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vika_now
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Bullish
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Remember what happened to $BTC in October 2023? Everyone went short with 32k because they understood that the economy was in bad shape, there was nothing to grow on. The price flew to 36k, all the bloggers and investors sold bitcoins for 34-38k. And they switched to altcoins, saying that they had to exit in March 2024. Large marketing campaigns of you know what coins and platforms began. By March, no one left the market, on the contrary, those who woke up brought money, because #btc set a peak, everyone hoped for a multiple increase in altcoins. But everything began to fall on the news of the sudden trial of #Ethereum In early June, everyone hid and waited for a pump, but it was not there - sales of Mt. Gox and Germany, the Israel-Lebanon war — survived. Waited for the adoption of the ETF at #ETH and everything collapsed by 50%! By autumn, the economic and geopolitical situation became even worse than last year. But do you know what's in people's minds? Now, after all this, absolutely EVERYONE believed in continued growth and a fabulous altseason. And of course, it will happen 🙃 #PEPE #SOL
Remember what happened to $BTC in October 2023? Everyone went short with 32k because they understood that the economy was in bad shape, there was nothing to grow on. The price flew to 36k, all the bloggers and investors sold bitcoins for 34-38k. And they switched to altcoins, saying that they had to exit in March 2024. Large marketing campaigns of you know what coins and platforms began.
By March, no one left the market, on the contrary, those who woke up brought money, because #btc set a peak, everyone hoped for a multiple increase in altcoins. But everything began to fall on the news of the sudden trial of #Ethereum
In early June, everyone hid and waited for a pump, but it was not there - sales of Mt. Gox and Germany, the Israel-Lebanon war — survived. Waited for the adoption of the ETF at #ETH and everything collapsed by 50%!
By autumn, the economic and geopolitical situation became even worse than last year.
But do you know what's in people's minds?
Now, after all this, absolutely EVERYONE believed in continued growth and a fabulous altseason. And of course, it will happen 🙃
#PEPE #SOL
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Just look how quickly news about the hacker was found, and the support levels became mirrored, and provided resistance for all the alts considered in this post 👇🏽 I love myself for rare and clear posts!
Just look how quickly news about the hacker was found, and the support levels became mirrored, and provided resistance for all the alts considered in this post 👇🏽
I love myself for rare and clear posts!
vika_now
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Many coins are pushing towards former support levels while the SEC drops its lawsuit against Coinbase without classifying the top altcoin as a security. Will these levels be mirrored, will a seller appear now?
Let's take a look: #OP #ARB #W #ZRO #ZK (not from the SEC list) - daily charts are similar, updated the local or historical bottom and are forming on the daily chart in the "W" structure.
Most have not yet formed monthly indicators.
Daily RSI is overbought, there is a buyer, this is not a reason to go into hibernation, but it is a reason to create a narrative that shakes off the crowd and stops, before rushing upward.
Daily MACD shows that these coins can consolidate for another six months, like $BNB in 2024, and the largest unlocks will end in February, until May. BUT!
Weekly RSI is already oversold. Let's put it all together: $BTC is about to update ATH - coins are lying on the floor until April, then shoot off a little and rest until November, Bitcoin is in a range until May, there the Fed rate is being lowered - coins are showing a good run until the end of April. What are your thoughts?
See original
Many coins are pushing towards former support levels while the SEC drops its lawsuit against Coinbase without classifying the top altcoin as a security. Will these levels be mirrored, will a seller appear now? Let's take a look: #OP #ARB #W #ZRO #ZK (not from the SEC list) - daily charts are similar, updated the local or historical bottom and are forming on the daily chart in the "W" structure. Most have not yet formed monthly indicators. Daily RSI is overbought, there is a buyer, this is not a reason to go into hibernation, but it is a reason to create a narrative that shakes off the crowd and stops, before rushing upward. Daily MACD shows that these coins can consolidate for another six months, like $BNB in 2024, and the largest unlocks will end in February, until May. BUT! Weekly RSI is already oversold. Let's put it all together: $BTC is about to update ATH - coins are lying on the floor until April, then shoot off a little and rest until November, Bitcoin is in a range until May, there the Fed rate is being lowered - coins are showing a good run until the end of April. What are your thoughts?
Many coins are pushing towards former support levels while the SEC drops its lawsuit against Coinbase without classifying the top altcoin as a security. Will these levels be mirrored, will a seller appear now?
Let's take a look: #OP #ARB #W #ZRO #ZK (not from the SEC list) - daily charts are similar, updated the local or historical bottom and are forming on the daily chart in the "W" structure.
