Buy Hi! I’m Back (HI)

Crypto လောကထဲ အခုမှစဝင်တဲ့သူတွေအနေနဲ့ ငွေမဆုံးရှုံးဘဲ စနစ်တကျ Trading လုပ်နိုင်ဖို့ လိုက်နာသင့်တဲ့အခြေခံအချက် ၅ ချက် ကို ဖော်ပြပေးလိုက်ပါတယ်။ သိပ်ကြီး ရှုပ်ထွေးမနေပါဘူး၊ ပေါ့ပေါ့ပါးပါး ဖတ်လို့ရအောင် ရေးထားပေးပါတယ်!
1️⃣ Risk Management လုပ်ပါ (အရှုံးမများအောင် ကြိုတွေးပါ)
Crypto က စျေးအတက်အကျ မြန်လွန်းတာကြောင့် Trade တစ်ခုမှာ "ဘယ်လောက်အထိ ရှုံးလို့ရလဲ" ဆိုတာ အရင်ဆုံး ဆုံးဖြတ်ပါ။ ဥပမာ - ကိုယ့် Saving ထဲကငွေရဲ့ ၅၀% ထက်ပိုပြီး မရင်းပါနဲ့။ "All-in" လုပ်တာက လောင်းကစားသမားတွေအတွက်ပါ။ ပျမ်းမျှ ၅-၁၀% လောက်နဲ့ပဲ စပါ။  
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2️⃣ FOMO (အမြန်လိုက်ချင်စိတ်) ကို ရှောင်ပါ
အနားက လူတွေ "ဒီ Coin တက်တော့မယ်၊ မြန်မြန်ဝယ်!" လို့ပြောနေရင် လိုက်မဝယ်ပါနဲ့။ အထူးသဖြင့် Pump & Dump Scam တွေဆိုရင် ကိုယ့်ကို ထိခိုက်စေနိုင်ပါတယ်။ သတင်းတစ်ခု‌တွေ့ရင် မှန်မမှန် Fact Check အရင်လုပ်ပါ။
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3️⃣ Stop-Loss Order ကို သုံးပါ
Stop-Loss ဆိုတာက ကိုယ်ဝယ်ထားတဲ့ Coin စျေးကျလာရင် အလိုအလျောက် ရောင်းထုတ်ပေးတဲ့ System ပါ။ ဥပမာ - ကိုယ် ၁ ဒေါ်လာနဲ့ ဝယ်ထားတဲ့ Coin က ၀.၇ ဒေါ်လာရောက်ရင် အလိုလို ရောင်းသွားမယ်လို့ သတ်မှတ်ထားနိုင်တယ်။ ဒီလို Tools တွေကို သုံးပြီး အရှုံးကို Control လုပ်လို့ရပါတယ်။  
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4️⃣ Technical Analysis (TA) ကို လေ့လာပါ
အကြံပေးချင်တာက  Charts & Indicators တွေ ကို သုံးပြီး Trade တာပါ။ TA က စျေးနှုန်းအတက်အကျကို ခန့်မှန်းဖို့ အများကြီး ကူညီပေးနိုင်ပါတယ်။ ဒါပေမယ့် အားလုံး ၁၀၀% မှန်တာမဟုတ်ဘူးဆိုတာတော့ သတိထားစေချင်ပါတယ်။
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5️⃣ Coin/Token တစ်ခုတည်း စုဝယ်တာမျိုးမလုပ်ပါနဲ့၊ Exchange တစ်ခုထဲမှာပဲ ပိုက်ဆံအကုန်မထည့်ထားပါနဲ့
ကိုယ့် ပိုက်ဆံကို Coin/Token တစ်ခုတည်း စုဝယ်တာမျိုးမလုပ်ပါနဲ့။ ပြီးတော့ Exchange တစ်ခုထက်ပိုသုံးပါ။ ဥပမာ - Binance မှာ တစ်ဝက်၊ Bybit မှာ တစ်ဝက်ဆိုပါစို့။ ဒါမှ FTX လိုမျိုး ကိစ္စတွေဖြစ်လာတဲ့အခါ အကုန်မဆုံးရှုံးဘူးလေ။  
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⚠️ Disclaimer
Crypto မှာ ရင်းနှီးမြှုပ်နှံတာက တော်တော်လေးကို အန္တရာယ်များပါတယ်။ စျေးနှုန်းတွေက အရမ်းကို အပြောင်းအလဲမြန်တော့ ဆုံးရှုံးနိုင်တဲ့ ပမာဏထက် ပိုပြီး မရင်းနှီးပါနဲ့ခင်ဗျာ။ ပြီးတော့ ရင်းနှီးမြှုပ်နှံမှု မလုပ်ခင် သေချာလေ့လာတာ အကောင်းဆုံးပါ။ ဒီဆောင်းပါးက ရင်းနှီးမြှုပ်နှံဖို့ အကြံပေးတာ မဟုတ်ပါဘူးနော်။ Crypto ရဲ့ စျေးနှုန်းတွေက အချိန်နဲ့အမျှ ပြောင်းလဲနိုင်ပြီး မမျှော်လင့်တဲ့ အရာတွေလည်း ဖြစ်လာနိုင်လို့ သတိထားပြီး ရင်းနှီးမြှုပ်နှံဖို့ အရေးကြီးပါတယ်။ ရင်းနှီးမြှုပ်နှံမှုတိုင်းမှာ အန္တရာယ်ရှိတယ်ဆိုတာ မမေ့ပါနဲ့။  
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The Pi Network, a mobile-first cryptocurrency project launched in 2019, has captivated millions with its promise of accessibility and inclusivity. With over 35 million users mining Pi coins via their smartphones, anticipation for its eventual listing on exchanges has reached a fever pitch. Yet, as the project inches closer to its long-delayed mainnet launch, a critical question looms: what will Pi’s listing price be? While some enthusiasts dream of astronomical valuations, a growing consensus among analysts and market observers suggests a far more modest debut—between $0.01 and $2. This article delves into the factors driving this prediction, blending data, market dynamics, and human psychology into a compelling narrative of why Pi’s grand entrance might be more grounded than its community hopes.
The Hype Machine: Pi’s Unique Appeal
