玉猪龙
先登愚勇之峰，再临绝望之谷。爱而不得，尽情梭哈。
48 Following
35 Followers
33 Liked
0 Shared
See original
Big brother, your mortgage loan is a tough guy, curious if the execution ability is cleared with a hundred thousand and the car can be picked up.
I started preparing to sell the house after the Spring Festival last year. My parents disagreed, so I secretly took a fake property certificate to replace the real one. When I sold the house, the price of Bitcoin was 25,000 US dollars.
See original
Golden Spatula
Should the coins mined from BNB be reinvested or held?
First of all, I don't criticize any coin, and I don't oppose anyone holding any coin, because the profit and loss are everyone's own money. I just express my personal opinion.
I think the mined coins should be reinvested in BNB, not held. Let's talk about it based on the data.
We use the 10 coins that have been launched in 2024 for new coin mining to make statistics. We sum up the increase of all coins to date and then divide it by 10, and we will get the average increase of the mined coins, (18+66+23+62+21-35-15+57+45-10)/10=23.2%. From the beginning of the year, if we hold the new coins for a long time after they are launched, the increase of each mined coin from the average price of the opening three days to now is 23.2%.
The price of BNB on January 4, 2024 is 310U, and the current price is 610U. We use 31000U to buy 100BNB as the starting capital, and estimate the mining income of 2% each time.
The mined coins are not reinvested: (610+310)/2*2%*10*100=9200U, the mining income of 100BNB is 9200U, and the increase of 23.2% is: 9200*(1+23.2%)=11334U, plus the increase of BNB: 61000-31000+11334=41334U. Finally, from January 4 to April 11, our total income of 31000U is 41334U, and the rate of return is 133%.
Reinvestment of mined coins: 100 BNBs earn 2% each mining, compound interest 10 times, and the final number of BNBs is 122. The income is 122*610-31000=43420U, and the rate of return is 140%.
The return from ten BNB minings and reinvestment barely beats the return from no reinvestment. However, if we mine for a year, there are about 30 times, and the BNB price is still 310U to 610U. No reinvestment: (610+310)/2*2%*30*100*23.2%+61000-31000=64003U, the rate of return is 170%. Reinvestment: 181.1*610-31000=79471U, the rate of return is 256%.
If we look at the return from reinvestment over a long period of time, it will far outperform the return from no reinvestment, and holding these altcoins is extremely risky. After 3 or 5 years, 80% of them may be on the road to zero, so why don’t we quietly hold BNB and do high-probability events.
So my suggestion is: reinvest and hold BNB, let time accompany us to slowly become rich.
$BNB
First of all, I don't criticize any coin, and I don't oppose anyone holding any coin, because the profit and loss are everyone's own money. I just express my personal opinion.
I think the mined coins should be reinvested in BNB, not held. Let's talk about it based on the data.
We use the 10 coins that have been launched in 2024 for new coin mining to make statistics. We sum up the increase of all coins to date and then divide it by 10, and we will get the average increase of the mined coins, (18+66+23+62+21-35-15+57+45-10)/10=23.2%. From the beginning of the year, if we hold the new coins for a long time after they are launched, the increase of each mined coin from the average price of the opening three days to now is 23.2%.
The price of BNB on January 4, 2024 is 310U, and the current price is 610U. We use 31000U to buy 100BNB as the starting capital, and estimate the mining income of 2% each time.
The mined coins are not reinvested: (610+310)/2*2%*10*100=9200U, the mining income of 100BNB is 9200U, and the increase of 23.2% is: 9200*(1+23.2%)=11334U, plus the increase of BNB: 61000-31000+11334=41334U. Finally, from January 4 to April 11, our total income of 31000U is 41334U, and the rate of return is 133%.
Reinvestment of mined coins: 100 BNBs earn 2% each mining, compound interest 10 times, and the final number of BNBs is 122. The income is 122*610-31000=43420U, and the rate of return is 140%.
The return from ten BNB minings and reinvestment barely beats the return from no reinvestment. However, if we mine for a year, there are about 30 times, and the BNB price is still 310U to 610U. No reinvestment: (610+310)/2*2%*30*100*23.2%+61000-31000=64003U, the rate of return is 170%. Reinvestment: 181.1*610-31000=79471U, the rate of return is 256%.
If we look at the return from reinvestment over a long period of time, it will far outperform the return from no reinvestment, and holding these altcoins is extremely risky. After 3 or 5 years, 80% of them may be on the road to zero, so why don’t we quietly hold BNB and do high-probability events.
So my suggestion is: reinvest and hold BNB, let time accompany us to slowly become rich.
$BNB
See original
$BTC Will a clown pop up and say how much he predicted yesterday?
会很多，还会自嗨问是不是怎样怎样
89%
不会，都在静心思考，认真学习。
11%
75 votes • Voting closed
See original
$BTC A simple logic is why the bull market is 6.9, because it was listed on the exchange, and later it was said that it would apply for an ETF. Stimulants add a wonderful anticipation. This wave has actually passed, and the increase in funds is not of the same magnitude. I don’t dare to say how high it will go to 6.9. I’m not panicking at all. It’s even a pity that I didn’t place an order last night. This opportunity will come again.
Don’t worry, it’ll be over soon. Even if it falls, there’s no reason to panic now.
Don’t worry, it’ll be over soon. Even if it falls, there’s no reason to panic now.
