According to Odaily, data from the prediction market Polymarket indicates that former President Donald Trump currently holds an 80% probability of being named Time's 2024 Person of the Year. This positions him as the frontrunner in the predictions. Following Trump, Elon Musk, the CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, has a 9% chance of receiving the accolade, placing him in second position.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris are also in the running, with probabilities of 7% and 2%, respectively, ranking them third and fourth. The total trading volume for this prediction market has reached $428,000, with the final decision expected by December 31, 2024. These predictions reflect the current sentiment and speculation surrounding the potential candidates for this prestigious recognition.