be a leading indicator of price bottoms, since such major activities create emotions and liquidity in the market.
Despite the trend, the fact that BTC continues to trade above liquidity regions has put many investors at ease. The question still stands: is this a shakeout that directs the next pushes higher or is it a more significant correction?
Millions of traders and analysts aim at understanding the next step of bitcoin bears and animus which might be a juncture around this unusually peculiar whale activity and the macro policy. These few coming days will probably answer the ideal bitcoin trend and price range in the short run, unrevealed yet.
Actions of Bitcoin Whales
The swings after Bitcoin’s breakout above $67K to $108K start evolving into a market sentiment whereby rational investors began preparing for the months. Noteworthy in this case is the fact as the price increased major holders like that of Bitcoin whales started to move their belongings meaning to say drastic changes are nearing.
On-chain whale statistics provided Maartunn a top analyst include ballistic outflows of Canadian over 72000 btc. An on-chain transaction recently enabled 8000 5_7 years ‘old bitcoins’ about 8000 to be moved.
The off market trades approximating eight in a span of fourteen days suggest patterns of great whale migrations. These trades can be interpreted in two different ways.
Considering the Heavy Liquidity Wallet, Big Whale migrations could be signaled if they look to target market tops. The statement above explains the massive change in volume that caused an increase in BTC price If this is true then the liquidity providers of the big whale database would have taken profits out before a pullback.
Some price swings notify us that whales are positioning themselves hoping the intestine pump will come during altcoin season.
The market wonder if these transactions in bulk is indicator of relief, or if it represents a clever shift position by Bitcoin's top holders. This focus will be high among investors in the upcoming weeks.

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