Why This Bull Cycle Will Be Different I've said it before and I'll say it again. This bull cycle is going to be unlike any we've seen before! Each category or coin will experience its own unique rally and even though there will certainly be a crypto rally, its momentum will be lower. Here’s how past cycles compare:
- 2017-2018 Bull Run: Average coins saw 200x to 1000x gains, even established ones like XRP, XLM, $ETH and $LTC . - 2021 Bull Run: The average coin delivered a more modest return of 10x to 20x despite unprecedented quantitative easing. - 2024-2025 Bull Run: I predict average coins will achieve just 3x to 5x gains.
Why Gains Will Be Smaller This Time 1. Increased Number of Coins: The market has expanded from 1,500 altcoins in 2018 to 10,500 today, negatively diluting growth potential. 2. Macroeconomic Pressures: The Federal Reserve is going to maintain high interest rates and is unlikely to pursue monetary expansion in 2025. A potential recession and stagflation risk adds further uncertainty as well. 3. Market Dynamics Have Shifted: Price movements are driven more by liquidations rather than organic growth.
Expectations for This Bull Cycle Most coins have already achieved 1.5x to 2x gains from their bottoms. I foresee the following: - 3x potential from current values for most coins as we enter the new year. - A long liquidation phase, a mini rally and then a shift to a bear market. Note: Rare exceptions like Phala coin may still achieve 5x gains once in a while, but they’re hard to identify and whales/exchanges can limit their growth if you invest too much to obscure coins.
What You Should Do 1. Take Profits Gradually: Sell incrementally and avoid keeping your principal in coins that have made 2x to 3x gains. 2. Avoid Risky Moves: Don’t invest money you can’t afford to lose or borrow funds for crypto. Gambling might yield a win once, but it eventually leads to losses. 3. Stay Cautious with Overhyped Coins: Avoid coins that have already surged, they might crash. 4. Don’t rely on crypto influencers but only you!
Apart from fan tokens only one Binance token did not have its futures trading launched and it is none other than $TKO , which $BNB Binance acquired in 2022 from Indonesia!
$AAVE short squeeze has been going on, be careful guys. Just like $MKR had pumped from 500$ to 4000$ in about 9 months (without solid reason) and then crashed back to 1000$, Aave has started a strong upside momentum from 50$ to where it is now. However it will not last forever and it will probably share the same destiny as Maker. Remember, crypto is all about short and long liquidations, rather than the strength of projects. That is why it is always smarter and safer to invest in coins that have not risen like $CAKE or Tko.
After the correction of $BTC and $ETH , $LDO will be one of the first ones to pump IMO, since Grayscale just expanded its portfolio with trusts for Lido DAO...
All Alpaca, $BSW and $SANTOS coins from BSC ecosystem have been listed on Binance Futures providing them to make 2.5x-3x returns. And guess what is the next one to be listed? It is no one but $TKO !
In the US Staking approval for $ETH ETFs is on the agenda. In this case, $RPL , which Coinbase has strategically invested in, may be the number one candidate. This expectation may be the reason for this unexpected pump...
Previously, $ETH would rise and then the alts would accompany it, now market makers and exchanges who see that investors are holding large amounts of Eth and Eth-based coins (i.e., Defi, layer 2, staking) are trying not to increase Ethereum contrary to expectations.
Just as the 2021 bull run was a unique event for that time in that we had experienced two consecutive bull runs, the interesting thing about this bull run will probably be that Ethereum and eth-based coins would not increase at the beginning.
But when the increase occurs, I expect a very sharp rise from $ETH like $BTC 's 3x increase!..
After $SANTOS fan token was listed on the futures market and made a sudden 2.5x pump, it is now time for $TKO , $ALPINE , Lazio and Porto. Tko is not a fan token but it is the primary investment of Binance from Indonesia and could be the next BNB. So set your sell orders ready for a sudden futures listing...
This bull run is different! Each category is experiencing a bull run in turn. Memecoins (doge, shib, pepe, floki etc.) and Layer 1 coins (hbar, algo, xrp, xlm, ada, xvg, xtz etc.) have risen significantly. Now it's time for other categories: BSC Coins (bnb, cake, $TKO etc.), Ethereum/Layer 2s/Defi coins ($ETH , ethfi, lido, arb, op, uni etc.), RWA category (poly, mkr, icp, avax etc.), AI category (fet, grt, nmr, rlc etc.), Fan Tokens ($CHZ , santos, alpine, psg etc.) and other categories...