See original
Easier to know than to do
Is there any way to ensure steady profits without losing money in the currency circle?
After graduating from high school, I have been working hard for 4 years. In the past four years, I have experienced ups and downs, with bright moments of profit and darkest moments of loss. I have tried various methods such as ICO, Dogecoin, and mining, and witnessed three alternating cycles of bull and bear. Eventually, I discovered a secret to making money: buy in a bear market and sell in a bull market.
A bull market is like a big carnival, usually lasting six to twelve months, while a bear market is like a long winter, lasting one to two years. A complete bull-bear cycle is like a cycle of four seasons, which lasts about three to four years. We must be good at seizing this cycle and earning at least 50%+ profits in the bull market, which is much more profitable than other financial management methods, stocks and funds.
What should be done specifically?
1. Buy bravely in a bear market. Just like a cheetah waiting for its prey, we must be patient and wait until the bottom of the bear market before taking action (although it is difficult to catch the lowest point). You can buy gradually in several installments, as this process may take some time.
2. Choosing mainstream coins is key. BTC and ETH are like the king and queen of the cryptocurrency world, and you can’t go wrong by buying them in a bear market. At the same time, you can also pay attention to some potential basic chains, such as SOL, AVAX, or some well-performing infrastructure coins, such as MATIC, as well as popular popular coins, such as doge, SHIB, RATS, and PEPE. Remember, you must choose mainstream coins for heavy positions, and don’t be fooled by altcoins.
3. When the bull market enters the mid-term, it is our harvest season. At this time, BTC will soar like a rocket, driving ETH to take off together. Other mainstream coins will follow closely, while most altcoins will slowly catch up.
4. In the later stages of the bull market, BTC may begin to fall, but ETH may briefly rise. The popular altcoins in this bull market will soar several times or even hundreds of times like a roller coaster.
5. When the bull market comes to an end, BTC will plummet by thousands or even tens of thousands of points, and then rebound slightly. At this time, many people will think that it is just a small correction. But in fact, after a few such plunges, the bull market is over. If you are accidentally trapped, you must stop the loss decisively, otherwise you will lose more.
6. The bull market is full of opportunities, but also hidden traps. Don't be tempted by the crazy rise of altcoins and blindly buy or hold heavy positions. This is simply gambling.
7. After buying in a bear market, wait patiently like a sniper until the bull market arrives before selling.
8. Don’t pay too much attention to the ups and downs during the period. After selling, wait patiently for the bull market to end and enter the bear market. This may take a year or two. Even if you make money in a bull market, don’t be impulsive to play with altcoins. If you really can't help but want to gamble, you should control your funds and be happy with your small gambling.
Finally, remember that preserving your principal is most important. If you are accidentally trapped, you must find a way to protect your principal. When the currency market collapses, you must cut off your assets decisively so that you can preserve most of your principal and prepare for the next opportunity.
This is some of my experience in the currency circle, I hope it will be helpful to everyone. Of course, the currency industry has high risks and investment needs to be cautious. Everyone should make reasonable investment arrangements based on their own circumstances.
#热门话题 #sol #WIF #aevo #BTC $BTC $SOL $WIF
点击币安新用户注册即送新币ETHFI和100美金手续费代金券
After graduating from high school, I have been working hard for 4 years. In the past four years, I have experienced ups and downs, with bright moments of profit and darkest moments of loss. I have tried various methods such as ICO, Dogecoin, and mining, and witnessed three alternating cycles of bull and bear. Eventually, I discovered a secret to making money: buy in a bear market and sell in a bull market.
A bull market is like a big carnival, usually lasting six to twelve months, while a bear market is like a long winter, lasting one to two years. A complete bull-bear cycle is like a cycle of four seasons, which lasts about three to four years. We must be good at seizing this cycle and earning at least 50%+ profits in the bull market, which is much more profitable than other financial management methods, stocks and funds.
What should be done specifically?
1. Buy bravely in a bear market. Just like a cheetah waiting for its prey, we must be patient and wait until the bottom of the bear market before taking action (although it is difficult to catch the lowest point). You can buy gradually in several installments, as this process may take some time.
2. Choosing mainstream coins is key. BTC and ETH are like the king and queen of the cryptocurrency world, and you can’t go wrong by buying them in a bear market. At the same time, you can also pay attention to some potential basic chains, such as SOL, AVAX, or some well-performing infrastructure coins, such as MATIC, as well as popular popular coins, such as doge, SHIB, RATS, and PEPE. Remember, you must choose mainstream coins for heavy positions, and don’t be fooled by altcoins.
3. When the bull market enters the mid-term, it is our harvest season. At this time, BTC will soar like a rocket, driving ETH to take off together. Other mainstream coins will follow closely, while most altcoins will slowly catch up.
4. In the later stages of the bull market, BTC may begin to fall, but ETH may briefly rise. The popular altcoins in this bull market will soar several times or even hundreds of times like a roller coaster.
5. When the bull market comes to an end, BTC will plummet by thousands or even tens of thousands of points, and then rebound slightly. At this time, many people will think that it is just a small correction. But in fact, after a few such plunges, the bull market is over. If you are accidentally trapped, you must stop the loss decisively, otherwise you will lose more.
6. The bull market is full of opportunities, but also hidden traps. Don't be tempted by the crazy rise of altcoins and blindly buy or hold heavy positions. This is simply gambling.
