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EL-SHADDAI
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En ne surtradant pas et en attendant que les eaux se calment.
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Xilentza17
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Comment puis-je survivre à un marché baissier ?
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Fed’s Mixed Messages: Markets React, Crypto Bleeds The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting sent shockwaves through the markets. What should have been a stabilizing moment turned into a perfect storm of uncertainty. Let’s unpack what happened—and what it means for crypto. The Fed’s Confusing Narrative Powell’s message was bizarre: • “Recession has been avoided, the economy is strong, and next year will be great!” But then: • Inflation targets weren’t met (though it’s mostly a technical issue). • Jobs are weakening faster than pre-pandemic levels, yet the Fed is “hopeful” about stopping the fall. Mixed Data Signals • GDP: Q3 revised to 3.1%, beating the 2.8% forecast. • Unemployment Claims: Initial claims at 220k (better than 230k expected), with continuing claims slightly lower. • Job-Finding Rate: Powell highlighted its sharp decline, mirroring drops seen in 2001, 2008, and COVID recessions. Add to that rising unemployment, a falling employment-to-population ratio, and the recently uninverted yield curve—all classic recession signals. Crypto’s Volatile Reaction The crypto market plummeted, here’s why: 1. Rate Cut Fallout: The Fed’s 0.25 bps cut, meant to boost growth, signaled economic weakness. 2. Investor Shift: Risk assets like crypto dropped as investors moved to safer bets. 3. Massive Liquidations: Over $850M, mostly longs, were liquidated, fueling the sell-off. What’s Next? Here’s the silver lining: • VIX Spike: Yesterday’s big VIX jump often signals a rebound within 30 days. • Market Reset: Patience now could pay off later. • BTC.D: Watch dominance—if it hits 60%, alts could suffer. Volatility is high, and the market is waiting for clarity. Until then, doing less might be your smartest move. If you’re unsure how to approach this chaos, consider copy trading with me. Let’s ride out the storm and position ourselves for the next wave. Click here to copy and: 🚀💰
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DO NOT GO TO SLEEP WITHOUT A STOP LOSS 🚨📈 This may seem obvious, but it happens—even to the most experienced traders. You’re convinced you’ve read the market perfectly. Your ego whispers, “You don’t need a stop-loss. You’ve got this.” But then… Europe wakes up with fresh data. The U.S. decides the market’s heading in a different direction. War escalates in the Middle East, sending shockwaves through the markets. And just like that, your “perfect” trade becomes an expensive lesson in humility. Why You Should Never Skip a Stop-Loss: 1. Markets Don’t Sleep: While you rest, the global market operates 24/7. Each region brings its own sentiment, news, and volatility. 2. Emotions Override Logic: Without a stop-loss, you’re left with decisions fueled by fear or panic during a sudden move. 3. Protecting Capital: Trading is about longevity. One bad trade without a stop-loss can wipe out weeks—or months—of progress. 4. Unexpected Events: Black swans, war escalations, or news bombs can send prices into a free fall. Stop-losses act as your safety net. How to Protect Yourself: • Set It and Forget It: Always place a stop-loss at a level that respects your risk tolerance. This is non-negotiable. • Adjust for Time Zones: If you’re sleeping, account for potential market shifts in other regions when placing your stop-loss. • Diversify: Don’t overexpose yourself to one trade. Diversification cushions against catastrophic losses. • Don’t Let Ego Trade: You’re not smarter than the market. Trade with discipline, not emotion. Even the best traders get caught up in overconfidence. SL isn’t just about minimizing losses—it’s about sleeping peacefully, knowing you’ve done your job to protect your portfolio. If you want to trade without fear of these sleepless nights, check out my copy trading account. I manage risk, including stop-losses, with discipline so you don’t have to. Click here to copy and 🚀💰.Cheers!
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STOP TRADING ALTS 🛑…for Now A lot is happening after the Fed meeting, and I’ll break that down in my next post. But for now, I have to be here the voice of reason, and here’s the most important thing I can tell you: STOP TRADING ALTS. Don’t listen to all the fake crypto gurus telling you to buy this coin or that coin right now. We don’t know where the bottom of this drop is yet, and there’s no clear signal to guide us. Here’s a quick summary of what’s going on: • Yesterday, the Fed cut rates by 0.25 bps, and Powell’s speech sent the markets into more volatility—nothing new there. • Crypto and stocks have been pumping hard for the past few months, so this retracement was overdue. • The dollar is strengthening, and naturally, that’s putting downward pressure on BTC. So, What Should You Do? • Spot Bags: Keep them as they are. If you’ve got strong positions, just hold. I’d advise further DCA if you’re in a bullish trend, but don’t jump the gun yet. Wait for a clear signal before making any major moves. • Futures: Be very careful in this volatile market. Personally, I’ve only longed LINK, which is still not in profit, and I’m staying out until I see a clear opportunity. I’ll move with a small risk until the market gives me something more predictable. • BTC.D: This is where my concern lies. BTC dominance is nowhere near resistance. One spike to 60% and alts could drop another 20-30%. A massacre, basically. The market is volatile, and sometimes doing very little is the best move. I’m staying cautious for now and keeping my eyes on the market’s next move. If you want to make sure you’re navigating these waves without getting caught off guard, check out my copy trading account. I’m managing risk while others chase every shiny altcoin—because, let’s be honest, sometimes doing nothing is the best move. Click here to copy and 💰🚀 Stay smart, stay patient, and let’s ride this out together.
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