Will Bitcoin Price Bottom at $50k Amid Growing Speculation of Fed Rate Cut?
Bitcoin prices face pressure amid recession fears and geopolitical tensions. With Fed rate cut speculations in September, BTC may seek suitable support at $50,000.
Bitcoin price correction eased on the weekend as the buyers found suitable support at the $60000 psychological level. This support, backed by the 200-day Exponential moving average, has sparked a temporary relief rally in the altcoin market. However, the overhead supply on the crypto market persists due to poor employment reports, geopolitical tension in the Middle East, and fear of recession.
This week, the cryptocurrency market witnessed a notable downfall attributed to a series of adverse developments affecting the broader market. The selling pressure was initiated by Bitcoin's reversal from $70000 resistance and escalated further in mid-week following the geopolitical tension in the Middle East and the fear of recession.
The recent poor employment report
has bolstered a dovish shift in the
market, raising concerns about potential rate cuts in September. According to Nick Timiraos of The Wall Street Journal, these reports could force the Federal Reserve to adjust monetary policy for stabilizing the economy.
Financial giants Citigroup and JPMorgan expect the FED to cut interest rates in a series, starting with 50 bps in September, then another 50 bps in November, and a further 25 bps in December.
Moreover, data from the CME Group shows a 78% probability of a 25 bps September cut and a 22% probability of a 50 bps cut, thus further adding to market sentiments toward impending rate cuts. Additionally, JPMorgan has estimated that the Fed would cut its benchmark rate to about 3%, signaling that rate cuts could continue until Q3 2025.
The anticipated cut would bolster the borrowing environment for banks and encourage investment in riskier assets such as cryptocurrencies. Thus, the BTC price could seek suitable support at major technical levels such as 200- day EMA and $50000.
