📊 $BTC Fear and Greed Index Analysis: Positive Signals Emerging

The Fear and Greed Index has been an effective tool for identifying short-term tops and bottoms in Bitcoin’s price movements. Typically, the index transitions between fear and greed, reflecting the market's psychology and its impact on price.

However, a closer look at the current market reveals two unique observations.

1️⃣ Observation 1: Persistent Greed at the $20,000 Level
When #Bitcoin was around $20,000, persistent greed signals were observed.Typically, a greed phase is followed by a correction, but trading volume increased significantly during this period.This suggests that a large number of buyers accumulated $BTC in this range.

2️⃣ Observation 2: Fear Signal Appears Lower Than Usual
The current fear signal is lower than the previous fear signal, which is unusual.This could indicate a false bearish signal meant to shake out weak hands.If a greed signal appears quickly, it could signal the beginning of a strong #upward movement.

🔍 Conclusion: Stay Positive
Given these observations, it seems reasonable to adopt a more optimistic outlook on Bitcoin’s price. Keep an eye on the Fear and Greed Index for the next greed signal, as it may confirm the start of a new rally.

📊 Bitcoin Chart Analysis $BTC

From a mid-term perspective, there are three possible scenarios, as shown in the first image:

1️⃣ WXY Complex Correction Completed at $91,300
After completing the correction at $91,300, $BTC could enter a strong upward trend.

2️⃣ WXY Complex Correction Ending at $89,000
The correction could end around $89,000, followed by an initial impulse wave. After a brief correction, another upward movement may occur.

3️⃣ Correction to the Low $80,000 Range
If $109,500 becomes the high, there is a possibility of dropping to the low $80,000 range, as shown by the green line. This scenario also aligns with the WXY complex correction pattern.

Now, let's move on to the short-term perspective, summarized in two scenarios:

1️⃣ #Bullish Scenario
After completing an ABCDE impulse wave, the WXY correction phase has also ended. If Bitcoin holds above $94,800, a significant upward trend could begin.

2️⃣ #Bearish Scenario
The critical level remains at $94,800. If the rebound consists of an ABC upward wave, followed by a potential ABCDE downward impulse, Bitcoin could break below the previous low of $91,200 and drop to the low $80,000 range. This makes $94,800 an essential level to watch when trading.

That concludes today’s short-term analysis of Bitcoin.

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2️⃣ Which Cryptocurrencies Have Been "Chosen"?
The Trump administration follows an "America First" policy.
In the world of cryptocurrencies, the most essential asset is not Bitcoin, but stablecoins. 📊

Why Stablecoins Matter to the U.S.
Stablecoins can flow into the U.S. and purchase U.S. bonds, strengthening the economy.
The U.S. is using $BTC  as a tool to attract stablecoin adoption while simultaneously increasing Bitcoin’s price.
However, to bring in more stablecoins, the crypto market itself needs a major transformation.
The key to this transformation is RWA (Real World Assets).

📈 The Role of #RWA  in Crypto ( $ONDO , $LINK  )
The goal is to bring real-world assets into the crypto ecosystem.
If assets like bonds, securities, stocks, cryptocurrencies, and even future commodities can be purchased with stablecoins (USD), people worldwide may begin preferring stablecoins over their national currencies.

📈 The Second Key: #DeFi  ( $ETH  , $LINK  , $AAVE , $UNI , $ENA )
Trump's World Liberty Financial has primarily acquired DeFi-related tokens.
This highlights the financialization of the crypto ecosystem.
While most DeFi projects focus on staking and earning interest, the real transformation is the merging of RWA and DeFi.
With major institutions like BlackRock applying for RWA DeFi funds, the integration between traditional finance and DeFi is accelerating.

Because of this, cryptocurrencies related to RWA and DeFi can be considered the ones institutionally chosen by the U.S. financial system.

👉 Follow for more insights on the crypto market! 🚀

1️⃣ Institutionally Selected Altcoins
To understand institutionally selected altcoins, we need to look at various events that have taken place since 2022.

