Stage 1: Awe at Growth
- 📈 Exponential Rise: From below $1 to $60,000 in 13 years.
- 🔬 Logarithmic Scale: Shows Bitcoin’s real growth phenomenon.
- ⚠️ Bubble Perception: Many linear thinkers miss this due to seeing it as a bubble.
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Stage 2: Pattern Recognition
- 📊 Data Analysis: Using exponential, logarithmic, and power models.
- 📉 Stunning Regularity: Patterns suggest Bitcoin’s behavior is non-random and somewhat predictable.
Stage 3: Deeper Patterns
- ⏱️ Unique Time: 10-minute blocks and 4-year halving cycles.
- 🔄 Price Dynamics: Gains occur around halvings; net negative in between.
- 📈 Stock-to-Flow (S2F) Model: High R2 of 97.7%, though patterns could still be random due to few halvings.
Exciting times ahead as we continue exploring Bitcoin's unique cycles! 🌟