Why are people so extremist?


The narrative has changed a little in recent weeks, because about 3 weeks ago the main thing in the market was the #btc ETFs and consequently this gave stability to the market and dragged the alts as it pleased, but I have noticed a growing interest in the ETFs of …. #eth


And the money it will bring to the alt sector, in addition to opening the door to ETFs from other alts.
But we should not be scared, on the contrary, they should buy ethereum before the institutional ones, on the day of the ETF's launch, apply the buy the rumor, sell the news; but I already see the community as very desperate to see all the alts fall.

I will upload an article about when I think you can start trading the ETF

Do you know if you are really risking your money?

I'm going to ask you some questions and you have to think “yes or no.”

1. Are you investing money you can't afford to lose? Or going into debt to buy things?

Yeah. / No.

2. Are you overweight in an ecosystem? Or playing the casino 🎰, thinking about gems to make you a millionaire at the end of the year?

Yeah. / No.

Are you at risk of liquidation if the market falls further?

Yeah. / No.

If the answer to any of them is Yes, you should start valuing more the money that took so long to earn and stop thinking about the short term.

And if the answer to all of them is No, you are doing very well, you just have to be careful if you are investing in the right cryptos or with appropriate technical behavior, for example

(Due to technical behavior)

(Due to your demand in a few months with the ETFs)

(it is clear that we are a few months away from a bull run)

So don't give up at all, I encourage you to buy these assets, because in the long term they have good fundamentals or technical behavior to grow much more.

Positive things about this correction in time that we have been suffering at #btc , during these last 30 months we have been in the same range,
But let's look at the good things and news in recent days.

1.- #bitcoin is not even 15% away from its historical highs

2.- the stock markets have closed at the highest weekly close in history and general variable income assets

3.- The less important elections have already passed, but those in the United States are in about 5 months and of course they will give good economic data

4.- Halving must begin to take effect and the true supply for your demand will begin to be created in just 4 months

5.-we had good inflation data this month, also a btc that has not fallen below 60k in weeks

6.-the presidential candidate DT is in favor of cryptocurrencies

7.- and finally, the ETFs start trading in about 10 days.
$BTC

It has been 50 days since the halving and demand from the institutional side has been at historic highs, and although it is not reflected in the price.
And speaking specifically of #btc , after 5 months we were already 50% above the monthly candle close of the halving month, so taking that as a reference for pure history in the month of September we should already be at 100k dollars.
And it is very obvious that we will not go from 69k to 100k in a week, but the increases should already be about to begin.
Or at least break the all-time high in these weeks and return to the value zone of this correction in time in recent months.

Sorry for the disconnection, but these first days of the month I have been working.
I bring you here the results of a bot with which I have a profit of 918 dollars, I was 15% in losses with the sharp drops in Hbar, but it is an asset in which I will remain long for the rest of the market bullish.

Tomorrow I think I will open a neutral btc bot
Between 48 ~ 87 with a low leverage, because I think we will be in this area for the next 3 months in which we create support and consolidation in the markets, to start a true bullish phase starting in October that will take us to all-time highs in all currencies, perhaps in the first quarter of 2025 or reaching the maximum in the second.

But in the meantime I will continue investing the liquidity I can get in these months and also try to get good percentages without putting the money at risk.

How well Hedera would behave if btc was not in this fall. I would like to say the same about my cardano 🙃. Soon I will upload an analysis on the price since it broke down the 60~70 range.

What is the future of Cardano?

Maybe many of you don't know it but the CEO and the man with the beard that many know, Charles Hoskinson, was the co-founder of ethereum and the project that started with Ada is the attempt to create a better currency and network than ETH, heard from Many people complain about its handling or its graphics but if you put it in perspective it is a very strong project that so far it knows how to manage well, because it has been around for many years, I would say about 6 years in which Cardano is in the top 10.

Although the graph that I show does not show the double bottom figure that was generated in June-September 2020, we are currently in the same movement, going out to strongly break the bearish trend but returning to the ceilings of the double bottom. At the points we are currently at 0.4 and 0.5.

And although in this bear market Cardano fell more than 90%, which is a very important drop, it left a relative minimum higher than in previous markets, since by breaking 0.45 a few months ago we entered a new wave in the We are already in a 50% retracement and it is possible that we will not go down much further from these levels and when we begin our third wave it is to break the historical highs, it is worth clarifying that a couple of months must pass first, but I see Cardano as bullish. from today to the first quarter of 2025.

Do you really know how to buy cryptocurrencies in spot to have better returns?

Let's think that at the beginning of the month you had 100 dollars to spend and you are going to invest in a currency like Cardano #Ada. It would not be the smartest thing, (it depends on the market phase we are in) to spend all your money on a purchase at 0.8.

If you think about it, the one who bought at those levels at the beginning of the month was already hooked and it could be that 100 dollars were important to him and now they are worth 55 dollars, the important thing is to always have a little liquidity and for example invest 33% at the beginning of the month and when it drops to a key level like 0.5, spend another 33% and if you don't get to buy or have the opportunity to buy at 0.4 in a fall, buy again at the end of the month at 0.55 . But always preserving a bit of liquidity margin so that in the famous candles that the institutions use to liquidate you can, in those minutes, buy at very low levels.

