LIVEFlaneur
@Flaneur
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November to Remember: Why $70K is Just the Beginning?
Greetings from a beautiful Saturday evening.
As we enter November, let's explore what lies ahead this month, what events we should anticipate, how we can prepare for them, and take a brief look back at October.
Yesterday, the market experienced some turbulence with the NFP data, and currently, the price is hovering around $69k. On November 5th, we have the highly anticipated US Elections, and while claims about Trump's victory are dominant, polls suggest the race is close. Right after, on Novem
As we enter November, let's explore what lies ahead this month, what events we should anticipate, how we can prepare for them, and take a brief look back at October.
Yesterday, the market experienced some turbulence with the NFP data, and currently, the price is hovering around $69k. On November 5th, we have the highly anticipated US Elections, and while claims about Trump's victory are dominant, polls suggest the race is close. Right after, on Novem
Between Hope and Hesitation: BTC Resilience vs ETH's Dramatic Plunge
October Week 4 Summary - Frustrating Movements Continue"
We've left behind a week where BTC couldn't break its resistance and ETH fell as if there was no tomorrow. We're starting the week with another green candle, but let's see what the outcome will be? You can check out my article at this link to review last week's expectations and possibilities.
Bitcoin
Although it's making Higher Lows and Higher Highs, it's affecting the rest of the ma
We've left behind a week where BTC couldn't break its resistance and ETH fell as if there was no tomorrow. We're starting the week with another green candle, but let's see what the outcome will be? You can check out my article at this link to review last week's expectations and possibilities.
Bitcoin
Although it's making Higher Lows and Higher Highs, it's affecting the rest of the ma
Crypto's Perfect Storm: Elections, Volatility and Market Momentum
Uptober Shows Its Colors
Hello again after a nice weekly opening. It's been a long time since we've seen such green and strong candles, which brings our mood back. I hope it continues, and I'm pleased that last week went according to my expectations. You can check out my article at this link to review last week's expectations and possibilities.
Bitcoin
BTC, which has been rising since the opening last week, closed the week rising again towards the weekly close. The price looks quite strong. This
Hello again after a nice weekly opening. It's been a long time since we've seen such green and strong candles, which brings our mood back. I hope it continues, and I'm pleased that last week went according to my expectations. You can check out my article at this link to review last week's expectations and possibilities.
Bitcoin
BTC, which has been rising since the opening last week, closed the week rising again towards the weekly close. The price looks quite strong. This
From Boredom to Boom: Crypto's Exciting Week Ahead?
Crypto Market Analysis: Bitcoin and Ethereum Weekly Outlook
Greetings from a beautiful weekly opening. After a rather low-volatility, boring week, it's refreshing to start with such a green candle. Hopefully, this trend will continue. To review last week's expectations and possibilities, you can check out my article at this link.
Bitcoin
BTC, which made a new low this week, once again didn't close below the 69k support on a daily basis. A
Greetings from a beautiful weekly opening. After a rather low-volatility, boring week, it's refreshing to start with such a green candle. Hopefully, this trend will continue. To review last week's expectations and possibilities, you can check out my article at this link.
Bitcoin
BTC, which made a new low this week, once again didn't close below the 69k support on a daily basis. A
From Volatility to Opportunity: October’s Market Moves and Summary
What Was Expected in the First Week of October, What Happened?
To start, you can review my article at this [link] for our predictions and possibilities entering October. On Wednesday, the FOMC Meeting Minutes will be released, potentially impacting the markets.
Bitcoin
I previously noted that the pivot level was around the 60k range and expected a drop in the first week. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a move towards the 58-59k range, with
To start, you can review my article at this [link] for our predictions and possibilities entering October. On Wednesday, the FOMC Meeting Minutes will be released, potentially impacting the markets.
Bitcoin
I previously noted that the pivot level was around the 60k range and expected a drop in the first week. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a move towards the 58-59k range, with
The Uptober Effect: Crypto's Golden Month Ahead?
From Volatility to Victory, Will History Repeat for BTC and ETH? And Strategies for the Smart Trader
September Summary & October Data
In September, we made excellent profits from volatility trades set up during events like NFP and interest rate news. You can find details on how we created these positions and made profits in the articles on my profile. In September, our ETH 2300 Put and 2600 Call contracts profited in the first week when ETH dropped to 2150, and then with subsequent rises up to 2
September Summary & October Data
In September, we made excellent profits from volatility trades set up during events like NFP and interest rate news. You can find details on how we created these positions and made profits in the articles on my profile. In September, our ETH 2300 Put and 2600 Call contracts profited in the first week when ETH dropped to 2150, and then with subsequent rises up to 2
The Five Pillars of Options Trading: A Journey Through the Greeks
Beyond Price, How Greeks Shape Your Trading Success
In my previous article, "From Bankruptcy to Nobel Prize: The Art of Decoding Valuation" I briefly mentioned the Greeks in options. We'll dive deeper into this topic in this article. If you haven't read it yet, I recommend you do so as it's directly related to this subject. You can read the article by clicking on the title.