Pi Network’s allure lies in its simplicity. Unlike traditional cryptocurrencies requiring energy-intensive mining rigs, Pi allows users to “mine” coins directly from their phones with minimal resource consumption. This democratized approach has attracted a massive, diverse user base, particularly in regions with limited access to advanced technology. The project’s vision of a Web 3.0 ecosystem, where Pi powers decentralized applications (dApps) and real-world utilities, further fuels excitement. With millions of “Pioneers” (Pi’s term for its miners) eagerly awaiting the open mainnet, the stage is set for a highly anticipated market debut.
But hype alone doesn’t dictate price. The transition from a pre-launch, non-tradable token to a listed cryptocurrency introduces a complex interplay of supply, demand, and external pressures. Let’s break down why Pi’s listing price is likely to fall within the $0.01–$2 range.
1. Massive Supply Meets Limited Initial Liquidity
One of the most significant factors influencing Pi’s listing price is its supply. Pi Network has not disclosed an exact circulating supply at launch, but estimates suggest billions of coins have already been mined by its 35 million+ users. With a maximum supply potentially reaching 100 billion coins (based on project goals), the sheer volume of Pi in existence poses a challenge. High supply typically depresses price unless met with equally robust demand.
Upon listing, only a fraction of these coins will be immediately tradable, as many users face barriers such as unverified balances, locked coins, or incomplete Know Your Customer (KYC) processes. However, even this limited initial supply could overwhelm early market liquidity. Cryptocurrency exchanges rely on buy and sell orders to establish price stability, but with millions of early adopters potentially eager to cash out after years of mining, selling pressure could dominate. This imbalance suggests a low starting price, likely closer to $0.01 than $2, as the market struggles to absorb the influx of sell orders.
2. The Psychology of Early Adopters
Human behavior plays a pivotal role in Pi’s price dynamics. Many Pioneers have invested years into mining Pi, often with little more than faith in its future value. This emotional attachment could lead to two contrasting outcomes: hodling (holding onto coins in anticipation of future gains) or immediate selling to realize profits. Posts on platforms like Facebook, X and Binance Square indicate a mix of both sentiments, with some users predicting a $1–$3 listing price but acknowledging potential hurdles like lost seed phrases, deceased miners, or locked-up coins until 2027.
The reality, however, is that a significant portion of early adopters may opt to sell upon listing, especially if the price exceeds their expectations (e.g., above $0.01). This behavior mirrors patterns seen in other cryptocurrency launches, where pent-up supply from pre-launch participants floods the market, driving prices down. Without a strong counterbalancing demand from new buyers, Pi’s price could stabilize at the lower end of the $0.01–$2 spectrum.
3. Lack of Pre-Launch Market Validation
Unlike many cryptocurrencies that establish value through Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs) or pre-sales, Pi Network has operated in a closed ecosystem. While IOUs (placeholders for Pi coins) have been traded on some exchanges, their prices ranging from $38 to $64 do not reflect the true market value of Pi, as they are speculative and not directly tied to the project’s official tokens. This absence of pre-launch market validation means Pi will enter the market as an untested asset, subject to wild price discovery.
