Global economic weakness reverses interest rate trends👀

With short-positioning extremely crowded in bonds, the soft global survey data was enough to temporarily crack the higher-for-longer facade, with 2/10s bull flattening by ~6bp and yields about 10-13bp lower across the curve. On the other hand, the 10am BLS Payroll revision of -306k (vs -500k expectation) gave a temporary pause to the bond rally with the labour market still looking solid, though eventually the short-squeeze continued with the bond rally squeezing all the way into and out of the 20yr treasury auction. Technical indicators are pointing to a further bullish retracement of bond prices back to the early August lows, with perhaps Powell's Jackson-Hole speech providing a possible trigger.

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