From 5,000 to 100,000, there are only two ways to multiply 20 times!
One is to get rich quickly by copycats, buy 20 times the coin;
The second is to use the rolling method, rolling contracts and all-in.
Get rich quickly by copycats, don't be picky in the bull market, don't believe in the bear market
Do not build positions on the left side, start with the mainstream, and change to copycats with the trend
Do not increase positions when rising, do not hold on when falling, and do not hesitate when breaking arms
The layout is small and refined, do not act when you are moved, and only eat three-quarters full
Light positions can create miracles, make money in three steps, and get rich quickly as stable as a dog
1. The currency circle rises and falls together. The rise in the bull market does not need value support, but only a reason for the rise;
2. Don't talk about faith with the copycat, cut the meat when it's time to cut the meat;
3. Time is a friend of Bitcoin, but an enemy of copycat coins;
4. The value foundation of copycat coins lies in continuous innovation. Once innovation stagnates, the value will collapse. The value foundation of Bitcoin lies in its immutability. If you are trapped by Bitcoin, there will definitely be a day to get rid of it, but copycat coins may not be
5. The only ones suitable for left-side trading are Bitcoin and Ethereum. The biggest risk of copycat coins is zero
6. At the beginning of a bull market, only BTC is healthy, so first build a position in Ethereum, so that you will not miss the opportunity if it rises, and you will not be afraid of being trapped if it falls;
7. Copycat coins have no defensive capabilities;
8. Do not increase your position when it rises, position management is very important - try with a light position, and increase your position significantly after the rise, so it is difficult to play without losing money;
9. The position of Bitcoin and Ethereum cannot be less than half
10. When playing copycat coins, you must take the initiative to miss the opportunity and sell it actively
11. Fall in one place and get up in another place-- If you lose money here, you can earn it back in another place;
12. The biggest cost after being trapped is the opportunity cost;
13. The core of playing Shanzhai is to know how to sell;
14. Only eat three-quarters full, the fish head and tail are not so delicious, leave them to the dealer and wait for the leader to come out before eating the fish belly with high certainty:
15. You must lightly position when playing Shanzhai, heavy positions will ruin your mentality, mentality will ruin your operation, and bad operation will lead to loss of money.
Among the 1,000 ways to get rich in the currency circle, only this one may be suitable for you, because the above methods may give you a 10% chance to earn 10 times, a 1% chance to earn 100 times, and it is almost impossible for you to earn 1,000 or 10,000 times. Those who succeed are survivors. Let's not talk nonsense. The following introduces this speculative method of small-to-big-win with a 1-to-100-fold loss and a high winning rate.Personal experience is effective, I won't talk about the results, I won't share if it's not reliable.
This method is divided into floating profit plus short and floating plus long, referred to as the floating cloud series. Below I will use floating profit plus long to briefly explain:
Assuming that you start with BTC 10,000 US dollars, you use 0.01 BTC margin to open a long position in BTC futures, with a leverage multiple of 5 times, and always maintain 5 times leverage during the period. As long as there is profit, continue to increase the position. When it reaches 30,000 US dollars, what is your 0.01 BTC? 5 times leverage, every 20% increase, the principal doubles, ensuring that the leverage multiple remains unchanged, 200% is approximately equal to 10 20% increases, the final return of the principal 0.01 BTC is 0.01*2 to the power of 10 = 10 BTC, the return is about 1000 times, and it is about 3000 times according to USDT.

But during this period, if you withdraw 20% from any point, you will be liquidated. According to my observation and summary, BTC fluctuations basically occur more than 5 times a year with a drop of more than 50% or a gain of more than 100% and no 20% retracement during the period. In the past few years, there have been many records of 80% drop without 20% increase (312, 12000 to 3400 futures) and 200% increase without 20% retracement (19000-41900). Assuming you come to Fuyun once a day, each time with a principal of 0.01 BTC, you can lose up to 3.65 BTC a year. The probability of zeroing out each time is 95%. But there are 5-10 opportunities every year for you to make a profit of more than 10 BTC, at least one opportunity to make a profit of 100-1000 BTC, and many opportunities to make several times the profit.