Most have not yet formed monthly indicators.
Daily RSI is overbought, there is a buyer, this is not a reason to go into hibernation, but it is a reason to create a narrative that shakes off the crowd and stops, before rushing upward.
Daily MACD shows that these coins can consolidate for another six months, like $BNB in 2024, and the largest unlocks will end in February, until May. BUT!
Weekly RSI is already oversold. Let's put it all together: $BTC is about to update ATH - coins are lying on the floor until April, then shoot off a little and rest until November, Bitcoin is in a range until May, there the Fed rate is being lowered - coins are showing a good run until the end of April. What are your thoughts?
See original
$BTC Today China is imposing retaliatory tariffs on the US and Trump should announce new tariffs on other countries. This is the same bargaining as the story with Canada and Greenland. The purpose of tariffs is to get more money, but it seems to me that this is a way of influence. INefficiency, meticulous bureaucracy and mustiness are a common problem of all the richest and greatest countries. For the sake of continued prosperity, they are not ready to do anything. A radical change in the US approach requires the same sharp and effective response from partners. After all, tariffs are not threatened to some Zimbabwe, but to their own guys, well, and China) In what case will the turtles stir? - when recessionary economies, mired in payments to illegals and funds for providing funds, will have to pay again, and this time not to save the whale from the corals, but in fact - for their own inefficiency. Most likely, countries will be more active in making deals with the US that are beneficial to all, in order to avoid tariffs. This is not why the market is shaking, crypto is suffering from a lack of liquidity: the rate increase in Japan, the rate not being reduced in the US due to inflation, etc. #BinanceAlphaAlert #BNBChainMeme #USBitcoinReserves
$BTC Today China is imposing retaliatory tariffs on the US and Trump should announce new tariffs on other countries. This is the same bargaining as the story with Canada and Greenland.
The purpose of tariffs is to get more money, but it seems to me that this is a way of influence.
INefficiency, meticulous bureaucracy and mustiness are a common problem of all the richest and greatest countries. For the sake of continued prosperity, they are not ready to do anything.
A radical change in the US approach requires the same sharp and effective response from partners. After all, tariffs are not threatened to some Zimbabwe, but to their own guys, well, and China)
In what case will the turtles stir? - when recessionary economies, mired in payments to illegals and funds for providing funds, will have to pay again, and this time not to save the whale from the corals, but in fact - for their own inefficiency.
Most likely, countries will be more active in making deals with the US that are beneficial to all, in order to avoid tariffs.
This is not why the market is shaking, crypto is suffering from a lack of liquidity: the rate increase in Japan, the rate not being reduced in the US due to inflation, etc.
#BinanceAlphaAlert #BNBChainMeme #USBitcoinReserves
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Bearish
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$ETH Look at the weekly and monthly charts — a disaster 🤪 And considering how many players there are who bought at 3500, 2600, a drop to 1800, and even a false breakout at 1400, will not be surprising. Why would Trump drag everyone up with him? The saving grace is that the monthly chart looks like it has already been worked out, so we can expect a very slow decline with upward breakouts to unload MACD during the week with a slowdown at 2300 and a strong buyout in this area. #ETH already had such a range. Moreover, the upward move was updated in November '24, and the bottom was not broken, in theory, this is an ascending panel. Continuation of growth is not in the short term. At the end of February - beginning of March, it has updates, after which it usually deflates. The opening of the next week will show more clearly. You can also look at the summer outlook this way: 2100 is a mirror level, going below which Ether may end up in the 1500-1800 area with breaks at 1400/2100. Updating the bottom at $881 - now looks like nonsense. It's hard to believe, but how will the impeachment trials of Trump be perceived? Therefore, we don't believe in anything, we look at the picture as it is - with fresh eyes. Today we expect unemployment! 😈 #AICrashOrComeback {spot}(ETHUSDT)
$ETH Look at the weekly and monthly charts — a disaster 🤪 And considering how many players there are who bought at 3500, 2600, a drop to 1800, and even a false breakout at 1400, will not be surprising. Why would Trump drag everyone up with him?
The saving grace is that the monthly chart looks like it has already been worked out, so we can expect a very slow decline with upward breakouts to unload MACD during the week with a slowdown at 2300 and a strong buyout in this area. #ETH already had such a range.
Moreover, the upward move was updated in November '24, and the bottom was not broken, in theory, this is an ascending panel. Continuation of growth is not in the short term. At the end of February - beginning of March, it has updates, after which it usually deflates. The opening of the next week will show more clearly. You can also look at the summer outlook this way: 2100 is a mirror level, going below which Ether may end up in the 1500-1800 area with breaks at 1400/2100.
