Our previous call for an Altseason surge came on October 18—exactly two months ago. That prediction perfectly aligned with the start of the latest rally in the total crypto market cap (excluding the top 10 coins). The chart shows the uncanny similarities between the current cycle (2022–2025) and the 2014–2017 cycle, particularly during the transition from the bear market to the bull run.
Both cycles share nearly identical accumulation phases, marked by a pivot trendline initially acting as resistance and later transforming into support. This shift led to the first bull flag formation, where prices pulled back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. At the same time, the 2-week MA50 (blue trendline) was tested as solid support—a key signal that prompted our timely buy call two months ago. Furthermore, the RSI and MACD indicators mirror the same patterns: RSI bottomed on an identical structure, and the MACD transitioned from bearish to bullish with a significant cross, all while the market consolidated within the bull flag structure.
At this stage, we have officially entered the parabolic rally phase (green upward channel), where upward momentum dominates without significant pullbacks. The market's next target appears to be the -1.5 Fibonacci extension level, historically a critical point. As a precaution, observe two key indicators signaling a potential market top, as seen in January 2018: an RSI triple top formation and the MACD's third bearish cross. These markers can help you lock in profits before the rally exhausts.
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