Adam Back says it’s “Dangerous not to be in #bitcoin “ | Moonfasa en Binance Square

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Adam Back says it’s “Dangerous not to be in #bitcoin “

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Crypto’s Wild April: Chaos or Opportunity on April 4, 2025? Crypto fans, grab your coffee—it’s April 4, 2025, and the market’s serving up a wild ride! As of this morning, Bitcoin’s sitting at $82,887.71, up a modest 0.06% in the last 24 hours, per X posts. That might sound calm, but zoom out: BTC dipped to $81,000 yesterday after Trump’s tariff bombshell—10% across the board, higher for some—shook global markets. The S&P 500 took its worst hit since 2020, and crypto felt the heat too. Yet Bitcoin’s clawing back, with its dominance at 61.97% (up 0.08%). Is this the king flexing its resilience, or just a breather before the next storm? Altcoins are a rollercoaster of their own. Ethereum’s at $1,786.39, down 0.27% today, still reeling from a November 2023 low earlier this week. Solana’s SOL crashed 11% yesterday, while XRP’s bucking the trend at $2.05, up nicely. Stablecoins like USDT and USDC are the unsung heroes, hitting milestones as DeFi and remittances boom. Posts on X hint at altcoin volume shifting to stablecoin pairs—real growth, not just hype. But with losses of 50%+ for some coins since the tariff scare, it’s a battlefield. Bargain hunters, take note—though not every altcoin’s a diamond in the rough. Trump’s back in the spotlight, and his pro-crypto vibes are a double-edged sword. His tariff plan triggered a $500M liquidation wipeout across BTC and ETH, spooking leveraged traders. Yet his “strategic crypto reserve” idea—light on details, heavy on buzz—has bulls dreaming. Add Paul Atkins as SEC Chairman pick, and the U.S.’s 21% crypto ownership (Millennials leading the charge), and you’ve got a market teetering between panic and potential. The Fear & Greed Index? It’s off its 75 high, feeling more like “hold your breath” today. So, what’s next? Bitcoin’s $80K support is the line to watch—hold it, and $90K’s in play; break it, and oof. Altcoins are a gamble, stablecoins are steady, and April’s just getting started. Chaos or opportunity? Drop your take below—I’m all ears!

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Crypto Chaos or Golden Opportunity? Unpacking the Wild Market Moves of April 4, 2025

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The Bull Run isn’t over, we are just getting started.

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Crypto Bull Run Duration: Predicting bull run timelines is speculative, but historical patterns and catalysts offer clues. Here’s a data-driven framework: --- Historical Context - 2017 Bull Run: Peaked ~12 months after Bitcoin’s halving (June 2016–Dec 2017). - 2021 Bull Run: Peaked ~18 months post-halving (May 2020–Nov 2021), extended by COVID stimulus and institutional adoption. - 2024 Cycle: Bitcoin halving occurred April 2024. If history rhymes, a peak could arrive Q4 2024–Q2 2025 (~6–14 months from now). --- Current Bull Run Catalysts: 1. Bitcoin ETFs: Institutional inflows ($15B+ in 2024) are elongating the cycle. 2. Ethereum ETF Hype: Potential approval (late 2024/2025) could extend momentum. 3. Macro Conditions: Fed rate cuts (likely late 2024) may boost risk assets. --- Bearish Risks Shortening the Cycle: - Geopolitical Shocks: Wars, regulatory crackdowns (e.g., SEC vs. crypto exchanges). - Overheating: Retail FOMO peaks (e.g., meme coin mania, leverage spikes) often signal tops. - ETF Outflows: Sudden institutional profit-taking could trigger cascading sell-offs. --- #BitcoinWhaleMove Likeliest Scenarios: 1. Shorter Cycle (6–9 months): - Peaks by Q4 2024 if ETF inflows stall, macro headwinds worsen, or Bitcoin fails to break $75K+. 2. Extended Cycle (12–18 months): - Runs into mid-2025 if rate cuts, Ethereum ETF approval, and altcoin narratives (DeFi, RWA, AI) sustain momentum. ---Key Indicators to Watch: - Bitcoin Dominance: Falling dominance = altcoin season (often a late-cycle phase). - ETF Flows: Sustained inflows = prolonged bull run; outflows = early warning. - Meme Coin Mania: Extreme retail speculation (e.g., SHIB, PEPE, WIF pumping) often precedes tops. - Fed Policy: Rate cuts = bullish; delays = risk-off sentiment. --- Bottom Line: While no one knows exact timelines, prepare for a 6–18 month window from today (July 2024). Stay agile, take profits incrementally, and hedge against black swans. Bull markets don’t die of old age—they die of euphoria.

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