1. Trump's inauguration marks the start of a bull market, with BTC peaking near $106,000, close to the highest point of $108,000.
Next Monday, the 20th, is Trump's inauguration day, which is also Martin Luther King Jr. Day, and the US stock market will be closed for the day.
Including the weekend, there will be three holidays, which will lead to a dominance of the Asian market.
2. Several time points to watch next week: Trump's inauguration on the 20th and Japan's monetary policy meeting on the 24th.
If the 20th decides whether this round reaches a peak, then the 24th will decide whether a pullback occurs.
After all, all the good news has already been priced in, coupled with excessive accumulation of long positions, any minor disturbance could lead to a downward liquidation.

Affected by CPI data, Bitcoin has once again broken through $100,000, reaching a peak of $100,866, while Ethereum has returned to $3,400.
Altcoins generally saw an increase of around 20%, with the AI agent sector performing the strongest.
This rise is primarily due to market expectations of favorable developments following Trump’s power transfer.
With 4 days remaining, Trump will deliver his inauguration speech, and if Bitcoin's price can remain high before the power transfer, the likelihood of Bitcoin breaking new highs after the transfer will be greater.
Because the stronger the price foundation, the more pronounced the FOMO sentiment becomes when positive news arises, and investors' buying power will also be stronger.

Will CPI data be a boost or a hindrance to the market?
Looking at the trends in the US stock market, it is still in a declining price channel, but the overall daily line is in a sideways state, which has led to the overall market being in a sideways state as well. This indicates that not only is the crypto market waiting for tonight's US CPI data release, but the US stock market is also waiting, further indicating that the market is awaiting results.
As for whether the CPI data can help the market rise again, I believe there are many different voices in the market, but we still need to rely on the official data. What we can do is wait patiently and then make our trading choices in due time.

It’s time to recharge faith; Trump confirmed that he will announce at least one positive policy regarding crypto if he takes office. After this news broke last night, the market quickly rebounded. Regarding altcoins, it mainly depends on ETH's performance. If ETH does not recover, altcoins will struggle to find relief, and ETH's upgrade is temporarily expected to be announced in March.

As we approach the end of the month, with only 6 days left until Trump takes office, it's crucial for the market to warm up and move upwards to boost sentiment, allowing ETH to rise, which would then gradually lift altcoins as well. However, we cannot rule out the possibility of altcoins breaking out independently in the meantime, so patience is required.

This week's CPI data is the last important data before the presidential transition, similar to the employment figures released by the Labor Department. President Biden is likely to deliver a satisfactory report to demonstrate 'success' during his administration. According to this logic, the CPI data should be below expectations or in line with them, thus not impacting the market significantly. Of course, if the data does not meet expectations, the previous logic falls apart.

When the 20th understands the king's arrival, there will be a host of high-priority matters to handle, making it difficult to anticipate a quick positive impact on the crypto market. If the positive developments do not meet expectations, the market is likely to experience turbulence, increasing the probability of a downward correction.

Based on the trend of Bitcoin after the non-farm data release on Friday, the 93000 area has become a short-term dividing line for bulls and bears. The upper range is between 96000 and 97500. A drop below 93000 indicates strong bearish momentum, while a rise above 96000 indicates strong bullish momentum. Yesterday, Bitcoin dipped to around 93800. The current trend is quite similar to the previous bottom formation, as expected. Therefore, the upcoming long opportunity near 93000 is a bold entry point!
The daily chart showed a small bearish candle yesterday, so there is an expectation of further retracement, which may occur tomorrow morning. This may present an excellent opportunity for bulls to enter at a favorable price! Overall, buying on dips remains the main theme! Next week marks the trading days before Trump's inauguration, with CPI data on Wednesday, which may bring some positive news!

While last night's unemployment data and non-farm payroll caused a bumpy road ahead for interest rate cuts, the conversation in the English-speaking community last night was about celebrating the inflow of funds for the anniversary of BTC's spot ETF approval, along with discussions from several states about establishing BTC strategic reserves. Ammon Simon joined the Senate Banking Committee as chief legal counsel, and there are more expectations that Trump will promote an agenda supporting cryptocurrency, etc., which are all positive news for the cryptocurrency market in 2025.
Currently, the proximity to 1.20 Trump’s inauguration is increasing, with sentiment stimulating positive expectations slowly expanding. The lower limit for BTC remains above 94,000 after one night, possibly due to ETH being particularly taxing; I personally believe in maintaining expectations for the upcoming crypto market.

The best part is just beginning. Everyone is so pessimistic mainly because of the unsatisfactory performance of altcoins. As long as you don’t leave the table, you will definitely be able to get a 10x coin by 2025 if you are patient.
From the news perspective, the first wave of large-scale increases from 30,000 to over 60,000 was mainly benefited from BlackRock's Bitcoin spot ETF listing.
The second wave of doubling from over 50,000 to just over 100,000 is mainly benefitting from the FOMO market generated by Trump's campaign victory.
So what news could trigger a doubling of Bitcoin in the third wave?