Here are the main topics I'll cover in this article:
● Delta
○ Eff
In my previous article, "From Bankruptcy to Nobel Prize: The Art of Decoding Valuation" I briefly mentioned the Greeks in options. We'll dive deeper into this topic in this article. If you haven't read it yet, I recommend you do so as it's directly related to this subject. You can read the article by clicking on the title.
Here are the main topics I'll cover in this article:
● Delta
○ Eff
Predict, Earn, Repeat: The 4x Success Story of Our FOMC Trading Strategy
The positions and strategies I mentioned earlier have just yielded a remarkable 4x return. Let's break it down:
For Ethereum (ETH):
September 20th contracts
Total initial cost: $22
Current value of the call contract: $85
For Bitcoin $BTC
Total initial cost: $54
Current value of the 63k call contract: $100
It's important to note that this strategy involves no stop loss and no risk of liquidation. The potential for profit continues to increase with each passing moment. This approach embodies a simple yet effective principle: Predict, Earn, Repeat.
This outcome demonstrates the potential of well-timed and strategically placed options in the crypto market, especially around significant events like the FOMC press conference. It underscores the importance of understanding market dynamics and positioning oneself to capitalize on anticipated volatility.
Remember, while these results are impressive, they also come with risks. Always ensure you're trading within your risk tolerance and never invest more than you can afford to lose. The crypto market is known for its volatility, which can work both for and against traders.
The positions and strategies I mentioned earlier have just yielded a remarkable 4x return. Let's break it down:
For Ethereum (ETH):
September 20th contracts
Total initial cost: $22
Current value of the call contract: $85
For Bitcoin $BTC
Total initial cost: $54
Current value of the 63k call contract: $100
It's important to note that this strategy involves no stop loss and no risk of liquidation. The potential for profit continues to increase with each passing moment. This approach embodies a simple yet effective principle: Predict, Earn, Repeat.
This outcome demonstrates the potential of well-timed and strategically placed options in the crypto market, especially around significant events like the FOMC press conference. It underscores the importance of understanding market dynamics and positioning oneself to capitalize on anticipated volatility.
Remember, while these results are impressive, they also come with risks. Always ensure you're trading within your risk tolerance and never invest more than you can afford to lose. The crypto market is known for its volatility, which can work both for and against traders.
LIVEFlaneur
--
Crypto Chess: Positioning Your Moves Before the FOMC Announcement
5% Edge: Unlocking Crypto Gains Amidst FOMC Turbulence
Let's talk about the interest rate decision and the FOMC press conference. Generally, since this kind of news tends to have a 4-5% impact, and I'm looking for the lowest cost with the highest gain, I'm buying contracts for prices that are about 5% away from the current price. You can choose different prices, closer/farther dates, and buy more contracts. You can also buy at prices closer to levels you find technically appealing.
September 20th, 5% away:
BTC:
57k $300 - 63k $240. For BTC, you can buy 0.1 units, so the cost could be $30 and $24, totaling $54. BTC is much stronger compared to ETH, so a strategy could be buying call contracts for BTC and put contracts for ETH. This strategy would make even more sense if you think ETHBTC will go lower.
ETH:
2200 $15 - 2450 $7. Total cost $22. If you're going to buy, I think it should be done immediately, because as the date approaches, the expectation of volatility and buying pressure might increase, potentially driving up prices.
These are the trades that suit me. The current cost is $54 for BTC and $22 for ETH, totaling $76. You can choose both, just one, or as I mentioned, one for BTC and the other for ETH. I probably won't wait until the contract expiration date and will close the positions when I see a nice profit.
#FOMC_Decision #ratecuts #RateCutExpectations #fomcmeeting
What do you think our profit potential will be from these positions?
5% Edge: Unlocking Crypto Gains Amidst FOMC Turbulence
Let's talk about the interest rate decision and the FOMC press conference. Generally, since this kind of news tends to have a 4-5% impact, and I'm looking for the lowest cost with the highest gain, I'm buying contracts for prices that are about 5% away from the current price. You can choose different prices, closer/farther dates, and buy more contracts. You can also buy at prices closer to levels you find technically appealing.
September 20th, 5% away:
BTC:
57k $300 - 63k $240. For BTC, you can buy 0.1 units, so the cost could be $30 and $24, totaling $54. BTC is much stronger compared to ETH, so a strategy could be buying call contracts for BTC and put contracts for ETH. This strategy would make even more sense if you think ETHBTC will go lower.