Historical data from other cryptocurrency launches suggests that projects with large pre-mined supplies and no prior trading history often debut at low prices. For example, tokens like XRP and Cardano started at fractions of a cent before gaining traction. Pi’s lack of established utility or adoption beyond its community further supports a conservative initial valuation, likely starting at $0.01 and potentially climbing to $2 only with sustained buying interest.
4. External Market Conditions and Competition
The broader cryptocurrency market will also shape Pi’s listing price. As of February 16, 2025, the crypto market remains volatile, with major coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum experiencing fluctuations driven by macroeconomic factors, regulatory developments, and investor sentiment. A new entrant like Pi must compete with established projects boasting proven utility, liquidity, and developer ecosystems. Without immediate real-world use cases or dApp adoption, Pi may struggle to attract significant investment, capping its initial price.
Moreover, regulatory uncertainty could dampen enthusiasm. Pi Network’s prolonged pre-launch phase and lack of transparency have drawn skepticism, with some questioning its legitimacy. If regulatory bodies impose restrictions or exchanges hesitate to list Pi, demand could falter, keeping prices low.
5. The $0.01–$2 Range: A Realistic Scenario
So why $0.01 to $2 specifically? This range emerges from a synthesis of the factors above:
Lower Bound ($0.01): A starting price of $0.01 reflects the high supply, potential selling pressure, and lack of pre-launch market validation. It aligns with the debut prices of other high-supply tokens and accounts for the possibility of a “sell-off shock” as early miners liquidate their holdings.Upper Bound ($2): A price of $2 represents an optimistic scenario where Pi garners significant interest from new buyers, possibly driven by hype, media coverage, or early dApp adoption. This upper limit assumes moderate liquidity and a gradual increase in demand, tempered by the realities of supply and competition.
Analysts and posts on Facebook, X and Binance Square echo this range, with some predicting $1- $3 but cautioning against over-optimism. For instance, posts suggest that locked coins, KYC issues, and lost seed phrases could reduce selling pressure, allowing prices to stabilize above $1. However, without a robust ecosystem or immediate utility, $2 remains a practical ceiling for the initial listing phase.
The Road Ahead: Beyond the Listing
While a $0.01–$2 listing price may disappoint some Pi enthusiasts, it’s not the end of the story. Pi Network’s long-term success hinges on its ability to deliver on its promises: building a vibrant ecosystem of dApps, achieving widespread adoption, and establishing real-world utility. If the project can overcome its challenges such as delayed mainnet launches and transparency concerns it could see gradual price appreciation over time, much like other cryptocurrencies that started small and grew with adoption.
For now, the $0.01- $2 range represents a sobering yet realistic entry point. It’s a reminder that in the world of cryptocurrency, hype can ignite imagination, but market dynamics ultimately dictate reality. As Pi Network prepares to step into the spotlight, its community must brace for a modest debut and focus on the long game to unlock its true potential. #PPIShockwave #PI