7. After buying in a bear market, wait patiently like a sniper until the bull market arrives before selling.
8. Don’t pay too much attention to the ups and downs during the period. After selling, wait patiently for the bull market to end and enter the bear market. This may take a year or two. Even if you make money in a bull market, don’t be impulsive to play with altcoins. If you really can't help but want to gamble, you should control your funds and be happy with your small gambling.
Finally, remember that preserving your principal is most important. If you are accidentally trapped, you must find a way to protect your principal. When the currency market collapses, you must cut off your assets decisively so that you can preserve most of your principal and prepare for the next opportunity.
This is some of my experience in the currency circle, I hope it will be helpful to everyone. Of course, the currency industry has high risks and investment needs to be cautious. Everyone should make reasonable investment arrangements based on their own circumstances.
#热门话题 #sol #WIF #aevo #BTC $BTC $SOL $WIF
点击币安新用户注册即送新币ETHFI和100美金手续费代金券
See original
The hero sees the same thing as the previous wave. The high point of the cycle is exchange listings and ETFs. The expectation is 6.9. This wave was actually passed, and the funding was not an order of magnitude increase. Definitely better than 6.9 but not a little stronger.
Brother, give you some faith
BlackRock just got the license but they didn’t have the goods.
Nine ETFs have to divide the chips, and it is very difficult to fall by 10%. The key is that the credibility of the U.S. dollar is now in crisis, there is an election, and many countries are at war. Even if Bitcoin wants to fall in terms of financial attributes, the hedging demand is not willing.
We want to get rich every day, but those who have already got rich are thinking about how to avoid risks every day.
To put it another way, if you have one billion, assuming you store it in any form, how would you store the one billion?
The interest rate for depositing RMB is so low, and you may not be able to get it out after depositing it.
If you save US dollars and the expectations for quantitative easing (interest rate cuts) are so high, you will definitely feel that they will be inflated soon.
Buying gold is a good choice, but if you have too much at home, your personal safety will not be guaranteed and buying and selling will not be free. It will also be difficult to transport your gold to other countries.
Buying stocks Which company in the big A market is worthy of long-term investment?
Buying a house. There are so many houses that people will immediately jump off the building as soon as the property tax is collected.
Not to mention making money, even hedging is difficult
There is no way to store large funds except Bitcoin
BlackRock just got the license but they didn’t have the goods.
Nine ETFs have to divide the chips, and it is very difficult to fall by 10%. The key is that the credibility of the U.S. dollar is now in crisis, there is an election, and many countries are at war. Even if Bitcoin wants to fall in terms of financial attributes, the hedging demand is not willing.
We want to get rich every day, but those who have already got rich are thinking about how to avoid risks every day.
To put it another way, if you have one billion, assuming you store it in any form, how would you store the one billion?
The interest rate for depositing RMB is so low, and you may not be able to get it out after depositing it.
If you save US dollars and the expectations for quantitative easing (interest rate cuts) are so high, you will definitely feel that they will be inflated soon.
Buying gold is a good choice, but if you have too much at home, your personal safety will not be guaranteed and buying and selling will not be free. It will also be difficult to transport your gold to other countries.
Buying stocks Which company in the big A market is worthy of long-term investment?
Buying a house. There are so many houses that people will immediately jump off the building as soon as the property tax is collected.
Not to mention making money, even hedging is difficult
There is no way to store large funds except Bitcoin
See original
Been taught a lesson
Quoted content has been removed
1
Quoted content has been removed
See original
good idea
Quoted content has been removed
See original
Crazy, crazy
I just checked the contract rate: 0.078% for eight hours * 3 times * 365 days
It is equal to 85% of the contract. Are you really confident that the income will exceed the interest rate...
The deposit interest rate has also reached a new high of 26% plus an additional 3% bonus from the exchange.
Co-authorship annualized 30. Really crazy.
This is definitely a callback.
Who can bear this kind of blood-drawing and loan-sharking contract fee increases? It’s not healthy at all. Of course, don’t go short if you’re short. You’re already crazy. It’s very possible to get a little crazier.
It is equal to 85% of the contract. Are you really confident that the income will exceed the interest rate...
The deposit interest rate has also reached a new high of 26% plus an additional 3% bonus from the exchange.
Co-authorship annualized 30. Really crazy.
This is definitely a callback.
Who can bear this kind of blood-drawing and loan-sharking contract fee increases? It’s not healthy at all. Of course, don’t go short if you’re short. You’re already crazy. It’s very possible to get a little crazier.
See original
Try it
#SHIBI
To claim the recently popular Meme coin - SHIB, the method is very simple. Follow the task account on Telegram. After following, you will receive 2 tasks: the first is to follow SHIB's official X account; the second is to follow the other two Telegram channels. .
1. Open SHIB’s mission invitation link https://t.me/OfficialShibaAirdropBot?start=872519697
2. Then click Start and select “Join Shiba Inu Airdrop”
3. According to the task requirements, open the official account of the first link X and follow it
4. Just open both of them in Telegram and follow the corresponding Telegram channel.
After completing the above steps, you will automatically receive 20 million SHIB rewards.
