The United States Federal Reserve, or the Fed, acts as the central bank of the United States. One of its key responsibilities is to manage the country’s interest rates, which essentially control the cost of borrowing money. A lower interest rate makes borrowing cheaper, increases economic liquidity, and stimulates consumer spending and investment. Conversely, raising interest rates discourages borrowing, reduces the amount of money flow within the economy, and slows the economy down, which aims to curb inflation.
Asset prices, including stocks and cryptocurrencies, tend to react inversely to interest rates. The interest rate can be visualized as a common denominator used to price assets. If this denominator increases in value, most assets fall in price, and vice versa. Therefore, highly volatile assets like cryptocurrencies and nonfungible tokens (NFTs) are no exception to this.
How do Fed rate changes affect cryptocurrency prices?
Bitcoin (BTC), the largest cryptocurrency, has a complex relationship with the Fed's interest rate changes. Though the connection isn't always exact, history shows a clear pattern: interest rates influence Bitcoin prices, which then affect the broader crypto, NFT, and De-Fi markets.
In 2018, under Janet Yellen, the Fed raised interest rates to combat inflation, coinciding with Bitcoin’s sharp drop from nearly $20,000 in late 2017 to around $3,200 by December 2018—a loss of over 80%. This decline affected the entire crypto market, though other factors like hacks and regulations also played a role.
By 2021, the Fed’s low interest rates during the pandemic helped Bitcoin soar to over $68,000. However, as the Fed signaled plans to raise rates in late 2021 to address inflation, Bitcoin’s price dropped again, losing over 70% of its value by mid-2022, falling below $20,000.
Can interest rate changes have a long-term impact?
While higher interest rates can negatively impact cryptocurrencies in the short term, some investors view them as a potential long-term hedge against inflation. Over time, as inflation erodes the value of traditional currencies, cryptocurrencies may be seen as a store of value.
Additionally, inconsistent or unstable monetary policies from central banks may drive more confidence in cryptocurrencies as an alternative to traditional government-issued currencies, positioning them as a decentralized option for preserving wealth when trust in fiat systems weakens.
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