Key Events from 2022 to 2025:
*️⃣ From 2022 to 2023, $BTC  was accumulated for approximately nine months, with a price range between $25,000 and $15,000.
*️⃣ In January 2024, #Bitcoin  ETF approval caused price volatility.
*️⃣ Between January and March 2024, Bitcoin experienced a five-month accumulation period, followed by another price surge.
*️⃣ In March 2024, the Bitcoin halving occurred, but prices remained sideways.
*️⃣ In March 2024, #BlackRock  applied for an #RWA (Real World Asset) fund.
*️⃣ In August 2024, Trump proposed a Bitcoin-related policy for his election campaign.
*️⃣ In January 2025, after Trump's inauguration, instead of issuing an executive order specifically for Bitcoin, a broader executive order on cryptocurrencies was introduced.

These were the major events from 2022 onward, excluding meme coins and other minor developments.

Please continue reading the second text.

$BTC

Bitcoin 📊 Chart Analysis: Two Scenarios from $15,000 to Present

Today, I will explain two possible scenarios for $BTC starting from its $15,000 low.
The first scenario suggests a larger correction, while the second presents a bullish continuation.

1️⃣ Scenario 1: Possibility of a Larger Correction 📉
Based on the impulse wave marked as 1-2-3-4-5, it seems that a complete impulse wave has been formed.
In this case, it is difficult to predict the exact depth of the correction, but a drop toward $78,000 could be possible.

2️⃣ Scenario 2: #Bullish Continuation 📈
In this scenario, the 3-3 wave is still in progress.
The correction is mostly over, and the next wave could push Bitcoin to over $120,000.

Common Conclusion
Both scenarios suggest that the correction may not be fully over yet.
Bitcoin is still experiencing market fluctuations, and the Fear & Greed Index remains in the fear zone.

While additional volatility could occur, a potential upward move is still on the horizon.

$LINK $TRUMP

Today's #Chainlink  (LINK) Chart Analysis
We should consider two possible scenarios for Chainlink.

1️⃣ #Bearish  Scenario
In the short term, if Chainlink drops below $15.4, we may see an ABC corrective rebound, followed by a decline to the previous low of $4.

2️⃣ #Bullish  Scenario
It appears that Chainlink is currently in the third wave of a 1212 pattern.
If Chainlink breaks the previous high around $30, I personally expect it to rise above $50. This wave corresponds to the 3-3 wave in Elliott Wave theory,
and conservatively, we could see an upward move to the Fibonacci 1.618 level near $50.

A significant volume spike observed a few days ago indicates the presence of strong buying pressure, which suggests a powerful upward movement is likely in the near future.

Additionally, Trump World Liberty Financial wouldn’t have bought Chainlink without a solid strategy.
Chainlink plays a crucial role in achieving the on-chain realization of #RWA (Real World Assets), which is a key focus for the U.S.

Have a great day!
Please follow for more updates! 😊

$BTC

#RWA  Will Be a Major #Trend  in 2025

Previously, I mentioned that Trump would be one of the key trends for 2025.

In addition, RWA (Real World Assets) will also be a significant trend in 2025. 🔼

#BlackRock has been talking about RWA for the past two years.

I believe the rapid development of RWA will accelerate from January 2025, once the Trump administration takes office.

The goal of the Trump administration isn’t to promote Bitcoin but to bring #stablecoins into the U.S.

As Bitcoin’s price rises, more stablecoins will flow into the U.S. market. This, in turn, means more U.S. dollars will return to America through stablecoins.

Once stablecoins are fully integrated, RWA will play a critical role, just as BlackRock has been advocating.

People will be able to purchase U.S. bonds, stocks, and securities with stablecoins.

Eventually, everyone around the world will use U.S. dollar-backed stablecoins for transactions, creating a global trade system centered around the U.S.🔥

For America’s prosperity, #Bitcoin , stablecoins, RWA, and DeFi will serve as the foundation.

