🎯 The Fed's future monetary policy now depends on the labor market!

▫In September, the Fed will cut the rate for the first time since 2020 - the probability is almost 100%. By 25 or 50 bps. may depend on the Nonfarm Payrolls report for August.

▫The Fed's balance sheet has shrunk by $37.7 billion in one week.

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▫Harker, Fed Chair: "We need to start the process of lowering the interest rate."

▫Goolsbee, Fed Chair: "I support the Fed's new focus on the labor market. Given the macro data, we can already cut the rate, the Fed has achieved its goals."