I calculated the winning rate many times and counted the fluctuation range of BTC. The winning rate is about 100 times return in 20 times, and the rest are all counted as zero for the convenience of calculation, that is, the winning rate is 5%, the odds are 10000%, ev=5%*10000%=5. According to the Kelly formula F=pw-(pl/w), f is the betting ratio, w is the winning funds divided by the losing funds, pw is the winning rate, and pl is the probability of losing. f=5%-(95%/(100/1)=5%-0.95%=4.01%. The conclusion is: divide the money you can afford to lose into 25 parts, and then use 5x leverage to increase your position. When you reach 100x profit, stop profit immediately. If you don't reach 100x, you would rather continue to increase your position even if your position is liquidated. Persevere. If your position is liquidated, wait for the next Floating Cloud. In terms of direction, if the retracement from the highest point is 20%, then you will increase your position. If the rebound from the lowest point is 20%, then you will increase your position.

It should be emphasized here that the principal must be small and you should not play anything other than BTC. Because once your margin is too high, some exchanges may use the method of inserting a pin to end your Floating Cloud in advance.As for small currencies, the implied volatility is too high, and you may be liquidated quickly without inserting a pin. Moreover, there are too many people who do evil in small currencies, and the currency price is easily affected. Relatively speaking, the currency price of BTC is more affected by the market. The casino is fairer.

Compared with people with small capital, I understand your feelings very well. If there is no chance of getting rich with a small capital, you can't wait for 20% compound interest. If you must add leverage and get rich, then learn to float well. So I wrote this article. In addition, please remember that if you make a profit, you must remember to stop profit, because once you have the ability to take even a penny away from the casino, you will have the opportunity to take out countless more money.

No matter how much you earn, if you can't take it away, you will eventually be floating clouds. After all, no matter how good the formula is, it can't beat human nature. You still have to beat yourself.

Only such a model can allow you to not bear the risk of bursting losses when there is a possibility of getting rich in the currency circle. Don't believe in hoarding coins. Hoarding coins without sufficient off-site earning ability is to deceive retail investors. Isn't it nonsense that others hoard 100 bitcoins and you also hoard a few bitcoins? The volatility of Bitcoin has been greatly reduced, and leverage is required to have the possibility of getting rich quickly. Those who hoarded Bitcoin two years ago have just made their money back, and those who made regular investments will not get several times the return even at the peak of the bull market.

The bloodbath before the halving, countless people fell to zero in their sleep. How long will it fall?
The bloody scene of March 12, 2020 has never been forgotten.
On April 13, 2024, nearly 300,000 people fell to zero in their sleep.
In the early morning of April 13, the virtual currency market was bloodbathed again. Among them, the price of Bitcoin once plunged by more than $2,000, from $67,100 to below $65,000. The copycat was even more bloodbathed.
This month, a major event in the virtual currency market is about to take place-Bitcoin "halving", which has attracted much attention because it will be directly related to the supply and demand of Bitcoin. The Bitcoin "halving" event refers to the halving of the reward obtained after the production of a new block, which occurs approximately every four years. The specific time depends on the block generation speed of the Bitcoin network, which will reduce the supply of Bitcoin. The halving of block rewards means that it will take longer for all Bitcoins to enter the market.
Regarding the upcoming "halving", Kevin, founder of Web3 CD and CEO of Full Speed ​​Innovation Capital, pointed out in an interview with the reporter of "Daily Economic News" that "the difference between this round of Bitcoin market and the previous ones is that the previous cryptocurrency bull market was after the "halving", but this time it is before the halving, so this round of market may go out of the way different from the previous ones. However, at least for now, the cryptocurrency market as a whole is still in a relatively disordered state, and no one can better predict the next trend."
There are two things to pay attention to. One is the high sideways trading of Bitcoin, the risk of a copycat falling, and the other is the risk of washing the market after the long-term digestion of the positive news before and after the production cut.
Production cut is a time point. After the production cut, the decline in output will drive the rise of Bitcoin. This can be realized before or after the production cut. However, judging from the trend of this bull market, before the production cut, Bitcoin was pushed to a record high due to the support of ETFs and expectations of interest rate cuts.
The big bitcoins are sideways, the copycats are falling, and the recent plunge has caused a large number of people to go bankrupt. Those with full spot positions will definitely feel great psychological pressure.
In the middle of the bull market, although everyone knows that there will be more booms in the future, it is difficult to remain indifferent if the profits retreat to the level of April 13.So no matter when, we have to invest within a reasonable range. If we exceed our ability, we will be scared to sell our stocks in a crash. A reasonable range of positions, and at the same time, a part of this part of the positions should be reserved to prevent such a sharp drop.
With the reserved funds, you can do Bian mining, and some large project pledge activities. Although the profit is not as high as buying coins, it is very safe, and it can also prevent you from always filling your positions. Large funds always have to make the best configuration (big cake, ether, BN mining), and don't ignore the principal risk for short-term violence.
Finally, let's talk about the market in the next two months.
Last year, it was expected that there would be a market a few months before the production cut. Now this process has been completed. In the future, we should pay attention to two things: interest rate cuts and US stock dynamics. After the interest rate cut, will the American money flow to the US stock market?
Some people thought it would in the past, but I think the possibility is small. First, as long as the interest rate is cut, the depreciation of the US dollar is almost a foregone conclusion. Secondly, the high position of the US stock market itself has certain risks. Those who are left in the bank by the Americans at a 5-point interest rate will not risk going to the US stock market again. So either go to gold, go to Japan, or go back to other countries.
If the US stock market falls, it will be a short-term negative for Bitcoin, but it is only a short-term one. There is an essential difference between stocks and blockchain. Americans are free, and they will try their best to keep their money in the pool they can control. Gold is a way to go out, but it is too monotonous, and the US stock market is high.
Personally, I think that after the ETF is passed, once the interest rate is cut, more people will come in. Some people will say that Bitcoin is so high, how can it still come in? In addition to Bitcoin, there are many other small plates to choose from.
Even if this round of SOL was promoted by the Americans, it has changed from a small pool to a large pool. ONDO also has the shadow of BlackRock behind it, and there are actually many more. The opportunity lies in the circle of Americans. The previous SOL chain dog, the recent runes, and the new inscriptions were all hyped by them first. The future bull market needs to pay more attention to this circle.
In addition, some people say that the price of bitcoin is too high. In fact, the price of bitcoin is always high for retail investors, but it is never high for dog dealers (a small group). For the group of big guys who control 70% of the global bitcoin, it should not be too difficult to drive up the small amount of bitcoin outside to 200,000.It's just that this process should be a bit tortuous.
Here's a predicted timeline:
It is expected that the interest rate cut will be in September at the latest. Two or three months before the interest rate cut, we will see a relatively low position that will last for a period of time, giving ETFs time to enter the market again. This time, it may be the last opportunity to enter the future bull market. I think the big bull market will not start later than the end of June.
Therefore, control the position and rhythm when bottoming out. Bottom-fishing is not completed in one go, but should be completed over a period of time. No one can absolutely predict the lowest point of this callback in the short term.

