Pepe (PEPE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB) have both been trading near their highs for the past ten days. Recently, the Shiba Inu team announced plans for a marketplace that could transform Web3 commerce, though no specific timeline was provided.
On the other hand, Pepe faced a rejection at a key resistance level, leaving its bulls with fewer reasons to be optimistic. With these developments, the question now is which of the two memecoins has a more promising outlook for July.
PEPE vs Shiba Inu: Technical Analysis for July
Pepe (PEPE) has been trading within a range from $0.0000099 to $0.0000076. Currently, the price is supported at the mid-range level of $0.0000088, while the previous support zone of $0.000009-$0.0000096 has now become resistance. On the 6-hour chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below 50, and the On-Balance Volume (OBV) is in a downtrend, indicating a lack of buying pressure and suggesting potential further losses.
In contrast, Shiba Inu (SHIB) has formed a trading range over the past two weeks, spanning from $0.0000174 to $0.0000127. SHIB appears to have a more bullish short-term outlook. Unlike PEPE, Shiba Inu’s OBV is moving sideways, not declining, and its RSI is above 50, indicating upward momentum. Technical analysis shows Shiba Inu’s price is near the high end of its range, with indicators suggesting a more positive short-term trend compared to PEPE.
PEPE vs Shiba Inu: On-Chain Metrics and Valuation
The Network Value to Transactions Ratio (NVT) for PEPE recently spiked, suggesting that the token was relatively overvalued compared to its circulating value. Despite this, the 30-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) was negative, indicating that PEPE might be undervalued in the short term. This implies that while PEPE appears overvalued relative to its circulation, it is undervalued based on recent price action.
However, the on-chain metrics for PEPE reveal several weaknesses. Organic demand is weakening, as evidenced by a downtrend in daily active addresses and a strong decline in mean coin age, which signals distribution. Though the NVT ratio is not as high as it was in late April, the 30-day MVRV is edging into positive territory, and the mean coin age has been increasing slightly, suggesting some accumulation.
In contrast, Shiba Inu (SHIB) shows more robust metrics. On July 13th, SHIB had more daily active addresses compared to PEPE (3,738 vs. 2,325). SHIB’s technical and on-chain data indicate a firmer foundation for bullish expectations, reflecting stronger overall demand and a more positive outlook.
⚠️Disclaimer
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