After that, click "Hourly Bonus" every 6 hours to receive a new reward of 500,000 SHIB. When the total reaches 100 million, you can withdraw it. If you receive it 3 times a day, it will take 50 days to reach the 100 million withdrawal threshold. After you withdraw the cash, you can sell it to anyone you want. currencies or cryptoassets. Based on the current SHIB price of US$0.00003, the total is more than 20,000 yuan. It would be more interesting if the price of SHIB rises again. 🤡
To claim the recently popular Meme coin - SHIB, the method is very simple. Follow the task account on Telegram. After following, you will receive 2 tasks: the first is to follow SHIB's official X account; the second is to follow the other two Telegram channels. .
1. Open SHIB’s mission invitation link https://t.me/OfficialShibaAirdropBot?start=872519697
2. Then click Start and select “Join Shiba Inu Airdrop”
3. According to the task requirements, open the official account of the first link X and follow it
4. Just open both of them in Telegram and follow the corresponding Telegram channel.
After completing the above steps, you will automatically receive 20 million SHIB rewards.
After that, click "Hourly Bonus" every 6 hours to receive a new reward of 500,000 SHIB. When the total reaches 100 million, you can withdraw it. If you receive it 3 times a day, it will take 50 days to reach the 100 million withdrawal threshold. After you withdraw the cash, you can sell it to anyone you want. currencies or cryptoassets. Based on the current SHIB price of US$0.00003, the total is more than 20,000 yuan. It would be more interesting if the price of SHIB rises again. 🤡
See original
Enlightenment
币圈按摩师
--
It takes three cycles to make a fortune in the currency circle
If you have no luck, no noble people, and are not particularly smart, it usually takes three cycles to make a fortune in the currency circle.
first cycle.
You are usually attracted by people around you or news about getting rich online. If you are a conservative person, you may try buying less. If you have a risk appetite, you may buy a lot, or even Will loan stud.
At this time, prices are basically rising every day. You are ambitious and don't know where the risks are. You just feel that the future is full of hope, and the wind all over the world smells of money. You know nothing about what is a washout, what is a runaway, what is a plunge, and you have no idea of the cruelty of this market.
first cycle.
You are usually attracted by people around you or news about getting rich online. If you are a conservative person, you may try buying less. If you have a risk appetite, you may buy a lot, or even Will loan stud.
At this time, prices are basically rising every day. You are ambitious and don't know where the risks are. You just feel that the future is full of hope, and the wind all over the world smells of money. You know nothing about what is a washout, what is a runaway, what is a plunge, and you have no idea of the cruelty of this market.
1
The current status of Bitcoin is very delicate. It has gone from being a decentralized market that has been aiming to break away from the mainstream and resist the mainstream since its birth. After being abandoned by the Chinese, it was incorporated and transformed by the Americans, and it became a tool with tools. At present, the attributes tend to be mainstream non-mainstream assets. In the top-level design of Americans, the primary purpose of incorporating the crypto market headed by Bitcoin into mainstream assets is to serve as a new reservoir for the over-issuance of US dollar currency. Ironically, This is indeed contrary to the purpose of the creation of pie. What do pie fundamentalists think of this?
Secondly, the Americans gave him the task of sniping gold. Through various means, the Americans introduced the safe-haven funds and over-issued currencies that should have entered the gold market into Bitcoin. This brand-new digital gold title is directly competitive with gold. new market, thereby curbing the rise of gold, reducing its impact on the US dollar, and slowing down the pace of the US dollar's weakening. At the same time, because it holds a massive amount of Bitcoin and is positioned as a reservoir, the larger the market, the greater the amount of funds it can absorb, killing three birds with one stone.
Anyone who has analyzed the basic sensitive points above can see that, so what is the use of these analyses?
Since Bitcoin comes with a mission assigned by the Americans, it will not be easily abandoned and suppressed by the Americans until the mission of sniping the rise of gold is completed. Instead, it will continue to grow and have the ability to continue to attract capital inflows. This This is the biggest difference from previous bull markets. Then the next step is the most critical question. When will gold peak?
Secondly, the Americans gave him the task of sniping gold. Through various means, the Americans introduced the safe-haven funds and over-issued currencies that should have entered the gold market into Bitcoin. This brand-new digital gold title is directly competitive with gold. new market, thereby curbing the rise of gold, reducing its impact on the US dollar, and slowing down the pace of the US dollar's weakening. At the same time, because it holds a massive amount of Bitcoin and is positioned as a reservoir, the larger the market, the greater the amount of funds it can absorb, killing three birds with one stone.
Anyone who has analyzed the basic sensitive points above can see that, so what is the use of these analyses?
Since Bitcoin comes with a mission assigned by the Americans, it will not be easily abandoned and suppressed by the Americans until the mission of sniping the rise of gold is completed. Instead, it will continue to grow and have the ability to continue to attract capital inflows. This This is the biggest difference from previous bull markets. Then the next step is the most critical question. When will gold peak?
See original
study
Why are most people more likely to lose money in Crypto’s bull market? What should we do?
In a bull market, it seems that everyone is making money, but it is actually a beautiful trap. Investment guru Graham said: The bull market is the main reason why ordinary investors lose money.
Let’s talk about the operating rules behind financial markets and the principles of behavioral economics involved.
1. Most people will eventually lose money
First of all, as long as it is venture capital, no matter in a bull market or a bear market, most people will eventually lose money and leave the market. This is an eternal law and has never changed.
So why is it more dangerous to invest for the first time in a bull market?
Because in a bull market, as the market goes up, everyone makes money. This rapid accumulation of wealth will attract a large number of novices to enter the market.