After this CPI data, the Fed will not cut interest rates. It is impossible, don't be misled.

The Fed has started a cycle of interest rate cuts. It will definitely cut several times again within a year! ! This is unshakable. Newbies must not be misled.
How can the United States repay tens of trillions of dollars of debt without cutting interest rates here?

Although the broad CPI that most people pay the most attention to has decreased, it has increased a little compared with market expectations, and the problem is not very big. I personally think it is still good. The monthly rate and core monthly rate of CPI are the same as last month, and they are slightly higher than expected. The annual rate of core CPI has increased somewhat, but the increase is not high, and according to the recent inflation increase, it is the lowest in the past three years. So in essence, it is not too bad data.

From the details of inflation, housing and food increased the most in September, and food is not considered core inflation. Moreover, the amount of inflation increase is not very large, and from the current inflation data, the probability of the Fed changing its interest rate cut strategy in November is also very low. A 25 basis point interest rate cut in November is still the greatest possibility.

Known benefits so far:

1. The Fed will cut interest rates, but it will be slower than expected
2. In the US election, whoever is elected may be beneficial to the currency circle. Of course, Trump will be better.
3. FTX compensation, if accelerated, would be a surprise

Remaining uncertainties:

1. U.S. stocks are sluggish and seem likely to pull back at any time
2. Even if there is a correction, it is undeniable that it is still Niu Chu’s A-share market.
3. Risk of escalation of war in the Middle East
$BTC #特朗普当选概率上升

Which of the practical guides for beginners in the cryptocurrency circle are reliable?

1. The magic of flattening costs
For example, if you buy 10,000 U for 10U, and then buy another 10,000 U when it drops to 5U, the average cost is 6.67U, not 7.5U. This is the power of flattening!

2. The miracle of compound interest accumulated over time
If you earn 1% every day, after 250 trading days a year, your assets will increase to 1.3232 million, and double to 10 million in two years. The magic of compound interest, do you understand?

3. Amazing returns with high winning rate
With a winning rate of 60%, you can invest 100 times in a row, with a stop profit and stop loss of 10% each, and the total return rate can reach 300%. This is the power of winning rate!

