$LINK /USDT Technical Analysis Summary (15/02/2025)
Current Price: $19.16
Technical Overview:
- Bearish trend confirmed: Price below key MAs (MA7: $18.86, MA20: $20.59, MA50: $21.83)
- Weak momentum: RSI at 41.97, MACD negative (-1.15)
- Moderate volume (994,363 LINK) with 53.42% buy ratio
- Negative order book imbalance (-17.72%) indicating selling pressure
- Low market depth (0.66) suggesting thin liquidity
- Futures data: Slightly negative funding rate (-0.00004065), healthy OI (4.20M LINK)
Forecast (4-12h):
Main Scenario (60%): Continued Downtrend
- Targets: $18.80 → $18.50 → $18.00
- Key confirmation: Break below $19.00 with volume
Alternative Scenarios:
- Consolidation (30%): Range $19.00-$19.50
- Reversal (10%): Above $19.50, targeting $20.59
Trading Recommendation:
- Strategy: Futures with 2-3x leverage
- Entry: Scale in $19.30-$19.50
- Stop Loss: $19.85
- Take Profits: $18.80 (40%), $18.50 (40%), $18.00 (20%)
- Position Size: Max 5% portfolio
- Risk Management: 1.5% risk per trade, R:R = 1:2.5
Key Risks:
- Thin liquidity could cause volatile moves
- Potential short squeeze above $19.50
- Strong support at MA200 ($16.14)
Invalidation:
- Break above $19.85
- RSI above 60 with volume
- Positive funding rate shift
- Sudden OI increase >20%
Monitor:
- Volume at support/resistance
- Order book imbalance changes
- Funding rate trends
- MA7/MA20 cross
#LINK🔥🔥🔥