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đThe market is predicting a 65% probability of a 50 BPS rate cut. Since the 1980s, the #FED has usually preferred a 25 BPS rate cut to start the rate cut cycle.There were only 2 instances where the first rate cut was greater than 25 BPS.đ» 2001, dot-com bubble crisisđ» 2007, Great Financial CrisisCoincidentally, during both of these times, #CPI was below 3% and the unemployment rate was above 4%.If the FED somehow manages to delay the recession through QE and rate cuts, the #crypto will experience a massive bull run.Otherwise, the recession could trigger as early as Q1, which will be disastrous for the market.
