ETHETFSAPPROVED

According to Odaily, Sui Chung, the CEO of CF Benchmarks, has stated in an interview that all regulatory precedents indicate that ETH tokens should be classified as a 'commodity'. This statement comes amidst ongoing discussions about the nature and classification of various cryptocurrencies. Chung's assertion adds to the growing consensus among industry leaders about the status of ETH tokens. His comments are based on existing regulatory precedents, suggesting that the classification of ETH tokens as commodities is not a new concept, but rather a widely accepted view within the industry. However, it is important to note that the classification of cryptocurrencies can vary depending on the jurisdiction and the specific regulatory body involved. Therefore, while Chung's comments provide insight into one perspective, they do not necessarily represent a universally accepted viewpoint. This news highlights the ongoing debate about the nature of cryptocurrencies and their place within the global financial system. As the industry continues to evolve, the classification and regulation of cryptocurrencies like ETH will likely remain a topic of discussion.

欢迎来到下跌的又一天。
今日的币圈阴云密布，大饼（BTC）价格再度承压，一度跌破84,000美元，日内跌幅接近3个点。
在行业内忧外患的动荡中，负面消息接连不断：从业者纷纷离职，项目方和做市商爆出丑闻，KOL之间因利益分配不公公开撕逼，市场信任几近崩塌。
寒气又开始传递到每一个韭菜这里了。
有数据显示，当前市场的恐惧程度与2020年新冠崩盘和2022年市场触底时如出一辙，恐惧指数已经到了20，属于极度恐惧的状态；
而美国近期宣布建立比特币储备的重大政策，又点燃了部分投资者的希望。

作为币圈风向标，看BTC价格，好像比几年前涨了不少，相对而言更像牛市；但如果看最近一段时间的起伏，又觉得是熊市。
现在，到底是熊市的序曲，还是牛市的黄金坑？
面对价格剧烈波动和不确定性，我们应该怎么做？不妨听听国内外交易员、KOL和行业大V的多方观点，剖析市场趋势，看看他们怎么说。
等待观望派
"你在干什么？"
"我在等待戈多"。
"他什么时候来？我不知道。 他告诉过我，他会来，让我在这里等他"。---《等待戈多》

萨缪尔·贝克特（Samuel Beckett）的经典戏剧《等待戈多》，讲述了Vladimir和Estragon在荒凉路边无尽等待“戈多”——一个从未现身、充满不确定性的存在——的故事。
对韭菜们来说，这个戈多，叫BTC。
在BTC价格剧烈波动、恐惧情绪笼罩的当下，一部分人选择了等待观望。
比如倪大 @Phyrex_Ni 认为，当前大家应该保持耐心，静待市场信号的到来，避免盲目行动。
在其最新分析中明确指出，对于不擅长短线交易的普通投资者来说，观望可能是最稳妥的选择。他认为，BTC当前处于“垃圾时间”阶段，类似2024年从73,000美元跌至50,000美元时的低迷期，市场情绪极度低落，短期内缺乏明确的利好驱动。

至于为什么要等待，理由在于市场的极度不确定性。
Phyrex 指出，当前BTC价格跌破84,000美元，投资者情绪被反复打击，战略储备落地后利好效应消退，美国大选带来的预期已变成利空，宏观经济数据（如CPI、PPI和美联储点阵图）仍是主导叙事。加上近期美股下跌和贸易战（关税）压力，加密市场可能面临进一步波动，贸然抄底或加仓风险极高。

数据面则支撑了这一观点。
未实现利润分布数据显示，76,000美元到78,000美元之间存在未补齐的价格缺口，可能是短期支撑区域；93,000美元到98,000美元的密集筹码区支撑已失效。
还有个关键的数据洞察在于，最近24小时 BTC 换手率较低，所以价格的下跌并不是大量用户的砸盘。
考虑以上更多因素，当前抄底虽有吸引力，但风险与回报需仔细权衡。
黄金坑看多派
下跌中总是会杀出带血的筹码，乐观的人也会认为当前 BTC 正在阶段性低位，值得加仓甚至抄底。
@neso：当前价位是黄金坑
知名KOL @neso在其分析中明确指出，BTC当前价格正处于一个“黄金坑”，是长期投资者的绝佳机会。
“美股和加密市场都在经历一波热钱撤退，这波热钱可能是奔着川普上台的行情来的，分别流入了英伟达、BTC等热点资产。在川普上台后由于政策的不确定性开始撤退，造成了目前一波接近30%的回撤。但对于加密而言，其实目前身处诞生以来的最好政策环境，目前的回撤显然是被殃及池鱼，从长线看就是黄金坑。”