As an investment novice, I have never bought cryptocurrency before, especially after hearing about the relatively large wealth effect, such as a certain currency multiplying 100 times in a short period of time. I don’t know much about the financial market. I watch my friends around me start to make money, so I enter the market and follow the trend. , ultimate loss is almost inevitable.
I don’t even have much experience in traditional stock investment, so I just jumped into the highly volatile market like crypto. This is why I never recommend people around me to speculate in coins, nor do I give investment advice to people who haven’t paid.
There are two reasons for the loss: entry timing and irrational behavior.
The timing of entering the market means that most people only start paying attention to the crypto market in the middle or late stages of the bull market. For example, right now, I have friends from traditional finance asking me what is an encryption algorithm and why is Bitcoin valuable? White question.
Because my Sober chat options knowledge planet actually has many A-share and US stock options players who are not familiar with crypto.
At this time, the market is already at a relatively high level. No one thinks that the odds of Bitcoin are still high right now?
Irrational behavior refers to chasing ups and downs, frequent trading, emotional decisions and other irrational decisions, which will lead to expanded investment losses.
(1) Time to enter the market
Investors always think that they can buy at a low point and sell at a high point, making a huge profit from it.
But in fact, for example, during the crypto bear market in October last year, bloggers from a certain build actually started posting chicken soup articles.
At present, BTC continues to rise sharply, has broken through the previous high several times, and has entered the middle of the bull market. Some new players are rushing to enter the market, and what awaits them is often not a continued rise, but a sideways movement or a sudden plunge.
Therefore, entering the market late is an important reason for losses.
(2) Irrational behavior
There are many irrational behaviors in investment. For example, everyone knows to buy low and sell high. Buy more when it is cheap, and sell appropriately when it reaches a high level. But in the market, most people do the opposite and actually sell low and buy high.
The position structure of an investment novice is similar to an inverted pyramid. At the beginning, I invested a little money to test the market. After I found that I was making money, I started to invest more principal. (As shown below)
When the market begins to fall, losses will soon occur due to the increased investment costs. After losing money, they will say, this is a lie, and I will never touch stock funds again.
But the market will not continue to fall. When the bull market comes again, everyone around you is trading in stocks. You may even see your colleague sitting next to you making one year's salary by trading stocks in one month.
At this time, you are no longer calm, for fear of missing this wealth opportunity.
At the beginning, I just invested 10,000 U to test the waters, and soon made 100% profit. You regretted that you invested too little principal, so you continued to invest 100,000 U, and soon made 100% again. Continuous profits make you full of confidence, so you sell your house and buy various altcoins.
Eventually, the market will turn downward sooner or later, and not only the previous profits will be lost, but also the down payment will be lost.
You may ask, did such a plot really happen?
I would say yes, it happened in traditional financial markets in 2007 and 2015. Why am I so familiar with this plot? Because I have experience in the industry.
On the other hand, we imagine that if it is a bear market and the market falls all the way, the risk will be smaller. Because you will control the principal invested and invest carefully, you will not lose too much at this time.
The above example is a typical novice’s investment journey. We will find that novices who had no intention of entering the market can't help but follow the trend and invest in the stock market when they see people around them making money.
This is called the bandwagon effect in psychology, which means that individuals are influenced by the group and will doubt and change their opinions, judgments and behaviors in the direction consistent with the majority of the group.
Most of the time, the herd effect helps us survive and integrate into this society. But in the financial market, following the herd is poison and a dangerous behavior that leads to investment losses.
In the financial market, there are its own rules of the game. Don't think that you can resist the temptation of human nature before you have played this game. Because you don’t know to what extent your greed and fear will be amplified by the market.
2. How to reduce losses
If you are a novice investor who has just entered the market and encountered a bull market that only happens once in several years, here are some suggestions.
Don't use leverage.
No matter how confident you are about the market, never borrow money to invest. Because if you make a mistake once, you will lose all your principal.
Invest your spare money and control the principal invested.
The crypto market cycle is very short, usually with a halving cycle of four years. Therefore, the investment principal should be at least spare money that will not be used within four years.
Try to avoid losses.
When investing for the first time, the most important thing is not how much you make, but not losing money, or losing as little as possible.
It can be said that it is extremely difficult to exit with a profit after entering the market for the first time. When you see experts who can make long-term profits, they are all experienced veterans.
Finally, investment philosophy cannot be passed from one person to another. You can only get it with your own time and effort.
No matter how much I say above, it is not as real as experiencing a loss personally. If tuition fees have to be paid sooner or later, then it is always better to experience it sooner rather than later.
I have read so much, if you think it is helpful to you, please remember to like and comment.
Finally, if you are a steady investment player, you can actually invest in Bitcoin at this stage, then you are welcome to use my link to register for the largest exchange - Binance
Registration link: https://binance.com/zh-CN/join?ref=148766089
In a bull market, it seems that everyone is making money, but it is actually a beautiful trap. Investment guru Graham said: The bull market is the main reason why ordinary investors lose money.
Let’s talk about the operating rules behind financial markets and the principles of behavioral economics involved.
1. Most people will eventually lose money
First of all, as long as it is venture capital, no matter in a bull market or a bear market, most people will eventually lose money and leave the market. This is an eternal law and has never changed.
So why is it more dangerous to invest for the first time in a bull market?
Because in a bull market, as the market goes up, everyone makes money. This rapid accumulation of wealth will attract a large number of novices to enter the market.
