A Mega thread on @berachain Expected Airdrop

⚠️This is just prediction nothing confirmed

💥Expect average Airdrop of $800 For Testnet users

👇Read

☠️First things first - Berachain got a hug task ahead, they have to Airdrop to NFT holders, Testnet users & Pre-deposit vaults

1️⃣NFT holders

✳️6 official collections

✳️Total NFTs - 4526

✳️Total NFT Market cap - 80,231 ETH or $280M

2️⃣Testnet

✳️Active wallets - 4.2M

✳️Users with 5+ contract interaction - 641K

✳️Active 6+ days - 1.5M

✳️Wallets with at least 1 $BGT - 400K

✳️Expected eligible wallets - 500K

3️⃣Pre Pre Deposit

✳️Total deposit - $715M

✳️Users - 102K

✅Now we have numbers with us

⚠️Let's assume Total Supply - 10B

👇Let's do math with prediction

🪙Total supply - 10B

🪙let's assume TGE - 1.5B

🪙TGE Airdrop Assumption 11%- 1.1B

🪙NFT Airdrop Assumption 5%- 500M

🪙Testnet Assumption 4%- 400M

🪙Pre - depends Assumption 2%- 200M

💰At 10B FDV👇

✳️Recently listed @movementlabsxyz is launch at $10B FDV that's y considering this

✳️Total Airdrop value will be $1B at this FDV

1️⃣NFT Airdrop

✳️ $500M worth of tokens to Berachain NFT holders

✳️That's 1.8X of NFT markrtcap

2️⃣Testnet Airdrop

✳️ $400M worth of Airdrop for Testnet

✳️Average Airdrop per user $400M/500K - $800

⚠️This is average, some might get more some might get less based on Testnet Activities

3️⃣Pre pre Deposits

✳️No clarity on allocation for pre deposit captain it might be 1-2%

✳️We assume 2%

✳️So $200M worth Airdrop

✳️Expected TVL - $1B

✳️So average Rewards per $1 - $0.2

✳️Meaning if u deposited $1000 u may get $200

🤔If they follow this approach it looks everyone will be happy

✅NFT holders happy

✅Testnet users happy

✅Pre deposit happy

🤔Agreed? Let me know

⚠️Reminding again, all the above is based on assumption & if project list at $10B FDV like Movement

🔢If it list at $5B then Airdrop will be half, so

✳️NFT holders 0.9X profit

✳️Testnet Airdrop average - $400

✳️Pre Deposit reward per $1 will be $0.1

🤔Wt do u think, let me know in comments section