Stay tuned and don’t forget to follow for more updates! 😊

$BTC

#Bitcoin Chart Analysis

Today's focus is on #short-term chart analysis.

Here are three perspectives on Bitcoin's short-term outlook:

1. Common Retracement Zone After an #Impulse Wave
The price might enter a typical retracement phase following the completion of an impulse wave.

2. Continuation of the #Uptrend
Bitcoin needs to sustain the support level at 96,260 to continue its upward momentum.

3. Complex Correction Scenario
After a rebound within a complex correction, there is a possibility that the price could decline to around 85,000 USD.

You can use this analysis to guide your trading decisions for today.

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$LINK

#Chainlink Chart Analysis

Unlike other #altcoins , Chainlink has shown a pattern of significant ups and downs.

Based on this pattern, it appears to follow the Elliott Wave 1212 structure.

After the 1212 wave, there is typically a large #upward movement.
This is because the next wave, Wave 3, tends to be significantly strong.

Current Situation
It is still too early to say that the correction has been completed.
Currently, trading volume is decreasing, but if it increases again, a clear direction is likely to emerge.

Key Point
Keep an eye on Bitcoin's movement, as it plays an important role in determining the overall market trend.

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$BTC

#Bitcoin Chart Analysis

It seems that Bitcoin has been showing signs of an uptrend since January 1, 2025. However, to confirm a definitive #upward trend, Bitcoin must rise to at least $98,000.

Therefore, I’ve prepared two potential scenarios for today:

Scenario 1: #RunningFlat Formation
In this scenario, Bitcoin's movement resembles a running flat pattern. If a running flat occurs, it suggests that the correction has ended and that Bitcoin is eager to rise quickly. This pattern is characterized by the price not falling below the A wave and instead showing an upward trend. For this kind of upward movement, Bitcoin needs to reach at least $98,000, as mentioned earlier.

Scenario 2: Continuing WXY #ComplexCorrection
In this scenario, the WXY complex correction, which I’ve mentioned before, is still ongoing. If this is the case, Bitcoin may drop further to around $83,000, where the Y wave is expected. The current movement could be a temporary rebound, with the downtrend likely to continue.

Considering these two scenarios, it’s advisable to trade cautiously and focus on risk management.

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$ETC

#EthereumClassic Chart Analysis

Ethereum Classic recently rose to $39 and is now undergoing a correction.

From a chart perspective, the $24.5 level is highly significant.

This is because I believe $24.5 marks the starting point of a new wave.

If Ethereum Classic does not drop below $24.5, I anticipate a potential 3-3 wave #upward movement.

In the short term, a #risingwedge pattern is forming.

I am unsure whether this indicates an impulse wave or if there will be one more wave down after a fourth wave correction, but it seems the correction might be nearing its end.

As long as the price does not fall below $24.5, I expect a significant #upward movement.

For continued chart analysis, please follow.

$BTC

#Bitcoin Chart Analysis
Today, my thoughts remain divided between two perspectives:
I’ve prepared one #bullish scenario and one #bearish scenario.
1. #Bullish Scenario
- The previous upward movement is viewed as an impulsive wave.
- The corrective wave is being considered as a WXY pattern, specifically a 335-X-535 wave.
- If the $95,600 support level holds, there is a possibility of an upward movement.

2. #Bearish Scenario
- The previous upward movement is analyzed as an ABC wave pattern.
- In this case, the correction would likely be seen as a 12345 downward impulse.
- If so, there is potential for a drop to as low as $80,000.
- However, confirmation of a major decline would require Bitcoin to fall below $90,000.
- Until then, a significant downward movement is less likely.

Summary
In today’s scenarios, there’s a common point for a short-term long position, but if Bitcoin declines, we should prepare for the possibility of a major drop.

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$KAIA

#KAIA Chart Analysis

I’ve made some adjustments to the KAIA coin chart.

Previously, I shared two scenarios, and it seems to be following the #correction scenario for now.

After re-analyzing the chart, I believe the current situation aligns with the #updated chart I’ve drawn.

