Hedera HBAR has held up better than the majority of alts have since the peak of the Trump pump in early December '24, sitting above the 4H 200 EMA were most alts have now lost its support.
The chart is a simple one, we have a clear range marked out between $0.395 - $0.235 with price currently at the 0.25 line. Just below that is the 4H 200 EMA which coincides with the bullish OB creating what should be a strong level of support. Naturally the invalidation for a trade at the level would be acceptance under these key supports.
There is a clear LTF downtrend, a breakout of that range could be a good trigger for a long position with the range quarters acting as take profit levels. With alts still very much tied to BTC and as it stands the price action is stagnant due to end of year window dressing and lack of volume, this should change next week and if the ETFs continue inflows this will help HBAR and alts increasing the positive probability of the long. If BTC starts the year poorly then the SL comes in as the bullish trend is lost.
Note
There's the LTF breakout, will be interesting to see what happens on the retest (if there is one).