这个观点也不无道理。
美国近期宣布建立比特币储备、白宫加密峰会以及SEC对SAB 121会计规则的撤回，标志着加密行业迎来了历史上最好的政策环境。
虽然短期内，市场觉得这些政策的刺激不够大，但是如果你回想加密行业以前的苦日子，那实在是好了太多。
更多政策的出台，或许为BTC长期上涨提供了坚实基础。
另外，BTC的30%回撤被描述为“殃及池鱼”，主要是受美股和宏观经济因素（如贸易战、货币政策紧缩）拖累，而非加密行业本身的根本性问题。历史数据（如2022年熊市底部和2020年新冠崩盘后反弹）显示，类似回撤往往是长期买入机会。
@Trader_S18：81,000开多
交易员@Trader_S18更直接地行动，基于近期市场趋势在X上发文称：
“基于近期行情在8-10万之间宽幅震荡的判断，早上81200多进去了”。
他认为BTC近期价格在80,000-100,000美元之间形成宽幅震荡区间，当前价格回落至81,200美元接近下限，具备较高的风险回报比，适合开多。
根据四小时K线图和交易量数据，81,000美元附近可能存在支撑，为短线多单提供了技术依据。
当然，交易员大佬的开多策略或许适合经验丰富的短线交易员，81,200美元的入场点确实接近技术支撑，但风险同样明显：如果市场继续下探至76,000-78,000美元区域，可能会触发止损。

对于在当前价位抄底的普通玩家们来说，希望这不是一场等待"割"多。
75000 出手派
此外还有一派观点认为，75000 左右将是 BTC 的关键价格区域，需要密切关注。
Arthur Hayes: 70000 -75000 市场或有剧烈变化

根据他的帖子和相关的趋势数据，2025年3月比特币价格已从高点回落，跌破$81,000，并可能进一步测试$78,000甚至$75,000。
Hayes的分析表明，如果比特币价格跌至$70,000-$75,000区间，由于大量期权的未平仓合约集中在这一区间，市场可能会经历剧烈的价格波动。
这里 Hayes 指的是在比特币期权市场中，有大量未平仓合约（OI）的执行价格（Strike Price）集中在$70,000至$75,000的区间。这意味着许多交易者或投资者购买了比特币看涨期权（Call Options）或看跌期权（Put Options），这些期权的执行价格设定在该价格区间。
当比特币价格接近或进入$70,000-$75,000的区间时，这些未平仓的期权合约可能会触发大规模的交易活动，如果期权接近到期日，且比特币价格接近这些执行价格，持有者可能会选择执行期权（买入或卖出比特币），或者市场参与者可能通过平仓头寸来对冲风险。
这可能导致比特币价格出现大幅波动（剧烈上涨或下跌）。
大量OI集中在某个价格区间意味着市场可能面临流动性压力。如果许多交易者同时试图买入或卖出比特币以对冲或平仓期权，可能会导致价格快速波动，甚至出现“挤压”（Squeeze）现象。
因此，Hayes的警告表明，投资者可能需要准备应对剧烈的价格波动，并考虑是否“抄底”（Buy the Dip）或等待更稳定的价格区间。
Eugene Ng Ah Sio：等到75000再说
交易员 Eugene Ng Ah Sio 在 TG 群组表示，目前他不急于在当前价位参与交易。Eugene 重申，正如之前所提到的，7.5 万美元价位是他目前唯一感兴趣的水平。
来点 Bullish 的指标
而如果你只是单纯需要一些心理按摩或者打打气，不妨看看这些 Bullish 的指标。
其一，那个国家萨尔瓦多今日又增持了5枚 #BTC，目前总持仓达6111枚BTC；图表显示塞尔瓦多很明显是个坚定的DCA（定投）玩家，每次买的不多，但一直在买。

另一个死多头微策略更不用多说，从去年底到今年初数次大手笔增持 BTC。
其老总Michael Saylor 近期参与特朗普召开的相关会议时被拍到扶头沮丧，或许他才是那个希望 BTC 一直上涨的人。
不过别担心，数据显示微策略的平均持仓成本时66000左右，现在还没亏到成本线。

另外，根据链上数据分析，当前BTC的VDD Multiple已进入底部区间，接近历史低点（如-2.9以下）。这与2022年熊市底部和2020年新冠崩盘后的市场低点类似，表明市场处于极度恐惧和低流动性状态。
结合近期BTC价格从90,000美元下跌约20%至84,000美元以下，以及交易所成交量未见大幅上升，VDD指标显示投资者惜售、筹码集中，短期内可能触发反弹。
VDD Multiple是将短期（通常30天）的VDD平均值除以长期（通常365天）的VDD平均值，得出一个比率。这个比率反映了近期支出速度与年度平均支出速度的对比，用以识别比特币市场的周期性高点和低点。

最后，在市场波动不定的袋鼠特征中，上述各派的观点只能当个参考。小编还是认为谨慎使得万年船，宁可错过，不可失去本金。
价格或许还会在，但仓位一定不能没了。

有实力才会被信任，有真诚才会被信赖。
我负责坦诚相待，你负责拭目以待。
持续关注：bel tst bnx car ltc
#BNBChainMeme热潮 #altcoins #BTC走势分析 #ETHETFsApproved

Ethereum ($ETH ) has experienced a significant downtrend since reaching its peak of $4,091 in December 2024. Over the past 90 days, the cryptocurrency has declined by 44%, bringing its current price to $2,113. While this correction has dampened investor sentiment, recent whale activity and historical price patterns indicate that a bullish reversal could be imminent.