4. Small funds turn into big wealth
Starting from 10,000 U, earning 10% each time, it will become 1 million U in 49 days, 10 million U in 73 days, and 100 million U in 97 days. The premise is extremely high self-discipline and strict risk control.
The gap between reality and ideal
The above methods sound good, but few people can actually do it. Greed is the biggest enemy.
$BTC #大A香还是大饼香

——BTC

After BTC reached the target range of 64471, it went sideways for 70 hours. This sideways trading is a normal rest for the bulls. It is a technical consolidation of the short-term selling pressure caused by the increase in the deviation rate after the rise and the previous locked-in area. It does not affect the local bullish structure that has been formed, and the market will continue to have opportunities to rise in the future. At this position, don't worry about the so-called plunge. The previous chips continue to hold the currency and wait for the rise. Refer to the short-term support to make a good defense. If it can go sideways until tomorrow night or the next morning, the time will meet the conditions for a high rise; in the short term, under the background of local bulls, take a positive view of the callback with a drop of more than 3%, and you can actively participate in the rebound.

The reference points are as follows: short-term support 61891~62746 (watch the market and hold positions for defense), medium-term support 61214~60456 (support pending orders, can actively grab the rebound), medium-short-term suppression range 66899~66316 (upper structural selling pressure area).

Some friends also asked what altcoins are?
Now I will list them out, and newbies should read and learn them well.

I divide the existing altcoins into four categories:
1. Yesterday's news
They appeared earlier, the topic is outdated, and the scalability is limited. Most of them are mining coins. It is expected that they will not exceed the high point in 2021 in 2025. Such coins include: ETC, FIL, BSV, ICP, LTC, etc.

2. Average
They appeared before 2021, have a certain market share, and the project is still actively operating and developing. The price of such coins is expected to be in sync with the market, and the total market value will increase by 1-2 times. Such coins include: ATOM, CRV, MATIC, NEAR, XRP, FLOW, DOT, etc.

3. Three
They appeared in 2021 and later, and they are (recognized) advanced productivity and future development direction. The upper limit of such coins is higher than that of average coins, and there is a high probability that they can become bigger and stronger in the bull market. Such coins include: ARB, OP, SUI, APT, IMX, MAGIC, HIFI, SSV. Etc.

4. Dark Horse Prince
It will appear in 2022-2025. It is not part of the mainstream narrative, but it is gradually moving towards the mainstream vision. There is a large space for subsequent development, but there is also a probability of premature expansion depending on whether it can become the mainstream narrative and continue to be a hot spot.
Such coins include: ORDI, BLUR, SATS, RATS, PEPE, KAS, etc.
As a stable leveraged long, my main positions are in categories 2 and 3, try to take into account 4, and try to avoid 1.

I'll stop here first, and it's still the old saying. Your circle determines your future! Want to change yourself and change the status quo! Follow me to let you re-understand the currency market!

——BTC

BTC has been shrinking and fluctuating for 10 days, and the amplitude is getting smaller and smaller. In terms of time, it should be the end of this round of adjustment. In the next few days, it will face the choice of the direction of the new cycle.
From the hourly line, the price is stable near 56700 and above. Even if the bulls have maintained the results of the counterattack since August 5, as long as they hold this line of defense, the direction of the market change will be upward.
In terms of practical operation, the current hourly level, whether it is the K-line or the moving average, has not formed an active offensive structure. There is a possibility that the market will further explore the support level of the pattern. Therefore, low-long is still the main choice for short-term operation, and then the direction of the large cycle will be judged according to the strength of the rebound.
Short-term support 57020~56383 (watch the market), medium-term support 54772~54027 (support pending orders to grab rebounds), short-term suppression 59750~60082, medium-term suppression 61327~61909.
Note: There is no obvious direction in the current volatility cycle. Based on comprehensive judgment, I think the probability of upward movement is high. This is a gamble. Aggressive traders can keep the short-term support range of 63450~64649 (strictly set a stop loss) Follow the official account: Chain Prophet

The top exchanges all have their own risk control departments, and they will ban accounts or use C3 measures to control risky accounts. What kind of accounts will be frozen by the exchange risk control:

1. Accounts that only buy U every day, never sell U, and withdraw after buying.

2. Accounts that have no virtual currency trading assets, but recharge and sell U every day.

3. Accounts that have been frozen by currency traders due to unclean funds and have been reported by currency traders many times.