Updating the bottom at $881 - now looks like nonsense. It's hard to believe, but how will the impeachment trials of Trump be perceived? Therefore, we don't believe in anything, we look at the picture as it is - with fresh eyes.
Today we expect unemployment! 😈

#AICrashOrComeback
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So, $STRK was $0.17, yet I still prefer 0.15, especially since Microstrategy is adding it, while holders are offloading over time. Yes, the overall buyer turned out to be weak, and many coins broke through support levels, and are now going back below it: another false breakout and buyback, or the level will become resistance with a refresh of the lows. I lean towards the second option because: 1. U.S. tariffs have been postponed until March, which is very beneficial for both the U.S. and Canada, Mexico: this means Trump got what he wanted from them, and if the deals are confirmed, there will be no tariffs in March either. This is good for weakening the dollar before the Fed rate cut. 2. Trump met with Netanyahu 🇮🇱, and they issued rhetoric that lowers the price of oil and the dollar: Iran has chances to hold on and the U.S. base in Palestine (separate post tomorrow). A weak dollar is needed for future oil price declines. With cheap energy resources — low inflation, market deflation, growth in economic activity and GDP. $BTC Unemployment on Friday may decrease due to immigration policy, but this won't bring joy, as employment drives inflation, so I'm tracking the movement of the dollar. And I'll write about #ETH if it's relevant.
So, $STRK was $0.17, yet I still prefer 0.15, especially since Microstrategy is adding it, while holders are offloading over time.
Yes, the overall buyer turned out to be weak, and many coins broke through support levels, and are now going back below it: another false breakout and buyback, or the level will become resistance with a refresh of the lows.
I lean towards the second option because:
1. U.S. tariffs have been postponed until March, which is very beneficial for both the U.S. and Canada, Mexico: this means Trump got what he wanted from them, and if the deals are confirmed, there will be no tariffs in March either. This is good for weakening the dollar before the Fed rate cut.
2. Trump met with Netanyahu 🇮🇱, and they issued rhetoric that lowers the price of oil and the dollar: Iran has chances to hold on and the U.S. base in Palestine (separate post tomorrow).
A weak dollar is needed for future oil price declines. With cheap energy resources — low inflation, market deflation, growth in economic activity and GDP.
$BTC Unemployment on Friday may decrease due to immigration policy, but this won't bring joy, as employment drives inflation, so I'm tracking the movement of the dollar.
And I'll write about #ETH if it's relevant.
vika_now
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Bearish
The update of the lows on many alts is not the worst thing. Waiting for $STRK at 0.15 🤪
$BTC closed on SME - 102! Intriguing gap or quick recovery?
The scary thing for holders is a descending sideways trend.
Many projects like #ZRO #PYTH #IO have similar charts: they came to their support, the breakthrough of which will cause panic and mass sales. And this is what is needed before the rapid growth after the decline in inflation in the USA by 2026. They can even build a trade with the current price as a mirror level.

Noticed that Trump introduced tariffs on countries with leftist leadership? They will get a handout, go into the sunset, and then build a partnership with the USA.

I am watching the unemployment in the US next week, it will most likely decrease, which means that inflation may continue the seasonal Christmas growth, but this is a temporary effect. Remember, in June '24 they were expecting the Fed to cut the rate, but Japan raised its, the Fed waited with the reduction in September, and cut it by a strong 0.5%. So if the dollar starts to weaken, then you can buy these coins at these prices.
And we also have a chance that after the meeting between Trump and Netanyahu, the price of oil will gradually decrease, this will reduce inflation and make the dollar cheaper.
#USTariffs
--
Bearish
See original
The update of the lows on many alts is not the worst thing. Waiting for $STRK at 0.15 🤪 $BTC closed on SME - 102! Intriguing gap or quick recovery? The scary thing for holders is a descending sideways trend. Many projects like #ZRO #PYTH #IO have similar charts: they came to their support, the breakthrough of which will cause panic and mass sales. And this is what is needed before the rapid growth after the decline in inflation in the USA by 2026. They can even build a trade with the current price as a mirror level. Noticed that Trump introduced tariffs on countries with leftist leadership? They will get a handout, go into the sunset, and then build a partnership with the USA. I am watching the unemployment in the US next week, it will most likely decrease, which means that inflation may continue the seasonal Christmas growth, but this is a temporary effect. Remember, in June '24 they were expecting the Fed to cut the rate, but Japan raised its, the Fed waited with the reduction in September, and cut it by a strong 0.5%. So if the dollar starts to weaken, then you can buy these coins at these prices. And we also have a chance that after the meeting between Trump and Netanyahu, the price of oil will gradually decrease, this will reduce inflation and make the dollar cheaper. #USTariffs
The update of the lows on many alts is not the worst thing. Waiting for $STRK at 0.15 🤪
$BTC closed on SME - 102! Intriguing gap or quick recovery?