As an investment novice, I have never bought cryptocurrency before, especially after hearing about the relatively large wealth effect, such as a certain currency multiplying 100 times in a short period of time. I don’t know much about the financial market. I watch my friends around me start to make money, so I enter the market and follow the trend. , ultimate loss is almost inevitable.
I don’t even have much experience in traditional stock investment, so I just jumped into the highly volatile market like crypto. This is why I never recommend people around me to speculate in coins, nor do I give investment advice to people who haven’t paid.
There are two reasons for the loss: entry timing and irrational behavior.
The timing of entering the market means that most people only start paying attention to the crypto market in the middle or late stages of the bull market. For example, right now, I have friends from traditional finance asking me what is an encryption algorithm and why is Bitcoin valuable? White question.
Because my Sober chat options knowledge planet actually has many A-share and US stock options players who are not familiar with crypto.
At this time, the market is already at a relatively high level. No one thinks that the odds of Bitcoin are still high right now?
Irrational behavior refers to chasing ups and downs, frequent trading, emotional decisions and other irrational decisions, which will lead to expanded investment losses.
(1) Time to enter the market
Investors always think that they can buy at a low point and sell at a high point, making a huge profit from it.
But in fact, for example, during the crypto bear market in October last year, bloggers from a certain build actually started posting chicken soup articles.
At present, BTC continues to rise sharply, has broken through the previous high several times, and has entered the middle of the bull market. Some new players are rushing to enter the market, and what awaits them is often not a continued rise, but a sideways movement or a sudden plunge.
Therefore, entering the market late is an important reason for losses.
(2) Irrational behavior
There are many irrational behaviors in investment. For example, everyone knows to buy low and sell high. Buy more when it is cheap, and sell appropriately when it reaches a high level. But in the market, most people do the opposite and actually sell low and buy high.
The position structure of an investment novice is similar to an inverted pyramid. At the beginning, I invested a little money to test the market. After I found that I was making money, I started to invest more principal. (As shown below)
When the market begins to fall, losses will soon occur due to the increased investment costs. After losing money, they will say, this is a lie, and I will never touch stock funds again.
But the market will not continue to fall. When the bull market comes again, everyone around you is trading in stocks. You may even see your colleague sitting next to you making one year's salary by trading stocks in one month.
At this time, you are no longer calm, for fear of missing this wealth opportunity.
At the beginning, I just invested 10,000 U to test the waters, and soon made 100% profit. You regretted that you invested too little principal, so you continued to invest 100,000 U, and soon made 100% again. Continuous profits make you full of confidence, so you sell your house and buy various altcoins.
Eventually, the market will turn downward sooner or later, and not only the previous profits will be lost, but also the down payment will be lost.
You may ask, did such a plot really happen?
I would say yes, it happened in traditional financial markets in 2007 and 2015. Why am I so familiar with this plot? Because I have experience in the industry.
On the other hand, we imagine that if it is a bear market and the market falls all the way, the risk will be smaller. Because you will control the principal invested and invest carefully, you will not lose too much at this time.
The above example is a typical novice’s investment journey. We will find that novices who had no intention of entering the market can't help but follow the trend and invest in the stock market when they see people around them making money.
This is called the bandwagon effect in psychology, which means that individuals are influenced by the group and will doubt and change their opinions, judgments and behaviors in the direction consistent with the majority of the group.
Most of the time, the herd effect helps us survive and integrate into this society. But in the financial market, following the herd is poison and a dangerous behavior that leads to investment losses.
In the financial market, there are its own rules of the game. Don't think that you can resist the temptation of human nature before you have played this game. Because you don’t know to what extent your greed and fear will be amplified by the market.
2. How to reduce losses
If you are a novice investor who has just entered the market and encountered a bull market that only happens once in several years, here are some suggestions.
Don't use leverage.
No matter how confident you are about the market, never borrow money to invest. Because if you make a mistake once, you will lose all your principal.
Invest your spare money and control the principal invested.
The crypto market cycle is very short, usually with a halving cycle of four years. Therefore, the investment principal should be at least spare money that will not be used within four years.
Try to avoid losses.
When investing for the first time, the most important thing is not how much you make, but not losing money, or losing as little as possible.
It can be said that it is extremely difficult to exit with a profit after entering the market for the first time. When you see experts who can make long-term profits, they are all experienced veterans.
Finally, investment philosophy cannot be passed from one person to another. You can only get it with your own time and effort.
No matter how much I say above, it is not as real as experiencing a loss personally. If tuition fees have to be paid sooner or later, then it is always better to experience it sooner rather than later.
I have read so much, if you think it is helpful to you, please remember to like and comment.
Finally, if you are a steady investment player, you can actually invest in Bitcoin at this stage, then you are welcome to use my link to register for the largest exchange - Binance
Registration link: https://binance.com/zh-CN/join?ref=148766089
See original
I just closed a new deal! Copy my investment portfolio with one click👇
爱在冰川
Close Position
1000SATSUSDT
PNL
+1.38
Close Price
$0.0006509
See original
Good reference ideas
Elementary school students analyze that the Bitcoin bull market top is just around the corner.
USDT.D is the market capitalization ratio of USDT. I drew a trend line and marked the nodes that touched the trend line in the past eight years. I found that they were all at the top of Bitcoin's bull market or bull market.
If someone said that ETFs appeared in this bull market, it would be different. But don’t forget, the last bull market also had Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust.
