This analysis examines the wave structure of AAVE on the 4-hour timeframe. Based on Elliott Wave Theory and Fibonacci levels, the price appears to be in a corrective phase, with key support and resistance zones highlighted.
Key Insights:
Corrective Wave (ABC):
The price has entered a corrective movement in the form of ABC after completing the third bullish wave.
The support zone between $256–$235 is identified as a potential completion area for Wave 4.
Fibonacci Levels:
The 113% ($256.08) and 127.2% ($238.48) Fibonacci levels serve as key points for potential price reactions.
Wave 5 Completion:
Upon completing Wave 4 in the highlighted support zone, the price is expected to enter Wave 5.
The target for Wave 5 could extend beyond $500, depending on the strength of the bullish momentum.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price finds support in the $256–$235 zone and reverses upward, Wave 5 may initiate, continuing the bullish trend.
Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown below the $235 support zone, followed by consolidation, could alter the Wave 4 scenario and lead to increased selling pressure.
Conclusion:
AAVE is currently in a corrective phase, with the $256–$235 support zone serving as a critical level to watch for determining the next move. Traders should closely monitor price reactions at this level and utilize confirmation tools such as momentum indicators.
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