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#EarningsSeason #BTC

CPI data looms large as market sentiment appears🧐
The week's major focus will be on today's CPI just ahead of earnings season to kick up from Friday. With risk markets seemingly ensnared with renewed FOMO on the apparent Fed pivot, risk reward is probably skewed towards a downside miss to push risk markets higher. We'll probably need to see a 0.4% or above print in CPI to give the market pause on its recent ascent, and anything sub 0.3% will likely be seen as affirmation of the dovish tilt, leading to a further melt-up in risk and sell-off in USD with trader positioning largely off side. Good luck and good trading!
#macro #CPI #EarningsSeason #FedPivot #USDPositioning

Risk-On Trend in Options Trading ⚠️
In fact, the Call/Put ratio for SPX 0dte (zero day to expiry) options have risen to the highest levels since late summer, and on rising volumes, indicative of a market that is more positioned for a risk-on in this recent dip in equity prices. For the upcoming earnings season and FOMC, options are pricing in an average of a 4.3% daily move (vs 3.9% last quarter), and little spikes from econ data until the Fed Meeting and NFP in the first week of November.
#SPXOptions #CallPutRatio #EquityPrices #EarningsSeason #FOMC

Markets anticipate CPI data major banks' reports👀
Looking ahead, markets will be focused on CPI later this week, where markets are expecting between a 0.3-0.4% core headline with strengths seen on a pick-up in OER (owners equivalent rent) and travel prices. Furthermore, earnings season will return in full strength after this week, with Citi, JPM, and Wells Fargo kicking off the Q3 reporting calendar on Friday. Nearly 80% of S&P 500 companies will report over the next 3 weeks, with earnings expectations having stabilized and the EPS-hurdle being a bit higher than the past 2 quarters.
#CPI #EarningsSeason #EPS #SP500 #macro