USDT.D represents the purchasing power of funds on the market. When the purchasing power of funds on the market cannot keep up with the rising prices, will ETF investors still buy?
Comprehensive analysis shows that the top of this calf top will definitely be achieved through a sharp rise and fall in the price of Bitcoin.
Before the price of Bitcoin returns to 69,000 again, enjoy swimming naked in the bubble of copycats and memes.
My expectation is that Bitcoin will be sideways for two weeks, and the copycat meme will start to dance in these two weeks. After two weeks, Bitcoin will rise again. It may rise again to 70,000, or maybe 80,000, or 90,000, and then it will start 1-2 months adjustment.
USDT.D is the market capitalization ratio of USDT. I drew a trend line and marked the nodes that touched the trend line in the past eight years. I found that they were all at the top of Bitcoin's bull market or bull market.
If someone said that ETFs appeared in this bull market, it would be different. But don’t forget, the last bull market also had Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust.
USDT.D represents the purchasing power of funds on the market. When the purchasing power of funds on the market cannot keep up with the rising prices, will ETF investors still buy?
Comprehensive analysis shows that the top of this calf top will definitely be achieved through a sharp rise and fall in the price of Bitcoin.
Before the price of Bitcoin returns to 69,000 again, enjoy swimming naked in the bubble of copycats and memes.
My expectation is that Bitcoin will be sideways for two weeks, and the copycat meme will start to dance in these two weeks. After two weeks, Bitcoin will rise again. It may rise again to 70,000, or maybe 80,000, or 90,000, and then it will start 1-2 months adjustment.
See original
Learn from history
Trend analysis of $BTC after breaking the previous high twice:
【Common ground】
1. In the first two cycles, the week when the currency price reached the previous high ended with a negative line.
2. After reaching the previous high, there will be two callbacks, one in the week when it reaches the previous high, and one in 1-2 weeks after breaking the previous high.
【difference】
1. The first time it broke the previous high, the two corrections lasted more than 2 weeks; and the second time, each correction lasted 1 week.
2. In the first cycle, the two corrections were both above 30%; in the second cycle, the two corrections were both within 20% (17% & 10%).
in conclusion:
1. In every cycle, the price will fluctuate near the previous high for a long time, with at least two corrections of different amplitudes.
2. After a correction, there will be a crazy rise for at least one month, and then there will be a major correction! (The first round is 2 months, the second round is 1 month)
#BTC #牛市布局 #内容挖矿
【Common ground】
1. In the first two cycles, the week when the currency price reached the previous high ended with a negative line.
2. After reaching the previous high, there will be two callbacks, one in the week when it reaches the previous high, and one in 1-2 weeks after breaking the previous high.
【difference】
1. The first time it broke the previous high, the two corrections lasted more than 2 weeks; and the second time, each correction lasted 1 week.
2. In the first cycle, the two corrections were both above 30%; in the second cycle, the two corrections were both within 20% (17% & 10%).
in conclusion:
1. In every cycle, the price will fluctuate near the previous high for a long time, with at least two corrections of different amplitudes.
2. After a correction, there will be a crazy rise for at least one month, and then there will be a major correction! (The first round is 2 months, the second round is 1 month)
#BTC #牛市布局 #内容挖矿
See original
。
[I missed 66,000 Bitcoin, Ai, and MeMe sectors. It’s okay. These sectors haven’t moved yet. Conservatively, there is still 10-20 times the room. 20 sectors, more than 100 coins list]
🧡ྀིRemember, the hottest technologies in the real world right now are:
In addition to AI, there are also mixed reality, computing power...
It is good for Ai, Yuanverse, chain games, storage and other sectors.
…
★Web3: MASK, GRT, ANKR, WAVES, PHA: more than 10-15 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★Pledge section: LDO, SSV, FXS, FIS, RPL: more than 10-15 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★DEFI track: UNI, DYDX, RDNT, SSV, PENDLE, STG: 10-15 times more ((🔥⥎🔥))
★AI track: ARKM, AGIX, FET, CTXC, RNDR, OCEAN, NMR: more than 20 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★MEME sector: FLOKI, PEPE, SHIB, DOGE, BONK, MEME, PEOPLE: 15-20 times more ((🔥⥎🔥))
★L2 public chain: OP, ARB, MATIC, METIS, MANTA, ALT: more than 10 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★ZK series: IMX, MINA, DUSK, METIS, CELR, LRC, MANTA: more than 10 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★Underlying public chains: ETH, BNB, SOL, DOT, ATOM: 5-10 times more ((🔥⥎🔥))
★Chain games: IMX, WAXP, WEMIX, MAGIC, GALA, YGG, VOXEL, LOKA, MBOX: more than 15 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★Metaverse: HIGH, SAND, MANA, APE, ALICE: more than 15 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★NFT track: BULR, OPUL, BEND, SUDO, RARE, TVK, SUPER: more than 15 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★Social track: RLY, GAL, CYBER, HOOK, ID, MASK: more than 15 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★RWA sector: CFG, MPL, TRU, TRADE, LABS, POLYX, RIO, SNX: more than 15 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★DEX decentralized exchange: DYDX, UNI, 1INCH, SUSHI: more than 15 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★New public chains: APT, SUI, SEI: 15-20 times more ((🔥⥎🔥))
★Bitcoin Ecology: STX, RIF, SPACE, ORDI, SATS, RATS, MUBI, TURT: 10-15 times more ((🔥⥎🔥))
★Storage sector: AR, FIL, BLZ, STORJ: more than 20 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★Hong Kong concept: CFX, ACH, KEY, PPI, C98, MDT, LRC: more than 10 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★POW sector: BCH, BSV, KAS, TAO, DNX, SPACE, RVN: 5-10 times or more ((🔥⥎🔥))
★Pay close attention to the collection and don’t get lost in bull market investment!