The scary thing for holders is a descending sideways trend.
Many projects like #ZRO #PYTH #IO have similar charts: they came to their support, the breakthrough of which will cause panic and mass sales. And this is what is needed before the rapid growth after the decline in inflation in the USA by 2026. They can even build a trade with the current price as a mirror level.

Noticed that Trump introduced tariffs on countries with leftist leadership? They will get a handout, go into the sunset, and then build a partnership with the USA.

I am watching the unemployment in the US next week, it will most likely decrease, which means that inflation may continue the seasonal Christmas growth, but this is a temporary effect. Remember, in June '24 they were expecting the Fed to cut the rate, but Japan raised its, the Fed waited with the reduction in September, and cut it by a strong 0.5%. So if the dollar starts to weaken, then you can buy these coins at these prices.
And we also have a chance that after the meeting between Trump and Netanyahu, the price of oil will gradually decrease, this will reduce inflation and make the dollar cheaper.
#USTariffs
See original
$BTC The Fed meeting today is the most important of the year! 🤪 We will see how deep the contradictions are between Trump's understanding and REALITY. Large players will flee the market if Powell leaves rates, this will highlight the crisis both in the economy and in relations with Trump, who can fire him. What is the difference between the approach of Trump and the Fed? Trump assesses the situation taking into account his future decisions, he has 4 years ahead. And Powell, appointed in 2018 by Trump, assesses the real data of the economy from past actions. And yet, Trump got a recessionary economy, and he needs GDP growth. In Trump's understanding, this state is the work of the Fed itself and the Democrats. But he is happy with the bubble, because: 1. To deflate the bubble - to cause a sharp short crisis - a reason to change the head and emphasize the negative influence of the left. Trump's company hasn't come for one term ;) And if inflation can decrease while markets grow, that's super 👍 2. He plans to solve problems like in the 1940s - at the expense of others. Let me remind you that Germany, Great Britain, China, etc. are already in recession, China is responsible for the coronavirus, which ruined Trump's first term and led to inflation. And how to reduce inflation when the market is growing???
$BTC The Fed meeting today is the most important of the year! 🤪 We will see how deep the contradictions are between Trump's understanding and REALITY. Large players will flee the market if Powell leaves rates, this will highlight the crisis both in the economy and in relations with Trump, who can fire him.
What is the difference between the approach of Trump and the Fed?
Trump assesses the situation taking into account his future decisions, he has 4 years ahead.
And Powell, appointed in 2018 by Trump, assesses the real data of the economy from past actions.

And yet, Trump got a recessionary economy, and he needs GDP growth. In Trump's understanding, this state is the work of the Fed itself and the Democrats. But he is happy with the bubble, because:
1. To deflate the bubble - to cause a sharp short crisis - a reason to change the head and emphasize the negative influence of the left. Trump's company hasn't come for one term ;)
And if inflation can decrease while markets grow, that's super 👍
2. He plans to solve problems like in the 1940s - at the expense of others.
Let me remind you that Germany, Great Britain, China, etc. are already in recession, China is responsible for the coronavirus, which ruined Trump's first term and led to inflation.
And how to reduce inflation when the market is growing???
--
Bearish
See original
$ETH Arthur Hayes and Robert Kiyosaki, two crypto newbie barkers, sang songs about a financial bubble, overheating, and an impending crisis, as if there had been no signs for the past six months. Tomorrow, exactly tomorrow, when the Asian financial capitals have a day off, there will be an important Fed meeting on interest rates. Paul, as we understand, is not ready to lower tomorrow. Bank analysts generally believe that it is not worth lowering more than 2 times this year. Trump is “for” lowering tomorrow, since he plans the following: 1. Increasing oil production in the United States itself. 2. Increasing production in Saudi Arabia. 3. A change in the political regime in Iran, which will prevent oil price hikes. 4. And the reduction in taxes for US citizens is offset by tariffs on imports, which should expand domestic production, and the price will remain the same. But we need to address the inflated market, Mr. Trump, because the stocks of manufacturing companies are so overvalued that the price of the goods has to be kept high. So if you think the fall is due to cheap Chinese AI, it is. This year I expect moderate growth of the base, deflating of the void, advertising growth of new memes. #DeepSeekImpact
$ETH Arthur Hayes and Robert Kiyosaki, two crypto newbie barkers, sang songs about a financial bubble, overheating, and an impending crisis, as if there had been no signs for the past six months.