Javier Milei just DESTROYED the memecoin market:
Hours ago, Argentinian President Milei launched a memecoin, #libra , for "the growth of their economy."
Within 5 hours, over -$4.4 BILLION of market cap was erased.

Is this the biggest rug pull in history?
It all began with this post at 5:01 PM ET from Javier Milei.

As seen during President Trump's memecoin launch, the first hour was full of speculation:

Was this a hack or a real launch?

It turned out to be real as multiple other Argentinian politicians posted the news.

Right off the bat, something seemed off about this project.

The website says the purpose of this launch is "to boost the Argentine economy by funding small projects."

The icing on the cake?

The website literally links to a Google Form to "apply for funding." Strange.

But it gets worse.

The website was created hours before launch, as shown below.

The domain was registered for a 1-year registration period.

There is no public owner information and there are multiple restricted domain statuses.

Was this project literally created overnight?

Within 3 hours of the launch, insiders in $LIBRA began cashing out.

According to Bubblemaps, $87.4 MILLION was cashed out within the first 3 hours.

Furthermore, 82% of $LIBRA was held in one cluster and no tokenomics were shared with the public.

But it gets even worse.

As Bubblemaps notes below, insiders were adding one-sided liquidity pools on Meteora with only $LIBRA.

They were removing USD and $SOL sol and used these liquidity pools instead of selling on the market.

$LIBRA fell 90%+ as the $87.4M in sales absorbed all buy pressure at the top.

Within minutes of the launch, multiple large holders began liquidating MILLIONS of USD worth of $LIBRA.

This included gains of +$4 million or more as $LIBRA rose to $4.6 billion in market cap.

After the top was set at 5:40 PM ET, the coin fell in a literal straight-line.

In fact, these insiders controlled so much of the market that only ~27% of transactions were sales.

This means that LARGE sale transactions were filled by smaller buys, likely to retail traders.

For every seller, there were 2 buyers and over $1.1 BILLION of volume was traded.

Now, #JavierMilei has posted that he was "not aware of the details of the project."

He says that after becoming aware of the details, he decided to stop spreading the word and delete the post.

$LIBRA just fell to a new low of $200 million in market cap, erasing $4.4 BILLION.

The launch of this coin took so much liquidity out of the market that even $TRUMP coin fell sharply.

We saw over $500 MILLION in market cap erased from $TRUMP after the launch.

More than 50,000 wallets became holders of $LIBRA within the first 2 hours of launch.

This entire event has completely destroyed the majority of liquidity in the memecoin market.

$6+ billion of market cap has been erased over the last 3 hours across the market.
This is not the first and it won’t be the last mainstream #memecoin launch to rug retail investors.

Early signs of these scams have become increasingly easy to spot.
Stay SAFU and share this article – together, with strength and support, we can protect our funds.

Coin Name : #xrp
Signal Type : Long

As we can see, XRP has recovered quite fast in this dip. But I would say the shakeout will throwback XRP back to around 1.6 to 1.7 level. But first a relief pump is ahead. We will sweep the previous high then actually start going down to those levels. After hitting XRP's important accumulation zone at least at 1.65 area, we will see quick recovery back towards our current levels. Be ready for the shakeout, avoid leverage and we all know ultimately XRP is going up but if you zoom in, you can see levels that needs to be hit.

BTC.D has fallen from its VAL and lost its major support. This is quite bearish for BTC.D, we can expect a good relief rally on altcoins from here.

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TOTAL3 has broken out its VAH and targeting the 0.618 Fibonacci level. Bullish indication for altcoins.

In long term, USDT.D is super bearish. We are going to see an insane altcoin season ahead.

Trade Details:

Entry : 1.65 ( Join my Binance live for premium crypto signals )

TP : 4.75
SL : accumulate

$XRP

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