Of course, if the price falls below 333 KRW, further decline may occur. However, if it holds this level, I expect an #upward movement.

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$BTC

#Bitcoin Chart Analysis

There are no changes compared to the three scenarios I mentioned yesterday:

1. A correction is still possible, and if the price falls below $99,000, the depth of the #correction could be significant.

2. It is confirmed that two #impulse waves have formed. As such, I believe trading long positions within the green line would be a good strategy.

3. The third scenario also shows two #impulse waves, with the assumption that the price will not fall below $101,550. However, if it drops below $103,000, this third scenario will be invalidated.

Both bullish and bearish perspectives are present today. Additionally, considering the #FOMC meeting is taking place, it’s worth factoring that into your analysis.

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$BTC

#Bitcoin Chart Analysis

Today's Bitcoin chart analysis has been prepared from three different perspectives.

Since this is a region where both upward and downward #movements coexist, I have considered these three scenarios:

1. ABC Uptrend with Potential Drop #Below $99,000
While this is a possibility, considering the overall picture, it appears to be the least likely scenario.

2. 1212 Perspective
Two #impulse waves have formed, and the correction appears to be completing within the green line, leading to a significant upward move.If this plays out, Bitcoin could reach $120,000 in the near future.

3. An Alternative 1212 Perspective
The wave count differs from Scenario 2 but is still a valid possibility, which is why I included it here.

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$KAIA

#KAIA Chart Analysis

Looking at the KAIA coin chart, it appears to have formed an impulse wave in the shape of ABCDE after a correction.

Following this, another converging ABCDE pattern has emerged on the upside.

This leaves us with two possibilities:
1. Will it #decline as part of a single ABC correction?
2. Or will it hold support at 395 KRW and move #upward ?

If it moves upward from here, there is a chance for a significant rally.

It might not react immediately today, but if it’s ready, I believe it will move soon.

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$STX

#Stacks (#STX ) Chart Analysis

Stacks has moved faster than other coins.

As a result, while other coins were rising, STX only experienced corrections.

Now, I believe it has completed all the necessary moves for an #upward trend.

In the short term, I think it needs to surpass $3.1 first.

Afterward, there might be a significant correction, but I am aiming for a price above $4 following the correction.

This analysis is based on the Elliott Wave Theory with a #BullMarkets perspective.

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$LTC

#Litecoin Chart Analysis

It seems that the correction phase for Litecoin has concluded.

So, does this mean we’ll see just one more upward wave before it ends?

I don’t think so.

From this point onward, if Litecoin surpasses the short-term target of $150, I believe it will mark the start of a true #bull market.

While some corrections may occur afterward, I see $260 or higher as the real target price.

If it truly is a bull market, reaching this level shouldn’t be too challenging for Litecoin.

Even looking at the volume profile, there isn’t much resistance in the #upper range.

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$BTC

#Bitcoin Chart Analysis
I am approaching today’s Bitcoin market with a #bullish perspective.

First, let me address the potential for a downturn. If Bitcoin falls below $100,500, we should consider the possibility of some level of correction.

Otherwise, I believe the current wave structure is setting up for a significant #upward movement.

To explain the chart in more detail:
On a larger scale, the chart appears to be progressing in a 3-3 wave pattern, and I am assuming that the 3-2 wave has concluded with a short WXY correction.

Within this context, I interpret the ongoing movement as part of the 3-3-1 wave, specifically the 3-3-1-3 wave currently in progress.

Therefore, in the short term, $100,500 remains a critical level. Future analysis may require adjustments based on price action.

For today, I am anticipating a substantial rise.

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$ETC

#ETC Chart Analysis
I believe the #EthereumClassic chart is ready for an upward movement.

It seems that an impulse wave has been completed, followed by a #corrective wave (ABC - 335).

Of course, the key factor here is #Bitcoin's movement.

If Bitcoin’s correction concludes and it begins to rise, Ethereum Classic appears to be fully prepared for takeoff, which could lead to a significant #upward movement.

If this rally truly materializes, setting the first target at $44 seems reasonable.

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