Tomorrow, exactly tomorrow, when the Asian financial capitals have a day off, there will be an important Fed meeting on interest rates.
Paul, as we understand, is not ready to lower tomorrow.
Bank analysts generally believe that it is not worth lowering more than 2 times this year.
Trump is “for” lowering tomorrow, since he plans the following:
1. Increasing oil production in the United States itself.
2. Increasing production in Saudi Arabia.
3. A change in the political regime in Iran, which will prevent oil price hikes.
4. And the reduction in taxes for US citizens is offset by tariffs on imports, which should expand domestic production, and the price will remain the same.
But we need to address the inflated market, Mr. Trump, because the stocks of manufacturing companies are so overvalued that the price of the goods has to be kept high. So if you think the fall is due to cheap Chinese AI, it is.
This year I expect moderate growth of the base, deflating of the void, advertising growth of new memes.
#DeepSeekImpact
See original
How Trump can deceive Russia and China 🕺 💸🥂$BTC Why does Trump talk about joining Panama, Canada, and Greenland? My version - a deal with Russia and China in the style of 'want to expand? Let's go together, I'm also crazy like you!'. For them, this is a nightmare; it's not just about territory - there are no 'hidden meanings' in such growth. Taiwan is the same as China, the same people, the difference is in the political system.

How Trump can deceive Russia and China 🕺 💸🥂

$BTC Why does Trump talk about joining Panama, Canada, and Greenland? My version - a deal with Russia and China in the style of 'want to expand? Let's go together, I'm also crazy like you!'. For them, this is a nightmare; it's not just about territory - there are no 'hidden meanings' in such growth.
Taiwan is the same as China, the same people, the difference is in the political system.
See original
$BTC The consequences of the Bank of Japan raising rates will be felt by January 29, but right now, what's interesting is this: Trump canceled the CBDC, but it already seems that it will be replaced by USDC. And remember in March '23 when Circle had problems, and the stablecoin decoupled from the dollar, causing the market to fall? Back then, it was already said that the real problems would be with USDT (guess why) Due to MICA, money is flowing into USDC, its capitalization and authority are growing. Although this currency does not belong to any central bank. For now, it is more suitable for external settlements with other countries: it is immediately clear what circle this dollar has made, where it has been and with whom, which will help with sanctions control. In my opinion, the European MICA, with its implementation in countries taking up to 18 months, looks like a measure to preserve the money of EU citizens in banks amid a widespread crisis, and not to make them fodder for unloading with meme coins and 'great technologies' in the coming year. Now they will look at the experience of the USA, and MICA may change. So, all these crypto-friendly decrees from Trump are already priced in, we are waiting for the rate decision, and tomorrow we will reflect on oil and the Middle East 💞 #TrumpCryptoOrder
$BTC The consequences of the Bank of Japan raising rates will be felt by January 29, but right now, what's interesting is this:
Trump canceled the CBDC, but it already seems that it will be replaced by USDC. And remember in March '23 when Circle had problems, and the stablecoin decoupled from the dollar, causing the market to fall? Back then, it was already said that the real problems would be with USDT
(guess why)
Due to MICA, money is flowing into USDC, its capitalization and authority are growing. Although this currency does not belong to any central bank.
For now, it is more suitable for external settlements with other countries: it is immediately clear what circle this dollar has made, where it has been and with whom, which will help with sanctions control.
In my opinion, the European MICA, with its implementation in countries taking up to 18 months, looks like a measure to preserve the money of EU citizens in banks amid a widespread crisis, and not to make them fodder for unloading with meme coins and 'great technologies' in the coming year. Now they will look at the experience of the USA, and MICA may change.