ETH:
2200 $15 - 2450 $7. Total cost $22. If you're going to buy, I think it should be done immediately, because as the date approaches, the expectation of volatility and buying pressure might increase, potentially driving up prices.
These are the trades that suit me. The current cost is $54 for BTC and $22 for ETH, totaling $76. You can choose both, just one, or as I mentioned, one for BTC and the other for ETH. I probably won't wait until the contract expiration date and will close the positions when I see a nice profit.
#FOMC_Decision #ratecuts #RateCutExpectations #fomcmeeting
What do you think our profit potential will be from these positions?
Crypto Chess: Positioning Your Moves Before the FOMC Announcement
5% Edge: Unlocking Crypto Gains Amidst FOMC Turbulence
Let's talk about the interest rate decision and the FOMC press conference. Generally, since this kind of news tends to have a 4-5% impact, and I'm looking for the lowest cost with the highest gain, I'm buying contracts for prices that are about 5% away from the current price. You can choose different prices, closer/farther dates, and buy more contracts. You can also buy at prices closer to levels you find technically appealing.
September 20th, 5% away:
BTC:
57k $300 - 63k $240. For BTC, you can buy 0.1 units, so the cost could be $30 and $24, totaling $54. BTC is much stronger compared to ETH, so a strategy could be buying call contracts for BTC and put contracts for ETH. This strategy would make even more sense if you think ETHBTC will go lower.
ETH:
2200 $15 - 2450 $7. Total cost $22. If you're going to buy, I think it should be done immediately, because as the date approaches, the expectation of volatility and buying pressure might increase, potentially driving up prices.
These are the trades that suit me. The current cost is $54 for BTC and $22 for ETH, totaling $76. You can choose both, just one, or as I mentioned, one for BTC and the other for ETH. I probably won't wait until the contract expiration date and will close the positions when I see a nice profit.
#FOMC_Decision #ratecuts #RateCutExpectations #fomcmeeting
What do you think our profit potential will be from these positions?
5% Edge: Unlocking Crypto Gains Amidst FOMC Turbulence
Let's talk about the interest rate decision and the FOMC press conference. Generally, since this kind of news tends to have a 4-5% impact, and I'm looking for the lowest cost with the highest gain, I'm buying contracts for prices that are about 5% away from the current price. You can choose different prices, closer/farther dates, and buy more contracts. You can also buy at prices closer to levels you find technically appealing.
September 20th, 5% away:
BTC:
57k $300 - 63k $240. For BTC, you can buy 0.1 units, so the cost could be $30 and $24, totaling $54. BTC is much stronger compared to ETH, so a strategy could be buying call contracts for BTC and put contracts for ETH. This strategy would make even more sense if you think ETHBTC will go lower.
ETH:
2200 $15 - 2450 $7. Total cost $22. If you're going to buy, I think it should be done immediately, because as the date approaches, the expectation of volatility and buying pressure might increase, potentially driving up prices.
These are the trades that suit me. The current cost is $54 for BTC and $22 for ETH, totaling $76. You can choose both, just one, or as I mentioned, one for BTC and the other for ETH. I probably won't wait until the contract expiration date and will close the positions when I see a nice profit.
#FOMC_Decision #ratecuts #RateCutExpectations #fomcmeeting
What do you think our profit potential will be from these positions?
Less than 10x
30%
More than 10x
52%
Break even
18%
27 votes • Voting closed
Interest Rate Cut Scenarios and Their Likely Reflections on Crypto Markets
Let's take a look at what happened in the first two weeks of September. Before reading this article, you can check out these two posts to see our expectations for September and how we positioned ourselves during important data releases like NFP.
Link to September Expectations
Link to NFP Data Position
Topics I'll cover in this article:
Information about interest rate decisionsInsight
Link to September Expectations
Link to NFP Data Position
Topics I'll cover in this article:
Information about interest rate decisionsInsight
From Bankruptcy to Nobel Prize: The Art of Decoding Valuation
Today, we're diving into a topic that's a bit more technical but essential. I've briefly mentioned before how option contract prices are calculated. If you remember, the Nobel Prize-winning Black Scholes Merton differential equation determined the value of contracts. Let's first take a look at this equation.
Economists Fischer Black and Myron Scholes invented the risk-neutral argument in 1968 by showing that a dynamic revision of a portfolio eliminated the expected return of the security. They f
Economists Fischer Black and Myron Scholes invented the risk-neutral argument in 1968 by showing that a dynamic revision of a portfolio eliminated the expected return of the security. They f
September Week 1 Summary
What was expected in the first week of September, what happened?
First, you can review my article at this link to see our expectations and possibilities as we enter September.
Bitcoin
The average volatility for September is 25%, with Deribit BTC DVOL around 58%. The average weekly implied volatility for September is around 12%. We saw this expected volatility happened in the first week. The market experienced a 10% drop. You can see the de
First, you can review my article at this link to see our expectations and possibilities as we enter September.