For example, I like to have between 10% and 15% in liquidity for possible falls or if I need to add margins on longs or shorts. But always have that liquidity producing in some asset, be it USDT in staking or as I currently recommend, having it in #fusd and having it in the Binance launchpools, and it depends on you if you like the currency they give you and if not, you can convert them in more fusd or usdt and increase your liquidity a little.

Do you know what the final date is to know if the #eth ETF will be listed or not?

The last date for the Sec to decide is May 25 and that day they will decide whether they will approve them or not, they will no longer continue to delay those dates.

If you remember how the btc etfs were approved, it's because grayscale sued the sec for just delaying dates. In ETH, they have already filed a demand and frankly, Templon listed them and this indicates that it is extremely likely that they will be approved that day and even if money only begins to be deposited into ETH, it is very likely that if they are approved we will have a good bullish push, and with that break the lateral or even somewhat bearish dynamics of these 4 weeks and another 4 that we have for the date of the 25th.

What are the returns you can obtain in this market.

Let's exemplify annual returns by buying different markets. Let's start with real estate: in this type of investment you can expect an annual return of between 7 and 10% in good cases, because you receive money from your income and also if you have capital gains from the area in which you bought.

Moving on to fixed income or bonds: the returns are already set when investing, of course the least profitable are banks or government debt and the most profitable are sofipos or conglomerates that gather for their own fund and take it as credit between 3% and 18%

In another market like the stock market it depends on whether you invest in ETFs and this is where you can start losing money because the company you buy or the fund is in the negative but you can also get interesting returns like Nvidia was last year and it can be more interesting because in this market you can already leverage
-% ~ 100%

And finishing with this market, it is clear that this may be the one in which you have more liquidations or burn your accounts more times, but this is the only one in which, although it may sound like a salesman's phrase, in this one you can become a millionaire in a year

I want to give some of the returns I expect in some currencies and of course they can rise aggressively depending on the leverage

Scenarios at the end of the year or first quarter of 2025

Btc 100% ~ 130%
BNB 200% ~ 250%
Ada 500% ~ 800%
Hbar 1000% ~ 2000%
Of course, the greater the benefit, the greater the risk, although if we base ourselves only on the cyclical market, these values ​​are very feasible.

When will we touch 70k again?

Lately I have noticed too much toxicity and stress about the price rising, just about 2 weeks before the halving, and in fact I feel that the entire market is so negative and expecting falls to such low levels or with such stupid analysis.
My recommendation for most investors is not to wait. A big drop to invest or don't expect that every time it drops below 60k, do it moderately. Furthermore, it should be noted that the price does not make sense to fall since there is no fomo, the majority of wallets are positive but everyone is waiting for it to rise, even those who are not holders and have had their coins for less than 155 days, and We have gigantic, weeks-long and psychological support in the 60k.

So to answer the question, during the first 2 weeks of May I expect to see the price surpass 70k. Although I don't think the rally will last long, maybe we will break the previous high by one or two thousand dollars, but we will be in this correction in time for another month, month and a half. Which is the most bullish thing that can happen, because this type of consolidation helps us to have great liquidity and confidence, breaking below 60k this week is not the same as breaking down on the first day that the ETFs were approved. There is no longer the same level of risk or liquidations, so it is just a matter of not selling to the institutional ones and holding on, 70k is a good selling point and below 65k is a good accumulation point 😉🏎️

Why do ordinary people allocate so little to investments, but they love having the best car or the best house?

The truth is that I am a faithful believer that cryptocurrencies in general will be the most booming market this decade, and I don't want to say that I put all my money here, but 30% of my assets are invested here in some operations, bots and in my ledger So I am confident that at the end of the decade this market, already institutionalized and properly supervised by governments, will be 10 times larger. So don't think that BTC has already gone to 20k, think in the longer term, as any investment in equities for 5 years or more should be, don't take this market like a casino, because you may be lucky for a few weeks or more. up to months and think that they are the best because they made an X7 on their investment, but if they play with futures it can liquidate them. So I encourage you, if it is your first 3 months in this market, forget about grabbing this as a casino or to buy a luxury and see all the potential and uses of cryptocurrencies 🏎️.

Today I learned something very important about the difference between movement and action!

Here I am going to explain it in the economic sense but it applies to your entire life and the world in general.
Maybe at some point at the beginning of the year they set some goals, and they feel that the first third of the year is already going to pass and they have not achieved anything, or they feel that their current portfolio or their knowledge, strategies, etc. They are not giving the results they thought, they are just moving, because it is true that every second time passes and it is only up to you if you continue acting as you are or if you change from this second, if you set reasonable objectives for this market, you learn risk management, use of bots or options.
You know your goals, and if you don't have them yet, start there, start thinking about something that motivates you and you can operate more or have more money so that with a small percentage you can make money that you feel comfortable with.
It is also worth clarifying that everything is consistency, all the action one day is useless if the next you are going to be the same as before, you must go gradually.
Always invest thinking about the long term, because if you plan to pay a debt and use this as a casino, someone who is more prepared and with more calm and action will keep your money 💰.