So, all these crypto-friendly decrees from Trump are already priced in, we are waiting for the rate decision, and tomorrow we will reflect on oil and the Middle East 💞
#TrumpCryptoOrder
See original
Notice that the Trump Foundation invested $4.7 million in $TRX ? How is that? So the SEC is sending a subpoena to Justin Sun in 2023, and sponsoring his coin in 2024? The Trump family coins are still memecoins, the same as Sun's PumpFun platform. This is a change of game and approach. I'm already looking forward to their meeting, and when it turns out that the banana was eaten correctly! 🍌 It remains to clarify the issue with Do Kwon (Terraform-Luna), who is already in the US and denies his guilt. But what if it turns out that: - his stable was specially unpegged from the dollar by the patrons of FTX and Alameda, who were removing the Asian competitor? Then BUSD was turned off. - or what if the collapse of FTX occurred because there was a lot in the collateral of LUNA-UST, which was unpegged from the dollar? Let me remind you that the founder of FTX was supposed to become a co-owner of the Huobi exchange with Justin Sun, but then FTX collapsed. Then Sun denied that he was the owner of Huobi, and then admitted it and bet on $SOL and promoted the meme market. And #SOL was closely associated with FTX… Add clarifying information if you know or your own conclusions, mine is not clear yet🫰 #CryptoSurge2025
Notice that the Trump Foundation invested $4.7 million in $TRX ? How is that? So the SEC is sending a subpoena to Justin Sun in 2023, and sponsoring his coin in 2024? The Trump family coins are still memecoins, the same as Sun's PumpFun platform. This is a change of game and approach. I'm already looking forward to their meeting, and when it turns out that the banana was eaten correctly! 🍌
It remains to clarify the issue with Do Kwon (Terraform-Luna), who is already in the US and denies his guilt. But what if it turns out that:
- his stable was specially unpegged from the dollar by the patrons of FTX and Alameda, who were removing the Asian competitor? Then BUSD was turned off.
- or what if the collapse of FTX occurred because there was a lot in the collateral of LUNA-UST, which was unpegged from the dollar? Let me remind you that the founder of FTX was supposed to become a co-owner of the Huobi exchange with Justin Sun, but then FTX collapsed. Then Sun denied that he was the owner of Huobi, and then admitted it and bet on $SOL and promoted the meme market.
And #SOL was closely associated with FTX…
Add clarifying information if you know or your own conclusions, mine is not clear yet🫰
#CryptoSurge2025
See original
How much FOMO hurts even those former gambling addicts - traders who have given up on futures trading, they don't get into memes. They constantly assure themselves and others that they are not afraid to miss such a pump, scaring the crowd and doing free advertising for these coins. The coins of the presidential family are launched in such a way that those who are knowledgeable and react swiftly have made profits. However, in every chat, they cry as if it were a one-time charitable event. Total FOMO and comforting speeches in conditions of non-innovation of coins and the principle of a casino — are frightening, influencers are directly pressing on the feeling of greed. And they didn’t buy advertising for such hype, Trump is a marketing genius, the current psychological state of traders is such that any hype causes disappointment. It has been a year since hysterical traders declared ALTSEASON. And maybe another year will pass. The question is: is this a funeral march, under which other memes will be shot, or is this a second wind and meme coins are gradually finding their place in the financial system? $BTC
How much FOMO hurts even those former gambling addicts - traders who have given up on futures trading, they don't get into memes. They constantly assure themselves and others that they are not afraid to miss such a pump, scaring the crowd and doing free advertising for these coins.
The coins of the presidential family are launched in such a way that those who are knowledgeable and react swiftly have made profits.
However, in every chat, they cry as if it were a one-time charitable event.
Total FOMO and comforting speeches in conditions of non-innovation of coins and the principle of a casino — are frightening, influencers are directly pressing on the feeling of greed. And they didn’t buy advertising for such hype, Trump is a marketing genius, the current psychological state of traders is such that any hype causes disappointment.
It has been a year since hysterical traders declared ALTSEASON. And maybe another year will pass. The question is: is this a funeral march, under which other memes will be shot, or is this a second wind and meme coins are gradually finding their place in the financial system?
$BTC
--
Bearish
See original
After the emergence of the digital family $TRUMP , it became quite clear that the USA would create a cryptocurrency reserve as one of the first, test this mechanism, and then move into the Eurozone, where administrations will be elected that are "supported" by the technological elite of the USA. It is interesting to see what the MICA paper will turn into. $BTC However, to the average person, it seems that the US Federal Reserve will be "buying" bitcoins and other currencies. This is not the case. Why don't BlackRock, the Winklevoss brothers, and others sell their reserves? Because they "lease them" as collateral to exchanges, ETFs, etc. Anyone can lend their bitcoin to an exchange for an annual percentage. I assume that the reserve will be created on the same concept and will then operate like government bonds, etc., then it makes sense to push the price of BTC up to $1 million, so that it can later be distributed in real retail to all grandmothers as a couple of "shares/satoshis." Having a fierce margin that will count towards the national debt. #BTCBreaksATH
After the emergence of the digital family $TRUMP , it became quite clear that the USA would create a cryptocurrency reserve as one of the first, test this mechanism, and then move into the Eurozone, where administrations will be elected that are "supported" by the technological elite of the USA. It is interesting to see what the MICA paper will turn into.