Bitcoin
The average volatility for September is 25%, with Deribit BTC DVOL around 58%. The average weekly implied volatility for September is around 12%. We saw this expected volatility happened in the first week. The market experienced a 10% drop. You can see the de
Riding the NFP Wave: A $22 Options Strategy for Volatile Markets
Double-Edged Sword: Capitalizing on NFP Volatility with Options
Today, we have crucial NFP and Unemployment data coming at 15:30. Expect high volatility both before and after the release. So, how can we set up a position to trade this volatility? Let’s see what we can do with a $22 cost.
It’s not unreasonable to expect over 5% volatility today. That’s why I want to keep my cost low while maximizing potential gains. $ETH is currently around 2360. A 5% move up would be 2480, while 5% down would b
Today, we have crucial NFP and Unemployment data coming at 15:30. Expect high volatility both before and after the release. So, how can we set up a position to trade this volatility? Let’s see what we can do with a $22 cost.
It’s not unreasonable to expect over 5% volatility today. That’s why I want to keep my cost low while maximizing potential gains. $ETH is currently around 2360. A 5% move up would be 2480, while 5% down would b
Master the Market: The Whales' Secret Weapon for Volatile Times
Turning Market Uncertainty into Profit, How to Win When Others Panic
Hello everyone,
As we enter September, we're heading into a time of high volatility in the markets. You've probably heard the saying, "Sell in May and go away, stay away till St. Leger Day." The St. Leger Day mentioned here refers to one of the oldest horse racing festivals in England, held on September 14th. You might have also heard of the "September effect," known for stock markets typically showing their worst performance i
Hello everyone,
As we enter September, we're heading into a time of high volatility in the markets. You've probably heard the saying, "Sell in May and go away, stay away till St. Leger Day." The St. Leger Day mentioned here refers to one of the oldest horse racing festivals in England, held on September 14th. You might have also heard of the "September effect," known for stock markets typically showing their worst performance i
Demystifying NFTs: Your Guide to the Digital Collectibles Craze
Hello everyone,
I'm thinking of writing posts with general information like this between my options articles. I want to talk about Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs), a topic that's also in my area of interest.
I'll start with some classic questions and then give a few examples of why they're valued so highly. You'll be amazed at how limitless the possibilities are.
What are NFTs, which include pixelated images, game characters, and more that sell for millions of dollars?
Fungibility
In economics, "
I'm thinking of writing posts with general information like this between my options articles. I want to talk about Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs), a topic that's also in my area of interest.
I'll start with some classic questions and then give a few examples of why they're valued so highly. You'll be amazed at how limitless the possibilities are.
What are NFTs, which include pixelated images, game characters, and more that sell for millions of dollars?
Fungibility
In economics, "
Options vs. Perpetuals: Which Weapon Should You Choose in Your Trading Arsenal?
Hey everyone,
I've previously talked to you about types of option contracts. As a reminder, there are 4 types of contracts:
Buy CallSell CallBuy PutSell Put
In basic terms, these can be called Call (Long) and Put (Short). If you think a product will rise, you buy a Call contract. For you to buy this contract, someone else needs to sell it. That person becomes the Sell Call part of the contract. If you think it'll fall, you buy a Put contract, and again, there needs to be someone selling a Put. T
I've previously talked to you about types of option contracts. As a reminder, there are 4 types of contracts:
Buy CallSell CallBuy PutSell Put
In basic terms, these can be called Call (Long) and Put (Short). If you think a product will rise, you buy a Call contract. For you to buy this contract, someone else needs to sell it. That person becomes the Sell Call part of the contract. If you think it'll fall, you buy a Put contract, and again, there needs to be someone selling a Put. T
From Clicks to Calls: A Photographer's Journey. Beyond Stop-Losses, Trading Without the Stress
Hey everyone,
I'm actually a photographer who's been in the business for 7 years. But lately, I've dived into the trading world. Started with crypto 5 years ago, then forex for the last 2 years, and now I've been doing options trading for about a year. I usually go for medium-term trades, holding perpetual contracts for 2 to 10 days.
Recently, I've been focusing on options trading and trying to learn as much as I can. In 2022, I took a Price Action course from @EfloudTheSurfer. Then in 2023, I c
I'm actually a photographer who's been in the business for 7 years. But lately, I've dived into the trading world. Started with crypto 5 years ago, then forex for the last 2 years, and now I've been doing options trading for about a year. I usually go for medium-term trades, holding perpetual contracts for 2 to 10 days.
Recently, I've been focusing on options trading and trying to learn as much as I can. In 2022, I took a Price Action course from @EfloudTheSurfer. Then in 2023, I c