4. Accounts that do not pay in real name and have been reported by customers many times.

5. Account assets involved in criminal cases. (This is "judicial freeze, uncle sent a "letter of assistance" to the exchange)
6. Accounts with too much assets. (This is usually a small transaction that is rogue and directly embezzles customer assets. Relying on their own overseas, they are not afraid.)
7. The account received "black coins". (This black coin is not tracked by the uncle involved in the case, but by industry leaders to recover losses. For example, hackers steal coins, scammers steal coins, etc.)
8. Using high technology to infringe on the interests of the exchange. For example, brushing orders and moving bricks, or grabbing the wool of the exchange's promotional activities.

The above is purely based on experience and does not constitute advertising marketing or investment advice. If you are still confused, take a few detours and go to the homepage to avoid pitfalls in the crypto market.

Daily market interpretation - BTC (whether the short-term trend will rise first and then fall, and look for opportunities if it falls)
Yesterday's BTC mainly suggested the idea of ​​​​low-to-long callback. After trading sideways from noon to 7 pm yesterday, a new round of pull-ups took place. The current price of BTC has been trading sideways for 9 hours in the pattern suppression range mentioned the day before yesterday. After the sideways trading below the suppression level, the probability of rising first and then falling at night is high. However, it broke through the 62,000 mark in one fell swoop tonight, which is good news for those who opened long yesterday. The market sentiment is extremely high, and the CME gap has been filled. The short-term suppression range is 65206-65651, and the mid-line support range is 59372-57350 (this range is currently just a reference, buy when it falls back for the second time)
 

Spot analysis - SOL
The pressure range I predicted for SOL is 153.8~157.2. After reaching the range during the session, there was a relatively obvious correction. At present, it is still in the wave pattern of hourly line correction. In the general direction, it will mainly be a correction and shock at the level of 4H and above. It is not recommended to enter new chips again. The main opportunity is to make more lows after the correction. According to the existing structure, I give several short, medium and long support ranges for your reference. The first short-term support is 142.3~139.5 (watch the market, and the estimated rebound is 5%), and the second support is 130.9~132.8 (watch the market, light positions can be hung, and the estimated rebound is 8%). If there is a sharp drop at the second support level and below, you can actively grab the pin rebound (125~117, estimated rebound 15%), and the bulls will be repaired. The pressure range is 157.2~159.7. Today's points are a bit messy, but not messy. Just do it in order. If you don't have time to watch the market, just hang it directly to the second support and potential pin positions. The trend of SOL is highly correlated with BTC but stronger than BTC. The key to operating SOL is to wait for BTC to enter the support range and then do it synchronously.

Spot analysis - SOL
The pressure range I predicted for SOL is 153.8~157.2. After reaching the range during the session, there was a relatively obvious correction. At present, it is still in the wave pattern of hourly line correction. In the general direction, it will mainly be a correction and shock at the level of 4H and above. It is not recommended to enter new chips. The main opportunity is to make more lows after the correction. According to the existing structure, I give several short, medium and long support ranges for your reference. The first short-term support is 142.3~139.5 (watch the market, and the estimated rebound is 5%), and the second support is 130.9~132.8 (watch the market, light positions can be hung, and the estimated rebound is 8%). If there is a sharp drop at the second support level and below, you can actively grab the pin rebound (125~117, estimated rebound 15%), and the bulls will be repaired. The pressure range is 157.2~159.7. Today's points are a bit messy, but not messy. Just do it in order. If you don't have time to watch the market, just hang it directly to the second support and potential pin positions. The trend of SOL is highly correlated with BTC but stronger than BTC. The key to operating SOL is to wait for BTC to enter the support range and then do it synchronously.

Spot Analysis - ETH
ETH showed a trend of rising and falling yesterday, but the rebound was weak and the fall was smooth, indicating that the bulls in the market lacked energy. The current price has reached the predicted support range. Given that the market has no obvious room for growth here, it is recommended to sell the chips received after a small rebound and then re-enter after refreshing the low point. The support range is 2210~2257, and the pressure range is 2651~2590.

Daily market interpretation - BTC

For BTC, I said yesterday that the rebound after the big negative line of the daily K line is not as good as the second positive line, which mainly indicates the short-term suppression effect near 57950. The high point of the day is 57711, and there are signs of a correction. Therefore, those who have heavy positions in the early stage and short-term chips that are trying to rebound from the bottom should take the initiative to reduce their positions at this position, and wait for further breakthroughs or retracements before entering the market. It is relatively safe overall. Due to the suppression of the upper structure, the range of further rising here is limited. If it continues to rise, friends who like contracts can consider short orders. For spot, new chips at the current position should not chase high, and mainly take the opportunity of low long after the retracement. The short-term suppression range is 59321~59852, and the short-term support range is 53268~51463.