Key Takeaways
Bitcoin has soared this year, boosted by the approval of spot bitcoin ETFs and the bitcoin halving event, as well as optimism surrounding the election of Donald Trump as U.S. president.In 2025, attention will turn to the Trump administration's attempts to provide regulatory clarity for the crypto industry.Some analysts say bitcoin could rise to $200,000 by the end of next year, amid growing demand from institutional investors, though history would suggest the market may be due for a correction.There is no clear indication if the recent rally in bitcoin will spill over to altcoins.
The cryptocurrency market has had an extraordinary year, and market participants are optimistic about the prospects for 2025 as a new administration takes over in Washington D.C., though plenty of uncertainty remains.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rallied early in the year amid explosive demand from newly launched spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Soon after, a bitcoin halving, which slowed the pace at which new bitcoins are created, created a demand-supply imbalance that sent prices soaring further.
The election of Donald Trump, as well as several crypto-friendly lawmakers, gave bitcoin another boost in recent weeks, helping the digital currency cross the $100,000 price mark for the first time.
Here’s what market participants will be watching out for in the year ahead.
What Trump Could Mean For Crypto Regulation?
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What To Expect From Bitcoin and Crypto Markets In 2025
By Kyle Torpey Published December 27, 2024 06:00 AM EST
Illustration of bitcoin and 2025
Investopedia / Photo Illustration by Alice Morgan / Getty Images

Key Takeaways
Bitcoin has soared this year, boosted by the approval of spot bitcoin ETFs and the bitcoin halving event, as well as optimism surrounding the election of Donald Trump as U.S. president.
In 2025, attention will turn to the Trump administration's attempts to provide regulatory clarity for the crypto industry.
Some analysts say bitcoin could rise to $200,000 by the end of next year, amid growing demand from institutional investors, though history would suggest the market may be due for a correction.
There is no clear indication if the recent rally in bitcoin will spill over to altcoins.
The cryptocurrency market has had an extraordinary year, and market participants are optimistic about the prospects for 2025 as a new administration takes over in Washington D.C., though plenty of uncertainty remains.

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rallied early in the year amid explosive demand from newly launched spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Soon after, a bitcoin halving, which slowed the pace at which new bitcoins are created, created a demand-supply imbalance that sent prices soaring further.

The election of Donald Trump, as well as several crypto-friendly lawmakers, gave bitcoin another boost in recent weeks, helping the digital currency cross the $100,000 price mark for the first time.

Here’s what market participants will be watching out for in the year ahead.

What Trump Could Mean For Crypto Regulation?
One of the crypto market’s biggest concerns in recent years has been the lack of clarity around regulations and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) enforcement approach.
On the campaign trail, Trump made a number of promises to the bitcoin and crypto industries, including that he would fire SEC Chair Gary Gensler on day one of his administration and establish a ‘Strategic National Bitcoin Stockpile.’ Gensler decided to step down and Trump has proposed crypto advocate Paul Atkins to head the agency.
Even as markets await regulatory clarity, there is no guarantee they’ll get what they want or when.
"Trump’s stance on [decentralized finance (DeFi)] and crypto has been somewhat inconsistent," Delphi Ventures General Counsel Sarah Brennan told Investopedia. "While he has expressed interest in the space, much of his focus seems limited to supporting dollar dominance and real estate applications." The Bitcoin Dominance Index measures bitcoin's share of the overall crypto market valuation, and it recently hit new highs.
According to Castle Island Ventures Partner Nic Carter, the legislative focus will be on getting stablecoin legislation passed first. Then, the focus will turn to the crypto market structure bill, which would clarify which crypto assets are commodities and which are securities.
Bitcoin Price Predictions and Driving Factors
Analysts at Bitwise expect bitcoin to reach $200,000 by the end of 2025, while those at VanEck peg it at $180,000.
Such predictions for bitcoin prices have been made many times in the past but seemed too ambitious. With bitcoin surging above $100,000, they may not seem so far-fetched now.
There are only 21 million bitcoins that can ever be created, and 19.79 million of them are already in circulation.
While bitcoin supply is finite, demand for it has picked up.
There is growing demand for bitcoin from institutional investors that include ETF promoters, corporations and nation-states. Spot bitcoin ETFs have seen investors pour in $36 billion.
MicroStrategy (MSTR), the leader for public companies holding bitcoin on its books, held 444,262 worth roughly $42 billion as of Dec. 23.
Historically, bitcoin—and by extension the entire crypto market—rises and falls in line with the four-year bitcoin halving cycle. If that cycle were to hold, crypto markets would be due for a correction in 2025. But the presence of large institutional investors could limit any downturn.
Bitcoin is in a “supercycle,” according to economist and Asgard Markets founder Alex Kruger, which means “recurrent 20%-40% corrections” instead of “85% drawdowns.”
The Federal Reserve could also crash bitcoin's party. The central bank recently scaled back its expectations for interest rate cuts in 2025, which weighed on bitcoin prices. If the Fed slows down its rate cuts, Treasury yields could remain high, making them more attractive to investors compared to riskier assets such as bitcoin.
Will The Bitcoin Rally Spill Over to Altcoins?
Financial institutions are already taking steps to embrace a potentially friendlier regulatory environment by sending in applications for ETFs related to additional crypto assets, such as XRP (XRPUSD), moving beyond the previously approved ones for bitcoin and ether.
But it remains unclear if altcoins, or non-bitcoin cryptocurrencies, will join bitcoin’s party.
The Bitcoin Dominance Index, which measures bitcoin's share of the overall crypto market, recently hit new highs for this crypto cycle.
"Historically bitcoin dominance has been cyclical," CoinFund Managing Partner and Head of Liquid Investments Seth Ginns told Investopedia. "We’d expect a handoff to alts once bitcoin gets meaningfully above its all-time high, as happened in the last cycle."
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As we approach the end of 2024, the crypto market is shaping up for potential major moves. Here's my detailed analysis on Bitcoin ($BTC ), Ethereum ($ETH), Bitcoin Dominance ($BTC .D), Total Market Caps (#TOTAL2, #TOTAL3), and the Dollar Index ($DXY). Let’s dive into the key levels and patterns that could shape the final weeks of the year.
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🚀 $BTC Analysis: Key Levels & Channels

