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đ Bitcoin Quotidien đ
La baisse Ă 100,5k a Ă©tĂ© suffisante pour obtenir de la liquiditĂ© pour $BTC afin de casser le dĂ©veloppement de l'AnnĂ©e VAH3 et de crĂ©er un nouvel ATH đ La tendance haussiĂšre se poursuit.
Comme d'habitude, nous pouvons et devons nous attendre Ă un retournement au mĂȘme niveau SR dynamique pour un re-test haussier. La zone verte sur mon graphique correspond au sommet de la queue de vente du 5 dĂ©cembre sur le graphique de 5 minutes. Zone assez large pour un tel intervalle de temps et elle a eu la majoritĂ© du volume. Donc, pour rester haussier et continuer Ă croĂźtre rapidement, #Bitcoin doit rester au-dessus - alors cela devient un double support.
ScĂ©nario inattendu. Celui que personne n'attend, ce qui le rend absolument rĂ©aliste (mĂȘme si je ne le vois pas encore venir) - perte du Y VAH3 de dev et chute vers le Daily 20sma. Plus cela prend de jours, plus le sma sera Ă©levĂ© et moins ce scĂ©nario devient baissier.
Proximités de liquidité :
au-dessus - 106285 / 106907 / 109395 / 112000
en dessous - 104152 / 103086 / 102286 / 101753
Lignes sur le graphique :
đž104460 - fermeture de la semaine
đž101200 - fermeture de la semaine derniĂšre
đž99660 - sommet de novembre
đž96475 - fermeture de novembre
đž94982 - dĂ©veloppement du Q VAH
đž90105 - dĂ©veloppement de l'AnnĂ©e VAH2
đž77200-80260 - Ă©cart CME Futures
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On that dip #Ethereum touched developing year VWAP VAH and now above Q VAH. ETHBTC still keep chances for reversal from grand downtrend on week timeframe (although can drop 4-5% more). And as I described on Tuesday, this can become the bottom of wide consolidation range. So I think in general situation doesn't look that bad. Open question is if BTC done or do another drop by ~5% to ~96.5k which will lead to $ETH drop by 8-13% from CMP at least. Talking about 3200-3360 target zone. Meanwhile sure target for a bounce is 3800. Will be there before or after the drop. Doesn't matter. Level will remain a magnet for price.
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$AVAX has such a clear trendline, that was already tested 4 times, that I have no doubts it will be crossed down. Next zone worth watching is around ~36-38 â° Setting alarm for 38 cross to watch it there
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đ Bitcoin Daily đ $BTC followed bearish momentum and dipped lower to Day 20sma â But it wasn't crypto alone - stocks and gold also crashed. Everything moved together. Before zooming in lets review higher TF. Month still bullish, while week chart slow down in momentum after growing by 62% from the beginning of November. So if #Bitcoin close this week same way, high chances to see some kind of correction within nearest 2 months. Can be a sharp move down, can be a slow pulling back with lower TF dips and pumps, till it shake every retailer out and resume higher timeframe uptrend. Short term: two levels I'd like to mark out. The first one is SR around 103k which previously stopped the dump, but failed to do so on the second approach. Now it acts as resistance. Another level is Tuesday low - on day chart #BTC formed a FVG up to that price, so logical to assume it will try to cover at least half of it on the bounce. It also correlates with developing Year VAH3, so that will be bearish re-test (if gets there). Nearest liquidity pools: above - 102585 / 103342 / 104100 / 104855 below - 100694 / 100032 / 99275 / 98518
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$1MBABYDOGE - if you try to imagine more stupid name for meme coin, you will fail. Still it got pretty much volume/interest on the pump and now in correction. Zone around 0.0417-0.00438 formed strong resistance and can be a target for future longs which I believe make sense around 0.0032-0.0035 zone (on re-test of breakout level). If that coin resume bullishness, it can break through ~0.0042 zone on the way back and pump to 0.0051-0.0055
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$BTC dominance haven't yet broke out weekly 20sma. And so far from week timeframe that remains bear re-test that can lead to further correction. For alts same means that if BTC.D stop here, everything will pump. If it breaks out and get rejected - everything dips and then pump. The only scenario when everything dies, is when BTC.D pumps and start trading above Week 20sma. That will lead to hard crypto winter.
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