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Trump odds are mooning again. Now sitting at 61.3%. #USElections2024Countdown
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THERE IS NOW ONLY A 3% CHANCE THAT THE FED WILL CUT RATES BY 50 BPS THIS THURSDAY ACCORDING TO POLYMARKET
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Looking at #Bitcoin price vs. odds on Polymarket, #Bitcoin clearly favors the prospect of a Trump administration over an extension of the current one.
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🚨 Market Update: Bitcoin Volatility Ahead of U.S. Election 🚨 1️⃣ 🚀 Trump Win Could Send Bitcoin Soaring: A pro-crypto Trump win could lead to a massive price surge! 🤯 2️⃣ 📉 Recent Dip: Kamala's Gain?: The recent dip might be due to Kamala's gain, but Trump is currently leading 57.7% to 42.4% on Polymarket. 📊 3️⃣ 📈 CME Futures Gap on Monday: A potential gap on Monday could influence a short-term price push. Keep an eye out! 🕰️ 4️⃣ 📊 Bullish ETF Inflows: Recent ETF inflows hint at potential upside movement. This could be a bullish sign! 📈 5️⃣ 📆 Historical Election Patterns: Bitcoin often rallies post-election. We might still see a bullish Q4, regardless of the outcome! 📈 6️⃣ 📊 Weekly Close: Upside Movement Possible: A close above $67.5K means upside price movement is still possible. Fingers crossed! 🤞 7️⃣ 🚀 TA Bull Flag Breakout: A bull flag breakout and retest suggest strong upward potential if Trump's odds improve. 🚀 8️⃣ 🚀 Altseason is Coming: Get ready for #Altseason to follow! 🚀
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Supply Factors: Fixed Supply: Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin have a capped supply (21 million BTC), creating scarcity as demand increases. Inflationary Supply: Some cryptos have an unlimited supply or a set inflation rate (e.g., Ethereum pre-merge), affecting long-term price stability. Token Burns: Mechanisms like burning tokens (e.g., Binance Coin) reduce circulating supply, increasing scarcity and potentially boosting prices. Halving Events: Bitcoin halving reduces the block reward every four years, cutting new supply and historically driving bull markets. Demand Factors: Market Sentiment: Positive news, institutional adoption, and macroeconomic trends drive demand. Negative sentiment reduces interest. Utility and Use Case: Demand increases for cryptos with strong use cases like smart contracts (Ethereum) or privacy features (Monero). Institutional Adoption: Growing interest from institutions like BlackRock and Tesla increases demand, impacting prices significantly. Speculation: Retail and institutional investors often drive demand based on future price expectations, regardless of immediate utility. Market Dynamics: Liquidity: High liquidity means assets can be bought/sold without significantly affecting prices. Low liquidity can cause price spikes or crashes. Whale Activity: Large holders (whales) can manipulate supply and demand by buying or selling in large volumes, impacting prices. Exchange Listings: New crypto listings on major exchanges increase accessibility and demand, often leading to price surges. Economic Indicators: Global Events: Macroeconomic factors like inflation, interest rate changes, and geopolitical events can shift demand towards crypto as a hedge. Regulatory Impact: Clearer regulations can increase investor confidence and demand, while uncertainty may suppress it.
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