🏎️

What is the True value of Hbar (Hedera)?

I see Hedera as a cryptocurrency with a different development, in which it will be used by companies, not only to tokenize, but then they will use it to give recreational use to the rest of their ecosystem, as a dovu with which companies buy carbon credits.

So Hbar, being its native token and the one with the highest market capitalization of this network, is the most stable and has a greater value proposition, being a project as reliable as cardano and with better technology and security than solana.

Positioning itself in one of the main narratives of this Bull market, the RWA: real world assets
(In which to tokenize real-world assets, such as property or investment funds.)

So answering the question, a reasonable value without being ambitious would be a market capitalization of about 60~80 billion, similar to that of Solana or BNB, putting Hedera between a value of 2.2 and 3 dollars at the beginning of the first quarter of 2025 , before the bull run ends.

Why do they suddenly sell their #Hbar when they most likely bought it yesterday at a higher point?
The blackrock news is true, to a certain extent.
I will explain to you:
Archax and Ownera are two companies with which Hbar (Hedera) collaborates, Harchax offers custody of digital assets, which is why Hedera is a public network and the fastest, BlackRock has been seeing the use of this Hedera technology this month to tokenize assets

Tokenize: physical assets = to digital assets

So Hbar foundation was in talks with Harchax and they convinced some BlackRock assets to tokenize their UK assets under the abrdn fund.

The truth is when I saw that more than one X2 went up I thought they would create news, I was expecting something up to a lawsuit. But the truth is that if they are collaborating, of course they are not going to put billions of dollars into tokenizing from one day to the next, but they have already started testing for everything this year. So they should see it as a long-term project, not one that will make them millionaires next week.

Right now in an hour the publication will come out about why Hbar is a great project (apart from the fact that right now the whales are playing to liquidate everyone).
I'm going to talk to you about your great partners and how many times you can multiply your value from this point.

Stay tuned in case Hbar seemed like a giant increase, tomorrow I will upload an article explaining its entire ecosystem and how it is so fast without being like other cryptocurrencies that are based on a blockchain. I am going to explain what its main use is, all the companies that make it up and its potential as a project and its potential price. Today my perspective changed when I saw how Blackrock still implemented it, in other words it is becoming increasingly more resistant and also its ecosystem tokens, which rose more than 200%.

Anyway, it is a great project and it is the second crypto in which I am most invested, today it became the first because my Ada is not going up, but I was heavily invested.

How do the institutional ones play with us???!

The richest people or the companies that generate these news about wars or disasters are the same ones that want to buy BTC lower, it is obvious that with so much fear people sell their coins thinking of buying them lower or open short positions (but the futures market you should operate with numbers not with feelings). For example, I will close all my long positions that I opened in
61k btc
.4 Ada
7 rndr
Although the market seems like it will continue to boom, because they are already going to be high levels and it is better to go against the market.
We are in relative bearish positions from 28,000 and as usual we are going to go up and sell everyone to highs and then we will correct once again.

In short, they must be very careful and draw their conclusions about whether an asset is worth it or not. Or if they have shopping points.

I made the mistake of buying a lot of sol at 155 (because from my point of view it was a good purchase point for a few months).
It is true that you will never buy at the bottom and sell at the top.
But they will never liquidate you or you will lose money as long as you sell positively 🏎️

Why does the halving seem to have no effect?

It is true that the big drop that everyone expected was not generated (at least at #btc ), but it is true that the market seems to have some stability.
The truth is that we are not going to the moon, but I also do not think that we are entering some type of bulltrap.
Imagine that I am a person with bad habits and overweight, I start with good habits and some type of diet, exercises, etc., there will not be a big change within a week, and likewise with the halving, it is an important event but that the only thing that affects it immediately is the cost of transactions.
They must have a scenario in which they point to months from the day before yesterday.
Think that you are millionaires, and inflation went from 1.7% in btc to .87%.
And instead of producing 900 btc daily, today only $450 is produced.
The point of this is normal and institutional demand.
Imagine that some good days 8,000btc are purchased by institutional demand and a few thousand others by retailers, millionaires, sheikhs, or companies. Already 20 times more are being purchased than are mined, and this effect is like adding steroids to your diet.
When will bitcoin burst higher?
In less than 5 months! The average is 7 months after the halving, bitcoin crashes upwards and consequently the alts.
We are in an accumulation zone, we just need to see how the whales do not stop buying and trading more than in the entire history of bitcoin, and that is an incredible sign that the downward volatility will not be like in previous cycles ( clearly ruling out some world war or catastrophic event).
We are experiencing one of the most bullish moments in the history of btc, you just need to see the rest of the equities as they are in the middle of a correction or free fall, while here btc did not even lose at the 60k level (considerably).
I think that we will be in the alt season starting in November, we will begin to see the maximum levels of this market, to have a good rally🎅🏻