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Whale Accumulation Signals Confidence

Amid growing panic among retail investors, Ethereum whales have been capitalizing on the recent price dip. According to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, wallets holding over 100,000 ETH have accumulated approximately 330,000 ETH in the past 48 hours. This substantial accumulation suggests that institutional and large-scale investors perceive the current price as a buying opportunity, potentially foreshadowing a rally.

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Technical Indicators Suggest a Bullish Breakout

A range of technical indicators and historical patterns support the possibility of a bullish reversal for Ethereum.

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1. Wyckoff Reaccumulation Phase

Analyst has identified a Wyckoff reaccumulation pattern in Ethereum’s current price action. This pattern suggests that ETH has undergone phases of distribution and correction and is now potentially entering the “Spring” phase. This phase typically represents the final shakeout before a substantial upward move.

The accompanying chart indicates a potential jump above the "Creek" resistance level, which, if confirmed, could trigger a sustained uptrend for Ethereum.

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2. Historical Cycle Comparison (2016-2017 vs. 2024-2025)

Further analysis draws parallels between Ethereum's current price movement and its 2016-2017 market cycle. During that period, a prolonged consolidation phase was followed by a fake-out, leading to an explosive upward rally. If this historical pattern repeats, Ethereum could be on the brink of a significant breakout, potentially driving prices to new all-time highs.

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Critical Levels to Watch

Ethereum is currently trading near a crucial support level at $2,100. A confirmed breakout above nearby resistance levels could pave the way for a strong rally in the coming weeks. Conversely, a failure to hold these levels might lead to further downside before any confirmed reversal.

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Outlook

The combination of increased whale accumulation and bullish technical patterns suggests that Ethereum may soon shift momentum. Investors are advised to closely monitor support and resistance levels as well as trading volumes for clearer signals of a potential breakout.

一、昨日行情回顾
昨日，DOGE整体呈现震荡下行走势，佳阁在短暂回调后再次受阻于短期均线，并进一步下探至0.19048附近。技术指标显示箜头力量占据主导，佳阁持续运行于MA7和MA30均线下方，表明市场仍处于下行通道中。
二、今日技术分析
1.均线系统：​
MA7（短期均线）持续向下，并在佳阁上方形成压制。
MA30（中期均线）同样呈现下行趋势，反映出事厂整体偏箜。

2.线形态：​
近期K现阴阳交错，但阴线数量明显占优，且成交量未能有效放大，表明舵头力量疲软。
昨日低点0.19011仍是短期关键支撑，若跌破，则可能进一步下探至0.18500。
3.MACD指标：​
MACD柱线仍位于零轴下方，未出现明显背离信号，表明箜头趋势尚未结束。
DIF与DEA双线处于死叉状态，短期内仍有进一步下行的可能。
4.RSI指标：​
RSI在40附近徘徊，虽未进入超卖区域，但仍显示出事厂偏箜的情绪。

三、今日策略
开仓位：0.19200 - 0.19300
第一止莹位：0.19500
第二止莹位：0.18150
止笋位：0.19600
四、综合判断
今日DOGE大概率维持震荡偏箜走势，短期仍受均线压制
事厂瞬息万变，请严格设置止笋，避免盲目追丹，并结合实时事厂情况灵活调整测掠。
#ETHETFsApproved #BTC #PEPE‏ #xrp #DOGE $BTC $ETH $DOGE

With $2,000 now in danger of disappearing in the next few hours, Ethereum is on the verge of possibly losing a significant price level. The asset has been steadily declining, which is indicative of a larger pattern of waning network activity and investor interest. Ethereum's difficulty regaining momentum is clear in the recent price action, and its incapacity to maintain significant recoveries raises the possibility of a further decline.
Due to its rapid decline, Ethereum's price has been marking lower highs and lower lows on a regular basis. The sloping moving averages provide support for the chart's obvious downward trend, confirming bearish control over the asset. Weak buying interest and persistent selling pressure are indicated by the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which are still pointing downward.
The whole thing is aggravated by Ethereum's declining network size. Retail and institutional participants are leaving the asset, according to on-chain data, which indicates that the number of transactions and active addresses is still dropping. The situation is further complicated by a slowdown in DeFi activity and a lack of investment in Ethereum-based projects.
There is little reason for optimism regarding Ethereum in the near future based on the technical outlook. Losing $2,000, which serves as a significant psychological and technical support level, could allow for a much more drastic correction. The next major support zones for ETH are the $1,800 and even $1,700 ranges, which could see a decline if selling pressure increases.
The fact that the RSI levels are still in the oversold area could indicate a possible short-term rebound. Nevertheless, in order to change the momentum, any recovery effort would have to overcome the immediate resistance at $2,200. Until then, Ethereum could continue to decline because the market is not showing many signs of turning around.
#ETHETFsApproved
#Ethereum
#EthereumNews
#Ethereum✅
#MarketPullback
$ETH