Geopolitical
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Dovish turn at the Fed with supply-demand imbalances🌍
Taking it all together, geopolitical concerns, signs of a dovish turn at the Fed, and expectations of a slowing consumer have fully emboldened the 'peak rate' narrative. While front-end yields might be capped along that line of thinking, longer-end yields will likely continue to fluctuate given supply-demand imbalance, with Treasury funding needs spiking against the backdrop of QT and stubborn inflation pressures.
#Geopolitical #FederalReserve #PeakRate #Yields #macro
Taking it all together, geopolitical concerns, signs of a dovish turn at the Fed, and expectations of a slowing consumer have fully emboldened the 'peak rate' narrative. While front-end yields might be capped along that line of thinking, longer-end yields will likely continue to fluctuate given supply-demand imbalance, with Treasury funding needs spiking against the backdrop of QT and stubborn inflation pressures.
#Geopolitical #FederalReserve #PeakRate #Yields #macro
#write2earn Crypto Market Analysis: #Bitcoin Rebounds Above $65,000 Amidst #Geopolitical Tensions #BullorBear #MarketStorm $BTC
Bitcoin is currently trading above $65,000, with ether back up over $3,100 as the market has settled down following Iran's significant drone and missile attack on Israel, which was largely thwarted by air defense systems.
Over the weekend, Bitcoin slipped below $62,000 amidst heightened geopolitical tensions. However, things seem to have calmed down now, with indications that the conflict won't escalate further, particularly as the U.S. has stated it won't participate in an Israeli counter-attack on Iran, as reported by Al-Jazeera.
According to traders on Polymarket, the likelihood of Israeli military action against Iran by April 15 has dropped to just 4%, down from nearly 57% in the immediate aftermath of Iran's missile strike.
During the peak of the tension, PAXG, a digital asset representing gold created by Paxos, was trading at a 20% premium compared to physical gold, as crypto traders sought refuge in the traditional safe-haven asset.
Even before the tension escalated, the digital asset market was facing significant selling pressure due to the U.S. tax season, which coincides with the run-up to the halving.
Arthur Hayes noted in a blog post that the halving coincides with a period of tighter dollar liquidity, potentially exacerbating the sell-off of crypto assets.
Additionally, traders are eagerly awaiting the launch of bitcoin and possibly ether ETFs in Hong Kong this week, which could provide Chinese traders with easier access to digital assets. Matrixport estimates that these ETFs could unlock a demand of up to $25 billion.
Bitcoin is currently trading above $65,000, with ether back up over $3,100 as the market has settled down following Iran's significant drone and missile attack on Israel, which was largely thwarted by air defense systems.
Over the weekend, Bitcoin slipped below $62,000 amidst heightened geopolitical tensions. However, things seem to have calmed down now, with indications that the conflict won't escalate further, particularly as the U.S. has stated it won't participate in an Israeli counter-attack on Iran, as reported by Al-Jazeera.
According to traders on Polymarket, the likelihood of Israeli military action against Iran by April 15 has dropped to just 4%, down from nearly 57% in the immediate aftermath of Iran's missile strike.
During the peak of the tension, PAXG, a digital asset representing gold created by Paxos, was trading at a 20% premium compared to physical gold, as crypto traders sought refuge in the traditional safe-haven asset.
Even before the tension escalated, the digital asset market was facing significant selling pressure due to the U.S. tax season, which coincides with the run-up to the halving.
Arthur Hayes noted in a blog post that the halving coincides with a period of tighter dollar liquidity, potentially exacerbating the sell-off of crypto assets.
Additionally, traders are eagerly awaiting the launch of bitcoin and possibly ether ETFs in Hong Kong this week, which could provide Chinese traders with easier access to digital assets. Matrixport estimates that these ETFs could unlock a demand of up to $25 billion.