$BTC However, to the average person, it seems that the US Federal Reserve will be "buying" bitcoins and other currencies. This is not the case. Why don't BlackRock, the Winklevoss brothers, and others sell their reserves? Because they "lease them" as collateral to exchanges, ETFs, etc.
Anyone can lend their bitcoin to an exchange for an annual percentage. I assume that the reserve will be created on the same concept and will then operate like government bonds, etc., then it makes sense to push the price of BTC up to $1 million, so that it can later be distributed in real retail to all grandmothers as a couple of "shares/satoshis." Having a fierce margin that will count towards the national debt.
#BTCBreaksATH
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$BTC Will the rate be lowered on 01/29/2025 at the Fed meeting? Let me remind you that Trump urged Powell not to lower the rate BEFORE the elections, but to lower it after. But Paul made two sharp cuts back in the fall. In the review of 2025 trends, Barclays Bank suggests that the rate will be lowered once in 2025 in January🫣 The basis of the version: inflation is restrained by rising unemployment, yes, there was more work and shopping during the holidays, but US citizens are becoming more indebted, purchasing power is falling, and Trump has not yet introduced tariffs and duties on imports. Barclays believes that tariffs will cause inflation only in the long term and will not last long, because Trump is going to reduce corporate taxes. The increase in margins will be used by companies to increase production and improve quality while maintaining current prices. Another factor is oil and the Middle East. Experts believe that there will be a deterioration and a rise in oil prices to $85-$150. Inflation will accelerate here again, so they will not reduce the rate until then. Therefore, the beginning of the year is the very moment to reduce the rate. Subscribe to see not the daily futures, but to read infrequent unique thoughts and reasoning.
$BTC Will the rate be lowered on 01/29/2025 at the Fed meeting? Let me remind you that Trump urged Powell not to lower the rate BEFORE the elections, but to lower it after. But Paul made two sharp cuts back in the fall.
In the review of 2025 trends, Barclays Bank suggests that the rate will be lowered once in 2025 in January🫣
The basis of the version: inflation is restrained by rising unemployment, yes, there was more work and shopping during the holidays, but US citizens are becoming more indebted, purchasing power is falling, and Trump has not yet introduced tariffs and duties on imports. Barclays believes that tariffs will cause inflation only in the long term and will not last long, because Trump is going to reduce corporate taxes. The increase in margins will be used by companies to increase production and improve quality while maintaining current prices.
Another factor is oil and the Middle East. Experts believe that there will be a deterioration and a rise in oil prices to $85-$150. Inflation will accelerate here again, so they will not reduce the rate until then. Therefore, the beginning of the year is the very moment to reduce the rate.
Subscribe to see not the daily futures, but to read infrequent unique thoughts and reasoning.
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BTC Update from last week worked against the backdrop of: 1. The fall of US stocks, especially insurance companies. S&P 500 closed one gap. 2. The relocation of Tether's headquarters from the USA to El Salvador. Hmm, I remember when Coinbase's headquarters moved to the Bahamas in 2022-2023, and they still remained in America. 3. Of course, Fed members are already reporting that a rate cut is not coming soon, USD > 110, cry-cry of altcoins, I’m buying $STRK at $0.15. There are also positive aspects. I will analyze tomorrow 💗 #DollarRally110 #BTCMove #BTC #bitcoin
BTC Update from last week worked against the backdrop of: 1. The fall of US stocks, especially insurance companies. S&P 500 closed one gap.
2. The relocation of Tether's headquarters from the USA to El Salvador. Hmm, I remember when Coinbase's headquarters moved to the Bahamas in 2022-2023, and they still remained in America.
3. Of course, Fed members are already reporting that a rate cut is not coming soon, USD > 110,
cry-cry of altcoins, I’m buying $STRK at $0.15.
There are also positive aspects. I will analyze tomorrow 💗
#DollarRally110 #BTCMove #BTC #bitcoin
vika_now
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Bearish
$BTC There was nothing to analyze since December: #BTC in the range, the alt imitates growth in the aggregate mass, everyone expects a correction to 85-87k and growth before the inauguration, and it will happen, on expectations. And most likely, the main impulse will come in the second wave, in February. The talking heads are now so synchronized with each other and with the chart that it begins to seem that cryptocurrency is easy and simple, like in the spring of 2021. For me, this is an indicator.