Negative news has finally emerged, and with that, the current decline should come to an end. The $6.5 billion worth of Bitcoin seized from the Silk Road can now be sold on the market. The biggest fear is a continuous decline without reason. The U.S. stock market is closed today in honor of former President Carter.
Last night, it fell for an entire day, and by 1 AM, it began to accelerate downward, with Ethereum dropping from $3300 to $3200, then recovering all within an hour, forming a temporary bottom. Yesterday, Ethereum dropped about 10 points, while altcoins overall fell by 25 points, effectively reversing a week of gains. Retail investors have been making small profits only to give them back, seeing hope only to face significant drops. Whales have been cultivating the habit of retail investors to sell on highs.

The altcoin season will never return to the kind of craziness seen in 2021, friends, we need to be clear-headed! Why?
Firstly, the loose policies of 2021 were of 'cosmic miracle' level, a high point for the market's enthusiasm. Secondly, now various projects are being launched in a flood-like manner, and altcoins are being 'diluted' like cola mixed with five times the water, losing their flavor.
But don't worry, this doesn't mean the opportunity is gone; it might even be greater, but the way to play has completely changed: in the past, it was 'all coins flying together', with all altcoins surging.

Bitcoin has stabilized at $100,000, and will continue to challenge $108,000; I believe it will reach there soon. With only 13 days left until Trump takes office, there will definitely be continuous upward momentum during this period. Ethereum will also soon break through the $4,100 resistance level, potentially challenging the historical high of $4,800 by the end of January or February, followed by the Ethereum Prague upgrade in March. That will mark the true arrival of the altcoin season; for now, we just need to hold onto our chips and avoid frequent changes in our positions, waiting for the main upward wave to come.

Buy the dip on 3 altcoins with a future value increase of 100 times!

A new week has begun. From the candlestick chart, Bitcoin is still experiencing low-volume fluctuations at high levels. It seems that the probability of choosing a direction this week is still low. Although there are expectations regarding the FTX compensation and Trump's inauguration on the 20th, the momentum of off-market funds around 100,000 has clearly diminished, and on-market funds have also digested quite a bit. We are temporarily in a weak equilibrium state, so this week we can expect fluctuations between 94,000 and 104,000, and it's best to buy low and sell high for short-term trading.

After the U.S. stock market opens tonight, volatility will significantly increase. This weekend has been too boring; the profit effect for small coins has been quite poor. The trading strategy should be cautious, trying to avoid chasing high prices to go long.

Talk about the current market situation.

This weekend, many altcoins have started to rebound again; some altcoins began to rally earlier. Currently, the overall trend of altcoins has not unified yet, but it has basically started to gradually complete the bottom repair. It's early January, and I personally believe that there will be another fluctuation before the next market trend, and then from mid to late January, a second wave of main rising will begin, with some later altcoins possibly reaching early February.

As for the intensity of the drop before the next main rising wave, it depends on the strength of each altcoin and the degree of fluctuation and correction of BTC. Weaker altcoins may drop more significantly and return to previous lows, while stronger altcoins may only see a deeper correction.

Currently, Ethereum needs to stabilize around $3550 to initiate a new round of increase. If it has not bottomed out at the $3450-$3550 range, a retest would be a good opportunity to position. Trump is set to take office on the 20th, and historical data indicates there will be a surge before the policy takes effect, worth noting that after the surge, there will be a deeper decline, and after the drop, a more aggressive increase. Following the pattern seen when the Bitcoin ETF news came out, Trump's inauguration may also lead to such a market movement. According to the timeline, starting from today, begin to position on dips, and from the 20th to the end of the month, a high probability of adjustment will occur, with February and March likely showing good overall upward trends!

Currently, Bitcoin is greatly influenced by the U.S. stock market, so discussions about Bitcoin's trends often revolve around the trends in the U.S. stock market and macro trends for 2025. The two main factors currently affecting the Bitcoin market are Trump's policies and interest rate cut expectations. The expectations surrounding Trump's presidency have already been fulfilled, and now we need to see the specific policies that will be implemented after he takes office on January 20 (what specific support for crypto exists and the timeline for implementation is currently unpredictable).

So for now, we can only discuss the impact of interest rate cut expectations on the market.

So how specifically does it affect the Bitcoin market?

In the new year, we need to know how to make money in the upcoming market:
1: Mindset, be indifferent to BTC's fluctuations, as BTC has become a lever for capital. Many times, BTC's rise and fall do not have a significant impact on altcoins. Additionally, do not start doubting whether the bull market is still on or if a bear market is coming at the first sign of drastic BTC fluctuations. Asking such questions everywhere is meaningless because, purely from the altcoin season index, including various favorable factors for the future before they take effect, and with large amounts of capital escaping, these short-term fluctuations are merely trading actions in the bull market.