Key Concepts
Bullish: A rising market trend indicating asset price growth.
Bearish: A declining market trend indicating asset price drops.
CryptoWhales
CryptoWhales are individuals or groups holding large quantities of a cryptocurrency relative to Bitcoin's value. They significantly influence market prices through their actions (buying or selling).
Exchanges
Platforms that allow the purchase, trade, and conversion of cryptocurrencies, similar to currency exchange houses.
Wallets
Cryptocurrency wallets come in two types:
Hot Wallets: Internet-connected and more vulnerable to hacks.
Cold Wallets: Offline and more secure.
Selection Criteria
To choose the right cryptocurrency, consider:
Market Capitalization: Focus on the top 200 cryptocurrencies.
Dominance: Minimum market dominance of 0.01%, ideally above 0.25%.
Age: At least two years old; ideally more than three years.
Growth History: A steadily rising graph resembling a mountain slope.
Positivity: Avoid cryptocurrencies with a history of critical issues.
Recommended Websites
Coin Market Cap
Live Coin Watch
Coin Ranking
INVESTMENTS
Ways to Invest
Currently, there are many ways to invest in cryptocurrencies. Among the most popular are:
Buy and Hold (HODL)
Trading
Staking
Yield Farming
Mining
Lending
ICOs/IDOs
NFTs
DAOs
Derivatives
Arbitrage
Liquidity Pools
Creating or Investing in Custom Tokens
Airdrops
Play-to-Earn
Masternodes
Stablecoin Yields
Crypto Funds or ETFs
Portfolio
Having a diverse and well-constructed portfolio is essential and fundamental.
It is not advisable to hold only 2 or 3 cryptocurrencies, nor to over-diversify with 15 or 20. Diversification is key, but spreading investments too thin reduces effectiveness.
An ideal range is between 5 to 10 cryptocurrencies, with a percentage of investment strategically allocated to each. It’s not advisable to distribute funds equally; instead, prioritize strategic diversification.
Diversification ensures that if one cryptocurrency performs poorly or experiences critical conditions, the entire investment isn’t lost due to distribution. Furthermore, while some cryptocurrencies may decrease in price, others may rise, enabling profit generation from the latter while waiting for the former to recover.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin is, without question, the most secure and reliable cryptocurrency. It boasts a market capitalization exceeding $1.85 trillion USD and commands 57.5% of the cryptocurrency market share.
Lowest recorded price: $0.0003 USD (January 9, 2009)
Highest recorded price: $108,268.44708043612 USD (December 17, 2024)
This represents exponential growth of 36,089,482,360.14538%, surpassing any other financial asset or cryptocurrency in history.
Bitcoin incorporates a deflationary mechanism called halving, which increases its value over time. This process occurs approximately every four years.
Halving
Halving is a remarkable mechanism where, instead of losing value due to inflation like most assets, Bitcoin achieves deflation. Although its price can exhibit significant volatility, rising and falling sharply, Bitcoin retains its value over time.
This is achieved through two key factors:
Finite Supply: Unlike fiat currencies, Bitcoin’s supply is capped at 21 million BTC.
Reward Reduction: Mining rewards are halved with each halving event, increasing Bitcoin’s scarcity and desirability.
Total Bitcoins mined (2024): Over 19.9 million BTC (approximately 95% of the total).
Estimated completion: The final Bitcoin will be mined in 2140.
Total halving events: 33, occurring every four years.
Here are the past and upcoming halving events:
Halving 0: From January 3, 2009, to November 27, 2012, the lowest price was $0.0003 USD on January 9, 2009, and the highest price reached $35.88 USD on June 11, 2011.
Halving 1: From November 28, 2012, to July 8, 2016, the lowest price was $10.43 USD on November 29, 2012, and the highest price reached $1,156.14 USD on November 30, 2013.
Halving 2: From July 9, 2016, to May 10, 2020, the lowest price was $531.33 USD on August 2, 2016, and the highest price reached $20,089.00 USD on December 17, 2017.
Halving 3: From May 11, 2020, to April 18, 2024, the lowest price was $8,374.32 USD on May 11, 2020, and the highest price reached $73,750.07 USD on March 14, 2024.
Halving 4: Projected to occur between April 19, 2024, and March 26, 2028, the lowest projected price is $49,121.24 USD on August 5, 2024, and the highest projected price is $108,268.45 USD on December 17, 2024.
Halving 5: This event is projected to take place between March 27, 2028, and March 2, 2032, with no exact price data available yet.
Predictions
Although it’s impossible to predict Bitcoin’s trajectory, price, and key dates with absolute certainty, we can outline three critical estimations:
All-Time High (ATH)
The next ATH in this halving cycle could occur once or even twice. If it happens twice, the second ATH will surpass the first. The current ATH is $108,268.45 USD, achieved on December 17, 2024.
Potential ATH Timeframes:
Sept 29, 2025 – Dec 2, 2025 (Most likely, with October being ideal).
Jan 30, 2025 – May 2, 2025 (Moderately likely).
Jun 29, 2025 – Oct 2, 2025 (Less likely, against historical trends).
Projected ATH Values:
$117,693.02 USD
$127,411.14 USD
$149,452.64 USD
$162,139.35 USD
All-Time Low (ATL)
The next ATL could also occur during this halving cycle. The previous ATL was $49,121.24 USD on August 5, 2024.
Potential ATL Timeframe: Oct 30, 2026 – Mar 2, 2027.
Possible ATL Values: Between $14,918.64 USD and $20,552.63 USD, representing excellent buying opportunities.
Volatility
Bitcoin has shown extreme volatility, with a price range from $0.0003 USD to $108,268.44708043612 USD, representing 36,089,482,360.14538% growth. However, volatility is expected to decrease over time due to:
Increased adoption: Over 9% of the global population uses Bitcoin.
Scarcity: 98% of Bitcoins will be mined by 2029.
Bitcoin is projected to enter a stability phase by late 2029, with reduced price fluctuations.
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