01/10/2025 there will be data on the US labor market, we understand that they are understated, there is more work on holidays, so the data will be bearable, and inflation is also elevated on holidays, so it's not scary, you can pay attention to the liquidation card.
The dollar index is 107-109, no one pays attention to it. While they are keeping in the shadows, that the results of the fight against inflation due to the increase in unemployment have been zeroed out.

Volumes are decreasing on short TFs:

day — MACD is decreasing, the price is growing, it looks like a distribution.
week — MACD shows a decrease in volumes with an increase in price, RSI is unloaded, visually a slow decrease to 85k is required, well, we'll see. Remember about the gap of 78-80k.
month — growing, although the "cup with handle" has been worked out, March-April: 76k most likely.
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Bearish
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LookOnChain reports good crypto sales, and yet $ARB #NOT #PHB at values where one might think about adding these coins to the luggage. Are you buying the dip? Or are all the stables already loaded?
LookOnChain reports good crypto sales, and yet $ARB #NOT #PHB at values where one might think about adding these coins to the luggage. Are you buying the dip? Or are all the stables already loaded?
See original
$BTC Will there be a crisis or collapse of insurance companies due to the fire in Los Angeles? Or is this an inconvenient case for the inflated bubble of financial assets and accelerated inflation to burst? And will these wealthy people sell their digital assets to acquire property? If you have understanding or knowledge, please share your opinion in the comments 🍆 Let me remind you: about 120 square kilometers have burned, and the estimated losses for people are around fifty billion.
$BTC Will there be a crisis or collapse of insurance companies due to the fire in Los Angeles? Or is this an inconvenient case for the inflated bubble of financial assets and accelerated inflation to burst?
And will these wealthy people sell their digital assets to acquire property?
If you have understanding or knowledge, please share your opinion in the comments 🍆
Let me remind you: about 120 square kilometers have burned, and the estimated losses for people are around fifty billion.
See original
$BTC Aren't you late? - This is the question Fidelity poses in its review of 2025 trends 😈 The main thesis of Fidelity analysts is that the digital breakthrough has already happened, and now mass adoption is taking place in the legal part and in the use of digital assets by people, as was the case with the Internet. An important aspect is decentralization, which either obeys the laws or changes the understanding. They note the correlation of gold, bitcoin and funds, as a rare ardent appetite among investors, awakened by liquidity and inflationary measures, they assume that the next growth will be against the background of another rate cut. BUT! When with such inflation? Analysts recall the 1970-1980s, when it was not possible to reduce inflation, which led to the second wave. The growth of gold is like an attempt to preserve your capital from inflation before the impending second wave, which for some reason is little talked about. How Bitcoin will behave during the period of stagflation will most likely depend on fiscal policy: if there is helicopter money, then Bitcoin will grow with a delay; if they cut government spending, increase the structural deficit, then you understand 🥲 #BTC #USJobsSurge256K #BNBBhutanReserves {spot}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC Aren't you late? - This is the question Fidelity poses in its review of 2025 trends 😈
The main thesis of Fidelity analysts is that the digital breakthrough has already happened, and now mass adoption is taking place in the legal part and in the use of digital assets by people, as was the case with the Internet.

An important aspect is decentralization, which either obeys the laws or changes the understanding.

They note the correlation of gold, bitcoin and funds, as a rare ardent appetite among investors, awakened by liquidity and inflationary measures, they assume that the next growth will be against the background of another rate cut. BUT! When with such inflation? Analysts recall the 1970-1980s, when it was not possible to reduce inflation, which led to the second wave. The growth of gold is like an attempt to preserve your capital from inflation before the impending second wave, which for some reason is little talked about.
How Bitcoin will behave during the period of stagflation will most likely depend on fiscal policy: if there is helicopter money, then Bitcoin will grow with a delay; if they cut government spending, increase the structural deficit, then you understand 🥲
#BTC #USJobsSurge256K #BNBBhutanReserves
See original
#BTC As I wrote, unemployment slightly decreased to 4.1% due to the New Year's workload, but this is short-term. If you fixed the granny on the short - exchange it beautifully TG: vault_exchange 🩵 I have a website, I can't attach it here! Hugs.
#BTC As I wrote, unemployment slightly decreased to 4.1% due to the New Year's workload, but this is short-term. If you fixed the granny on the short - exchange it beautifully TG: vault_exchange 🩵 I have a website, I can't attach it here! Hugs.
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