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#BTC/USDT ANALYSIS Bitcoin has broken down from the descending triangle and is currently trading below it. The 200-day moving average is acting as resistance above the price action, suggesting further downward movement. However, if Bitcoin attempts a retest but instead breaks above the resistance of the 200MA, further consolidation within the triangle can be expected. A decisive breakout above the triangle would serve as a strong bullish confirmation. $BTC
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#TOTAL MARKET CAP ANALYSIS The total cryptocurrency market cap is presently confined within a descending channel pattern and has recently tested the lower trendline, showing signs of an attempted rebound. However, resistance is being encountered from the Ichimoku cloud situated within the channel. For a bullish reversal to be confirmed, the market cap would need to break out above the upper trendline of the channel. Conversely, a breakdown below the support trendline could indicate further declines, signaling a continuation of the bearish trend.
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📌 Nick Timiraos ( #FED insider ): - The June Nonfarm will make the Fed meeting in July more interesting. - At the next meeting (in September) there may be a real debate about the need to reduce the interest rate. ▪️ Minutes from the last Fed meeting: - The Fed is not ready to cut the rate until it gains confidence in the trajectory of inflation towards the target 2%. - Most Fed chairmen consider the current monetary policy to be restrictive. - Economic growth is slowing down. - The Fed rate may be reduced by the end of the year. ▪️ Williams, Fed Chairman: - We still have a long way to go to achieve inflation = 2.0% on a sustainable basis. - Monetary policy uncertainty remains the main factor in the near future. 📍Market expectations (Fed rate): - July 31: Pause. - September 18: decrease by 25 bp. up to 5.00-5.25%. - November 7: Pause. - December 18: decrease by 25 bp. up to 4.75-5.00%. - January 29, 2025: decrease by 25 bps. up to 4.50-4.75%.
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