As someone who always wants people to make a profit and never shills coins, I have 3 important tips that I also emphasized before:
1. I don't recommend selling the coins you hold at a loss just because they haven't risen, it's probably not time yet. 2. At the same time, I recommend you to make a basket so that you don't stay out of the rise and ruin your psychology. remember, if your psychology is disturbed, you can get carried away by fomo and buy from the top. At the same time, making a basket will also be beneficial in terms of transferring your profit to categories that have not yet risen and increasing your overall profit. 3. And most importantly, know how to exit in a bull run on time! No coin will increase continuously and most will be wiped out! Be aware that there is an economic crisis waiting for the world.
After $SANTOS Fan token's futures listing, many folks are expecting other Binance fan tokens like $ALPINE and Lazio to follow this trend but I expect $TKO to be the new futures listed coin. That is why allocate some of your money to Tko. The price is deliberately being suppressed right now, so patience is key.
The problem with $TKO is that there are lots of HODLERS of it expecting it to be the next $BNB from Indonesia. And unfortunately in crypto they don't distribute money that easily. That is why it is always a great idea to make a basket of your investments. So that if price of Tko gets stuck for a long time, you make money from elsewhere and put your profit into Tko.
As I mentioned in my previous post, we are experiencing an "unsynchronized bull run", the aim is to make investors sell the coins they bought in a hurry because they think they will never increase and to buy coins that have already peaked. First Btc and memecoins rose, now layer1s such as XRP and XLM are rising. In the next stage, evaluate the categories that have not yet risen yet: $ETH and eth-based coins ($LDO , $ETHFI , Uni, Eigen etc.), BNB-based coins (Tko, Cake, Xvs etc.), file storage coins (Storj, Filecoin etc.), fan tokens (Santos, Alpine, Lazio, Porto, PSG etc), AI coins (Fet, Rlc, Grt etc), RWA coins (Polyx, Hbar etc) etc. We do not know in what order these will rise, but I recommend you to make a basket. and as you make profit, at least transfer your profit money to the categories that have not risen. There are many problems waiting for the world: a possible ww3, recession risk, economic and social consequences of global warming, increasing china-us competition, taiwan problem etc. At the same time, the number of coins have also increased compared to previous two cycles. Therefore, do not wait for the big profits of the past and at least set aside your principal having made a profit after a run of 2x or 3x.
This bull run seems to be a little different than the previous ones. First, $BTC will explode, small investors who see that their own altcoins are not increasing will sell at a loss, longs will close and shorts will open; after that, altcoins will go. As I said before, I do not expect 30x or 50x runs in this bull run in general. If you see a figure between 5x and 10x, I would say be happy with it. Because as the number of coins increases, the rate of coins exploding decreases. There will also be coins that increase by 50x, but these are like looking for a needle in a haystack. Coins that do not have investors and are of no use will increase the most.
Coins like Stellar and $XRP which made 500x in 2017, made a profit between 10x and 20x in 2021. Now this rate will decrease even more... On the other hand, altcoins will definitely join the bull run, otherwise small investors will rush into precious metals and this will mean the dollar losing value and inflation increasing. Also, if only Btc rises up, interest in exchanges like Binance and Coinbase will decrease, so exchanges would definitely not like this scenario to happen.
Let me add that this bull run may not happen simultaneously. Coins like Sol and Doge may have experienced the majority of their bull runs early on. After small investors sell their coins at a loss and join these already hyped coins, it may be the turn of $ETH staking coins and Defi, then it will come to layer 1s, then it will come to BNB Chain and fan tokens (the order is not important here, you got the idea).
Edit: I did not expect this post to be my most upvoted one. Thanks for the interest! And as I always say avoid margin and invest in spot trading only!
$BTC $ETH $ETHFI Hepinizin moralinin bozulduğunun farkındayım arkadaşlar, ancak yapacağınız şey basit; kaldıraçtan uzak durmak ve spottan aldığınız malları soğuk cüzdana atmak.