Monthly Chart:
📊 Ascending Parallel Channel
Current Position: Near the middle section of the channel.

Channel Support: ~$35,000
Channel Resistance: ~$235,000
Immediate Support: ~$91,800
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📅 Weekly Chart:

📊 Bullish Pennant Breakout
Range: $53K to $111K
Previous Breakout: $BTC broke out from a bullish pennant, reaching as high as $108K.
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🔍 3D Chart:

📊 Ascending Channel Continuation
Upper Resistance: ~$111,000
Middle Support: ~$82,800
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📉 Daily Chart:

📊 Tight Range
Mid-Section Support: ~$95,600
Key Support: ~$83,000
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⚡️ $ETH Analysis: Symmetrical Triangle Consolidation

Monthly to Weekly Chart:
📊 Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
Support: ~$2,600
Resistance: ~$4,000
Immediate Support: ~$2,850
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📈 $BTC .D (Bitcoin Dominance): Tracking Market Sentiment

Weekly Timeframe:
📊 Rising Wedge Pattern
Resistance: 61.2% to 61.4%
Support: 55% to 56%
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📊 #TOTAL2 (Altcoin Market Cap) – Key Levels for Altcoin Traders

Descending Triangle:
📊 Current Support: $1.28T
Bullish Breakout: Above $1.66T would trigger a strong bullish movement for the entire altcoin market.
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📉 #TOTAL3 (Micro-Cap Market Cap): Watch for Breakout Confirmation

Breakout from Symmetrical Triangle & Ascending Channel:
📊 Upper Support Retest: $942.7B
Resistance: $1.15T
Support: $785B
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💵 $DXY (Dollar Index): Impact on Crypto

Strengthening Dollar:
📊 Immediate Resistance: 108.5
📊 Strong Resistance: 109–110
📊 Support: 105.5

💡 Example:
1 BTC at 105 > 1 BTC at 108. A stronger dollar results in fewer BTC for the same amount of money, potentially leading to a decline in crypto prices.
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⚠️ $BTC CME Gap Warning

CME Gap at $81K to $77.6K:
📊 Gaps in CME futures charts often get filled, but no rule states they must be.

Example: On Dec 1, 2023, a gap formed between $39.2K to $40.4K, which was filled on Jan 23, 2024—53 days later.
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💥 High Volatility Alert as We Approach Year-End

📊 As we come closer to the end of the year, expect increased volatility in the market. This could result in significant price swings in both directions.
🚨 Important: Always monitor your trades closely and have your stop loss and target levels set to manage risk effectively.
The volatility can lead to both bullish and bearish movements, so be prepared for rapid changes.
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🔮 Final Thoughts

As we near the final days of 2024, these key levels and patterns across $BTC , $ETH, $BTC .D, and $TOTAL2/3 present significant opportunities and risks. Staying alert to these technical setups will give you the edge in navigating potential market moves.
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#CryptoMarket #BTC #Ethereum #Altcoins #BTCAnalysis #BTCdominance #DXY #CMEGap

$BTC $ETH $XRP $SOL $PEPE

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