🧡ྀིRemember, the hottest technologies in the real world right now are:
In addition to AI, there are also mixed reality, computing power...
It is good for Ai, Yuanverse, chain games, storage and other sectors.
…
★Web3: MASK, GRT, ANKR, WAVES, PHA: more than 10-15 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★Pledge section: LDO, SSV, FXS, FIS, RPL: more than 10-15 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★DEFI track: UNI, DYDX, RDNT, SSV, PENDLE, STG: 10-15 times more ((🔥⥎🔥))
★AI track: ARKM, AGIX, FET, CTXC, RNDR, OCEAN, NMR: more than 20 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★MEME sector: FLOKI, PEPE, SHIB, DOGE, BONK, MEME, PEOPLE: 15-20 times more ((🔥⥎🔥))
★L2 public chain: OP, ARB, MATIC, METIS, MANTA, ALT: more than 10 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★ZK series: IMX, MINA, DUSK, METIS, CELR, LRC, MANTA: more than 10 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★Underlying public chains: ETH, BNB, SOL, DOT, ATOM: 5-10 times more ((🔥⥎🔥))
★Chain games: IMX, WAXP, WEMIX, MAGIC, GALA, YGG, VOXEL, LOKA, MBOX: more than 15 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★Metaverse: HIGH, SAND, MANA, APE, ALICE: more than 15 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★NFT track: BULR, OPUL, BEND, SUDO, RARE, TVK, SUPER: more than 15 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★Social track: RLY, GAL, CYBER, HOOK, ID, MASK: more than 15 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★RWA sector: CFG, MPL, TRU, TRADE, LABS, POLYX, RIO, SNX: more than 15 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★DEX decentralized exchange: DYDX, UNI, 1INCH, SUSHI: more than 15 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★New public chains: APT, SUI, SEI: 15-20 times more ((🔥⥎🔥))
★Bitcoin Ecology: STX, RIF, SPACE, ORDI, SATS, RATS, MUBI, TURT: 10-15 times more ((🔥⥎🔥))
★Storage sector: AR, FIL, BLZ, STORJ: more than 20 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★Hong Kong concept: CFX, ACH, KEY, PPI, C98, MDT, LRC: more than 10 times ((🔥⥎🔥))
★POW sector: BCH, BSV, KAS, TAO, DNX, SPACE, RVN: 5-10 times or more ((🔥⥎🔥))
★Pay close attention to the collection and don’t get lost in bull market investment!
See original
About interest
Now, the annual interest rate of U financial management is 20%. What is the concept? The Bank of China's base interest rate is 1.7%. This is more attractive than the US dollar with an inverted interest rate. Funds rushed into the market and even loans came in for arbitrage. This is not just an upside down, it is simply the opposite of Tiangang. The interest rate of online loans is only 15%, and you can still get 5 points if you borrow money for financial management. What's more, there are many great people who can get low-interest and low-mortgage loans. There are also those who originally did other financial management. An annual return of 10% for stocks will defeat 90% of users, and a trust that returns 10% annually will make the middle class flock to it, and the deposit interest rate of 20% is the key to maintaining it. Because the contract charges higher interest rates, almost 30% of the annual capital comes into the market - the market is active - the contract increases, charging 30% of the contract rate, and paying 20% of the deposit interest. It's like this and it's a crazy cycle. This is the bull market, a scary bull market. Many elementary school students may not have any idea about the annualized profit of ten or twenty. Let’s put it this way, when Buffett was young, he was at the level of ten, and he only achieved it when he got older and gained popularity. Twenty years old. This kind of madness is scary, so pay more attention to changes in interest rates. Once it drops, capital will flee, which will be another kind of madness. The same goes for going upstairs. A slight fluctuation can determine whether many people go to the second floor or the rooftop. Again, try to stay away from the contract. If you really want to play, just play mahjong and play less. If you are particularly confident about the market trend, if you want to trade in it, use low leverage. But I can restrain myself from playing and only take the spot. I admire such people, just like I admire people who quit smoking and drinking. They can quit contracts and achieve great things.
See original
Every time I read the news, I feel different
In the past, the news said that Bitcoin is a scam, and the comments all agreed with me. Until I got to know it carefully, I found that this was supported by a little technical support and mining costs. It was not air but the price was still too high. It was mainly due to the greed of human nature. Later, when we saw the adoption of ETF, Bitcoin had deviated from decentralization and turned from a Ponzi scheme into a Ponzi structure. A large number of institutions entered the market, and financial services followed suit. When I look at the news again, it’s still the same tone as before. I feel speechless. Those who write news are really bad, the comment section is really stupid, and the information cocoon is really scary. It’s not that their understanding is right or wrong, but that they have never seriously understood or thought about it, and only rely on the opinions they receive. Life. I am very depressed. I used to sell Bitcoin out of curiosity, then out of speculation, but now it’s really about faith. I want to see what it would be like to rebel against the ideas propagated by others.
Login to explore more contents