🚨If SEC approves spot Ether ETFs, many ‘will be caught severely offside’💦

Coinbase institutional research analyst David Han believes “there is room for surprise to the upside on this decision.”

Despite unfavorable odds from several crypto analysts and the broader crypto community regarding the approval of spot Ether exchange-traded funds (ETF) by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), some analysts suggest that “there is room for surprise.”

“If by some chance the SEC decides to approve then so many will be caught severely offside,” crypto trader Matthew Hyland told his 142,000 X followers in a May 17 post.

“If 90% of people think the ETH ETF will be denied, and the majority of those people think it will lead to a crypto crash then who will actually be selling?” he added before declaring that the expectation of denial is “priced in.” At the time of publication, Ether

ETH

tickers down

$3,116

is trading at $3,102, as per CoinMarketCap data. Ether is currently trading at $3,102, up 6.31% over the past seven days. Source: CoinMarketCap

Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas has placed his odds for approval at 35%, while the broader crypto community has set their estimates closer to the 7% mark, according to New York-based crypto predictions platform Polymarket.

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Meanwhile, crypto exchange Coinbase institutional research analyst David Han believes “there is room for surprise to the upside on this decision.”

“We believe the odds of approval are closer to 30-40%,” Han stated in Coinbase’s monthly outlook report published on May 15.

Related: Filing suggests SEC is exploring grounds to deny spot Ether ETFs

Han explained that as cryptocurrency becomes a more prominent issue for voters in the lead-up to the upcoming November United States presidential election, the SEC will be less likely to maintain its stance on a denial decision.

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