Ethereum EFT'leri piyasaya sürülmeden önce piyasayı iyi manipüle ettiler ve 1 milyar dolardan fazla para üç gün içinde likit edildi. Mt Gox Btc geri dağıtım ve Almanya'nın Btc satış haberlerini bu zamanlarda servis etmeleri de tesadüf değil.
2025 boğa koşusunda da bir önceki boğaya kıyasla birkaç misline çıkmış altcoin sayısı, malum savaş ortamı ve tam anlamıyla dizginlenememiş enflasyon dolayısıyla 100x'ler pek gerçekçi bir hedef değil bence. benim hedefim 5x'ten itibaren kademeli satış yönünde olacaktır. Sonra piyasa tekrar aşağı gelirse kademeli alıma başlarım. Artık al-sat piyasasına doğru evrilmiş durumdayız bence.
Unutmayın ki piyasada korku varsa "kademeli" mal alın, açgözlülük varsa da "kademeli" mal satın.
Ethereum ETF'si onaylanmadan önce son longcular likide edilmeye ve spotçular korkutulup sattırılmaya çalışılıyor. TVL değeri 6 milyar doların üstünde ve piyasa değeri 300 milyon dolar. bir sonraki boğada iyi bir yere varacağını düşünüyorum. Yine de alımlarınızı ve satışlarınızı kademeli yapın...
Kriptoda tüm dengeler değişiyor ve tabiri caizse kartlar yeniden dağıtılıyor, normalde Avrupa Kupası başlamadan önce Chz'nin en azından 20 cente kadar çıkmasını beklerdim ancak spotçu ve longcu çok olunca aşağı basmayı tercih ettiler. Diğer taraftan batıyor denen $CRV 2 günde yüzde 50 değer kazandı.
Yine de ben Chz'den ve fan tokenlardan orta vadede umutluyum. Chz'nin arzının sınırsız olmasının önemli olduğunu düşünmüyorum, birçok koin max arzı kaldırıyor ve kaldıracak zaten (Zil, Iota, Cfx vs gibi). Hatta daha ilginci $BNB 'nin bile max arzı yine Binance'a ait olan CoinMarketCap sitesinde artık gözükmüyor. Uzun lafın kısası zamanı geldiğinde her koin ve token artacaktır.
Her zaman diyorum SEPET SEPET SEPET diye! Sadece Fan token almayın Ethereum ETF hype'ına bağlı olarak ethereum temelli tokenları da alın (Ldo, Ethfi, Uni gibi); Binance'ın Endonezya'da satın aldığı borsanın tokenı olan $TKO 'yu da alın ve boğaya kadar elinizde tutun diye. Bunları yaparsanız sepetin bir kısmı artmasa bile diğer parçası artınca psikolojiniz bozulmaz ve FOMO'ya kapılıp tepeden almazsınız.
Just as what I said about $LINK before it went up, I expect an increase of 30 to 40 percent in the mid term from $HBAR as well. It has been consolidating for some time. If you own ledger withdraw it to your cold wallet after configuring with Hashpack.
With that being said I do not expect it to reach 2-3 dollars in the next bull run, simply because of the vast amount of coins being created daily. So increases would be modest and even if it breaks its ATH, it would be huge surprise for me if it breaks the 1 USD level. That is why I am going to start to gradually take profits starting at 0.45 USD all the way up to 0.9 USD.
Yatırımcılar zararına satmaya başladığına göre çıkış yakın demektir. Tek koine yatırım yapmanın kötü tarafı bu işte, fiyat baskılanınca insanın psikolojisi bozuluyor ve zararına satışlar oluyor; bir de sattığınla zirve yapmış koine girersen yandın demektir.
3 doların altına kademeli satış emirlerinizi koyun ve paranızı yedirmeyin.
Dipnot: Binance'a ait olan Endonezya merkezli Tokocrypto'ya ait olan #TKO tokena da paranızın bir kısmı ile yatırım yapabilirsiniz. Bir sonraki boğa koşusunda iyi bir ralli yapacaktır, ancak ATH seviyesini görmesini beklemeden kademeli satın, çünkü eskisi gibi 100x'ler beklemiyorum açıkçası.